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KMI
Kinder Morgan, Inc. · Energy
$32.24
+0.94% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
MPLX
MPLX LP · Energy
$56.70
-0.30% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
KMI
2
MPLX
2
MIXED SETUP
Comparison scoreboard
MIXED SETUP
AI Score
KMI 42.2
MPLX 40.6
1Y Return
KMI +15.80%
MPLX +20.39%
Fwd P/E
KMI 21.41
MPLX 11.52
Target Up.
KMI +10.00%
MPLX +7.33%
Op. Margin
KMI 29.91%
MPLX N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 7/14/2026
Quick take

KMI vs MPLX: Kinder Morgan vs MPLX Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

Kinder Morgan is a corporation-structured pipeline company with the largest US natural gas pipeline network, while MPLX is a Marathon Petroleum-sponsored MLP with Appalachian gas gathering and refined products pipelines. Kinder Morgan offers broader institutional access; MPLX offers higher distribution yield through MLP structure.

KMI vs MPLX is large corporation pipeline infrastructure for LNG and data center demand versus high-yield MLP gas gathering and refinery logistics — Kinder Morgan wins if LNG export volumes and data center gas demand grow; MPLX wins if Appalachian gas production and Marathon refining volumes sustain high distribution coverage.

Live analysis · updated 7/14/2026

KMI and MPLX are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly. MPLX leads on both 1-year return (+20.39%) and forward P/E quality (11.52x vs 21.41x for KMI), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +10.00% for KMI and +7.33% for MPLX.

Normalized 1Y performance
KMI
MPLX
Recent returns
KMI
MPLX
Analyst price targets & sentiment
KMI
Price target range
analyst mean$35.33
current price$32.24
+10.0% upside to analyst mean
MPLX · 14 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (2.1/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$54.00
analyst high$73.00
analyst mean$60.86
current price$56.70
+7.3% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
KMI may suit investors who:
  • want natural gas pipeline exposure for LNG export and data center power demand growth
  • prefer corporate structure (no K-1) for simpler tax reporting vs MLP
  • value Kinder Morgan's large network scale and broad fee-based cash flow diversification
  • believe natural gas infrastructure is essential for the energy transition as a backup to intermittent renewables
MPLX may suit investors who:
  • want a higher distribution yield from MLP structure for income-focused portfolios
  • value fee-based Appalachian gas gathering tied to Marcellus and Utica shale production
  • are comfortable with MLP K-1 tax complexity in exchange for MLP distribution tax advantages
  • prefer Marathon Petroleum's sponsorship as a parent that has financially supported MPLX consistently
Performance & AI score
MetricKMIMPLX
AI score42.240.6
AI rank#947#1120
Latest close$32.24$56.70
1M return+0.94%-0.30%
6M return+18.88%+9.47%
1Y return+15.80%+20.39%
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

PeriodKMIMPLX
1Y ago$11.38K (+13.8%)
started 2025-07-14
$13.06K (+30.6%)
started 2025-07-14
5Y ago$29.65K (+196.5%)
started 2021-07-14
$53.79K (+437.9%)
started 2021-07-14
10Y ago$44.42K (+344.2%)
started 2016-07-14
$166.52K (+1565.2%)
started 2016-07-14

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
MetricKMIMPLX
Market cap$71.46B$57.54B
Trailing P/E21.5612.27
Forward P/E21.4111.52
Price/SalesN/A4.90
EV/Revenue5.987.07
Analyst target$35.33$60.86
Target upside+10.00%+7.33%
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricKMIMPLX
Revenue growth13.80%-2.80%
Earnings growth36.00%-18.40%
EPS growth+36.00%-18.40%
FCF margin+9.40%+16.45%
Operating margin29.91%N/A
Profit margin18.92%40.03%
ROIC proxy10.60%33.41%
Return on equity10.60%33.41%
Dividend yield3.63%7.56%
Beta0.530.45
Debt/equity98.84182.79
Current ratio0.521.10
Quick ratio0.321.02
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
KMI max drawdown10.08%
MPLX max drawdown7.71%
KMI max wkly drop8.70%
MPLX max wkly drop5.19%
5Y risk snapshot
KMI max drawdown20.31%
MPLX max drawdown18.46%
KMI max wkly drop15.66%
MPLX max wkly drop15.94%
10Y risk snapshot
KMI max drawdown55.13%
MPLX max drawdown75.21%
KMI max wkly drop35.61%
MPLX max wkly drop45.62%
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricKMIMPLX
1YGrowth+13.84%+20.39%
CAGR+13.90%+20.40%
Sharpe ratio0.520.96
Max drawdown10.08%7.71%
Max daily drop4.75%3.51%
Max wkly drop8.70%5.19%
5YGrowth+127.61%+209.82%
CAGR+17.89%+25.38%
Sharpe ratio0.651.04
Max drawdown20.31%18.46%
Max daily drop9.28%7.07%
Max wkly drop15.66%15.94%
10YGrowth+146.00%+304.85%
CAGR+9.42%+15.01%
Sharpe ratio0.300.46
Max drawdown55.13%75.21%
Max daily drop21.04%17.61%
Max wkly drop35.61%45.62%
Business comparison
CategoryKMIMPLX
CompanyKinder Morgan, Inc.MPLX LP
SectorEnergyEnergy
IndustryN/AN/A
Core businessOne of the largest US energy infrastructure companies with 82,000+ miles of pipeline transporting natural gas, refined products, crude, and CO2. Kinder Morgan is structured as a corporation (not an MLP), having converted in 2014.Midstream MLP owned ~65% by Marathon Petroleum. MPLX operates natural gas gathering and processing and refined products pipelines and storage primarily in the Midwest and Appalachia. MPLX has a high distribution yield supported by fee-based cash flows.
Investor focusNatural gas pipeline volume growth from LNG export and data center demand, project backlog expansion, dividend growth, and balance sheet deleveraging.Distributable cash flow per unit, distribution growth, Appalachian gas gathering and processing volume, and the MLP structure's tax treatment for income investors.
KMI strengths
  • Kinder Morgan's natural gas pipeline network is essential infrastructure for US LNG export terminal feed gas supply
  • Data center electricity demand is creating new natural gas pipeline volume as utilities add gas-fired generation
  • Corporation structure (vs MLP) makes KMI eligible for more mainstream institutional and index fund ownership
MPLX strengths
  • MPLX's fee-based cash flows from long-term contracts with Marathon Petroleum provide high distribution coverage
  • Appalachian natural gas gathering provides exposure to the Marcellus and Utica shale basin production growth
  • High distribution yield makes MPLX attractive for income investors seeking midstream cash flows
Risks to watch — KMI
  • Natural gas pipeline volume depends on LNG export terminal construction and US natural gas production levels
  • Kinder Morgan reduced its dividend in 2015 — investors still monitor dividend coverage carefully relative to that history
  • CO2 pipeline segment for enhanced oil recovery is in secular decline as US tertiary oil recovery matures
Risks to watch — MPLX
  • MLP tax structure (K-1 forms) creates administrative complexity for some investors, particularly tax-exempt entities
  • Marathon Petroleum's parent ownership concentration means MPLX's strategy is tied to Marathon's refining business needs
  • MLP units are less liquid and widely owned than corporations like KMI
Frequently asked questions
Kinder Morgan offers broader pipeline network exposure, corporate structure simplicity, and LNG/data center demand tailwinds. MPLX offers a higher distribution yield through MLP structure with Appalachian gas gathering. KMI for institutional-friendly corporate pipeline investment; MPLX for higher-yield MLP income.
AI Prediction SignalNext 5 trading days
Members only
KMI
+2.8%BUY
MPLX
+1.1%HOLD

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