FANG vs OXY Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Diamondback and Occidental are both Permian Basin-focused oil companies, but FANG is a pure-play Permian E&P while OXY is a larger, more diversified company with chemicals, carbon capture, and Berkshire's backing. FANG offers the cleaner, more focused Permian exposure; OXY offers more capital structure complexity with more diversification.
FANG vs OXY is a pure-play Permian operator with best-in-class costs (Diamondback) versus a larger Permian producer with diversified businesses and Buffett's backing but higher leverage (Occidental) — FANG provides cleaner Permian exposure, OXY provides more corporate structure complexity with optionality from OxyChem and carbon capture.
FANG holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. OXY has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+47.38% vs +39.49%), though FANG has the better forward P/E setup (10.91x vs 15.41x for OXY). On fundamentals, OXY is growing revenue faster (53.40%), while FANG maintains the higher operating margin (48.47%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for FANG (+17.64%) than for OXY (+13.07%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- prefer a pure-play Permian Basin operator with deep Midland and Delaware acreage from the Endeavor acquisition
- value industry-leading per-well productivity and low operating costs delivering superior free cash flow per barrel
- want clean, focused Permian E&P exposure without chemicals or carbon capture diversification
- are comfortable with pure E&P oil price sensitivity without downstream earnings buffers during price downturns
- prefer OXY's broader corporate structure with Permian E&P, OxyChem chemicals, and carbon capture optionality
- value Berkshire Hathaway's significant ownership as a valuation anchor and long-term institutional validation
- want a larger enterprise with more diversified earnings streams than a pure Permian E&P
- are comfortable with higher financial leverage and debt reduction as the primary near-term use of free cash flow
| Metric | FANG | OXY |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 57.1 | 45.7 |
| AI ranki | #195 | #729 |
| Latest closei | $199.74 | $60.72 |
| 1M returni | +8.14% | +4.55% |
| 3M returni | +0.50% | +9.46% |
| 6M returni | -6.53% | +0.75% |
| 1Y returni | +39.49% | +47.38% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | FANG | OXY |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $14.14K (+41.4%) started 2025-11-03 | $14.84K (+48.4%) started 2025-11-03 |
| 5Y ago | $26.08K (+160.8%) started 2021-11-03 | $19.51K (+95.1%) started 2021-11-03 |
| 10Y ago | $36.19K (+261.9%) started 2016-11-03 | $15.58K (+55.8%) started 2016-11-03 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | FANG | OXY |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $55.35B | $59.08B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 37.58 | 17.43 |
| Forward P/Ei | 10.91 | 15.41 |
| Price/Salesi | 3.34 | 1.52 |
| EV/Revenuei | 4.53 | 3.28 |
| Analyst targeti | $232.54 | $66.83 |
| Target upsidei | +17.64% | +13.07% |
| Metric | FANG | OXY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 52.50% | 53.40% |
| Earnings growthi | 179.50% | 964.90% |
| EPS growthi | +179.50% | +964.90% |
| FCF margini | +30.99% | +15.83% |
| Operating margini | 48.47% | 45.44% |
| Profit margini | 9.03% | 30.32% |
| ROIC proxyi | 3.49% | 10.63% |
| Return on equityi | 3.49% | 10.63% |
| Dividend yieldi | 2.23% | 1.89% |
| Payout ratioi | 79.05% | 28.41% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.42 | 0.16 |
| Debt/equityi | 28.68 | 34.51 |
| Current ratioi | 0.47 | 1.41 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.42 | 1.04 |
Over the past year, FANG and OXY have moved strongly in the same direction (correlation of 0.79), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | FANG | OXY |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +41.39% | +48.39% |
| CAGRi | +41.54% | +48.57% | |
| Volatilityi | 32.85% | 35.04% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.10 | 1.19 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.60 | 1.80 | |
| Max drawdowni | 19.53% | 27.63% | |
| Current drawdowni | 6.53% | 8.33% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 5.74% | 8.48% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 7.37% | 10.96% | |
| Max daily dropi | 8.03% | 7.11% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 12.78% | 12.01% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +114.03% | +87.01% |
| CAGRi | +16.44% | +13.34% | |
| Volatilityi | 36.55% | 37.69% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.48 | 0.40 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.68 | 0.60 | |
| Max drawdowni | 42.10% | 50.77% | |
| Current drawdowni | 6.53% | 17.22% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 13.57% | 22.13% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 16.90% | 25.21% | |
| Max daily dropi | 12.68% | 11.01% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 25.87% | 26.59% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +175.17% | +14.66% |
| CAGRi | +10.65% | +1.38% | |
| Volatilityi | 49.01% | 49.03% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.37 | 0.19 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.52 | 0.28 | |
| Max drawdowni | 88.72% | 88.39% | |
| Current drawdowni | 6.53% | 17.22% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 22.23% | 31.92% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 29.82% | 39.42% | |
| Max daily dropi | 44.65% | 52.01% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 57.10% | 63.08% |
| Category | FANG | OXY |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Diamondback Energy, Inc. | Occidental Petroleum Corporation |
| Sector | Energy | Energy |
| Industry | Oil & Gas E&P | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Core business | Diamondback Energy is a pure-play Permian Basin oil and gas company focused exclusively on the Midland and Delaware basins. Its acquisition of Endeavor Energy Partners in 2024 made it one of the largest Permian Basin operators. FANG targets best-in-class Permian well productivity, low operating costs, and high free cash flow conversion that is returned to shareholders via buybacks and dividends. The company has no downstream, chemicals, or carbon capture business — pure upstream E&P. | Occidental Petroleum is a large E&P company with Permian Basin operations, OxyChem chemicals, and a carbon capture subsidiary (1PointFive). Berkshire Hathaway holds a significant stake including warrants. OXY carries more financial leverage than FANG from the 2019 Anadarko acquisition, but is methodically reducing debt. Its broader business model (chemicals, CO2 sequestration) differentiates it from pure Permian plays. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Permian Basin production growth (BOE/day), free cash flow per share, return of capital percentage (base dividend plus variable dividend plus buybacks), and Endeavor integration synergy realization. | Investors track Permian production growth, net debt paydown pace, OxyChem chemical margins, 1PointFive carbon capture development, and the Berkshire Hathaway ownership signal. |
- Premium Permian Basin acreage position in both Midland and Delaware basins with long multi-decade drilling inventory from Endeavor acquisition
- Industry-leading per-well productivity and low operating costs in the Permian create best-in-class free cash flow per barrel
- Highly focused management team with sole Permian focus allowing deep operational expertise without capital diluted to non-Permian assets
- Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway ownership stake and warrants provide a perceived valuation floor and long-term shareholder alignment
- OxyChem chemicals provide earnings diversification during oil price weakness when E&P margins compress
- 1PointFive carbon capture optionality becomes valuable if carbon capture markets develop under future pricing policy
- Pure Permian focus means FANG has no earnings diversification buffer during oil price downturns unlike integrated peers
- Endeavor integration is a significant organizational project — execution must deliver promised cost synergies
- Permian infrastructure constraints (water disposal, gas takeaway) can limit production growth in tight periods
- Higher financial leverage than FANG from Anadarko acquisition creates more equity price sensitivity during oil price downturns
- OxyChem cyclicality can introduce earnings volatility that pure-play E&P investors may not want
- Carbon capture business (1PointFive) requires significant ongoing capital with uncertain near-term commercial returns
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