Data as of:
brimindinvest.com / compare / dcp-vs-trgpLIVE
TRGP
Targa Resources Corp. · Energy - Midstream / Natural Gas Gathering & Processing
$285.07
-4.27% this month
VERSUS
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MPLX
MPLX LP (Midstream MLP Reference) · Energy - Midstream / Natural Gas & Crude Oil
$58.62
-1.25% this month
Comparison scoreboard
MPLX LEADS 3/5
AI Scorei
TRGP 65.5
MPLX 42.0
1Y Returni
TRGP +71.19%
MPLX +24.22%
Fwd P/Ei
TRGP 23.83
MPLX 12.15
Target Up.i
TRGP +7.04%
MPLX +7.21%
Op. Margini
TRGP 27.80%
MPLX 38.25%
Metrics last refreshed: 9/18/2026
Quick take

TRGP vs Midstream Natural Gas Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

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Targa Resources (TRGP) is a major Permian Basin-concentrated midstream gathering and processing company with an integrated wellhead-to-export NGL value chain, while DCP Midstream (the original comparison pair) was acquired by Phillips 66 in 2023 and is no longer publicly traded. MPLX LP provides a comparable midstream context as a large diversified midstream MLP with gathering and processing alongside crude and refined product transportation.

TRGP vs midstream gathering and processing peers is Permian-concentrated natural gas gathering and processing compounder with integrated NGL logistics (Targa Resources' Grand Prix Pipeline, Gulf Coast fractionation, and fee-based contract volume growth driven by Permian Basin production growth) — a pure-play midstream growth vehicle for investors seeking exposure to the Permian Basin's production ramp with fee-based earnings protection.

Live analysis · updated 9/18/2026

MPLX holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. TRGP has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+71.19% vs +24.22%), though MPLX has the better forward P/E setup (12.15x vs 23.83x for TRGP). MPLX leads on both revenue growth (10.60%) and operating margin (38.25%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +7.04% for TRGP and +7.21% for MPLX.

Normalized 1Y performance
TRGP
MPLX
Recent returns
TRGP
MPLX
Analyst price targets & sentiment

Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.

TRGP
Price target range
analyst mean$308.10
current price$285.07
+7.0% upside to analyst mean
MPLX · 13 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (2.4/5.0)
6 Buy / 8 Hold / 1 Sell
Price target range
analyst low$54.00
analyst high$73.00
analyst mean$62.85
current price$58.62
+7.2% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
TRGP may suit investors who:
  • Want Permian Basin production growth exposure through midstream fee-based earnings that are less volatile than E&P commodity price exposure
  • Value Targa's integrated wellhead-to-export NGL value chain as creating durable customer relationships and volume growth tied to Permian Basin drilling activity
  • Seek a midstream company with dividend growth trajectory tied to organic EBITDA growth from expanding gathering and processing capacity
MPLX may suit investors who:
  • Want a high-yield midstream MLP (7-9% distribution yield) with Marathon Petroleum sponsorship providing volume visibility and financial backing
  • Value MPLX's diversified exposure across crude oil, refined products, and natural gas gathering as providing revenue resilience
  • Prefer a larger, more diversified midstream MLP over a Permian-concentrated operator like Targa Resources
Performance & AI score
Performance & AI score
MetricTRGPMPLX
AI scorei65.542.0
AI ranki#77#972
Latest closei$285.07$58.62
1M returni-4.27%-1.25%
6M returni+19.01%+4.41%
1Y returni+71.19%+24.22%
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
PeriodTRGPMPLX
1Y ago$16.76K (+67.6%)
started 2025-09-18
$13.46K (+34.6%)
started 2025-09-17
5Y ago$75.77K (+657.7%)
started 2021-09-20
$54.49K (+444.9%)
started 2021-09-17
10Y ago$139.49K (+1294.9%)
started 2016-09-19
$183.5K (+1735.0%)
started 2016-09-19

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
Valuation & upside potential
MetricTRGPMPLX
Market capi$61.72B$59.43B
Trailing P/Ei27.5412.45
Forward P/Ei23.8312.15
Price/SalesiN/A4.94
EV/Revenuei4.867.04
Analyst targeti$308.10$62.85
Target upsidei+7.04%+7.21%
Growth, profitability & risk
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricTRGPMPLX
Revenue growthi4.20%10.60%
Earnings growthi23.30%3.20%
EPS growthi+23.30%+3.20%
FCF margini+0.39%+11.35%
Operating margini27.80%38.25%
Profit margini13.54%39.28%
ROIC proxyi70.84%33.69%
Return on equityi70.84%33.69%
Dividend yieldi1.74%7.35%
Payout ratioi40.63%90.02%
Dividend growth streakiNo increase yet3 yrs
Betai0.720.46
Debt/equityi515.79183.36
Current ratioi0.770.89
Quick ratioi0.610.81
Correlation

Over the past year, TRGP and MPLX have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.41), based on daily returns.

1Y
0.41
-1.0+1.0
5Y
0.62
-1.0+1.0
10Y
0.68
-1.0+1.0
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
TRGP max drawdowni16.01%
MPLX max drawdowni7.71%
TRGP max wkly dropi10.34%
MPLX max wkly dropi5.19%
5Y risk snapshot
TRGP max drawdowni32.02%
MPLX max drawdowni18.46%
TRGP max wkly dropi20.93%
MPLX max wkly dropi15.94%
10Y risk snapshot
TRGP max drawdowni90.78%
MPLX max drawdowni75.21%
TRGP max wkly dropi67.27%
MPLX max wkly dropi45.62%
Performance metrics by period
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricTRGPMPLX
1YGrowthi+67.57%+24.22%
CAGRi+67.63%+24.24%
Volatilityi29.05%16.46%
Sharpe ratioi1.781.13
Sortino ratioi2.701.66
Max drawdowni16.01%7.71%
Current drawdowni5.68%2.67%
Avg drawdowni3.31%2.43%
Ulcer Indexi4.78%3.15%
Max daily dropi5.51%2.64%
Max wkly dropi10.34%5.19%
5YGrowthi+598.70%+216.94%
CAGRi+47.58%+25.95%
Volatilityi31.63%18.82%
Sharpe ratioi1.251.09
Sortino ratioi1.771.57
Max drawdowni32.02%18.46%
Current drawdowni5.68%2.67%
Avg drawdowni8.23%2.87%
Ulcer Indexi11.63%4.24%
Max daily dropi12.15%7.07%
Max wkly dropi20.93%15.94%
10YGrowthi+773.18%+343.66%
CAGRi+24.20%+16.08%
Volatilityi47.47%30.36%
Sharpe ratioi0.620.49
Sortino ratioi0.840.75
Max drawdowni90.78%75.21%
Current drawdowni5.68%2.67%
Avg drawdowni17.71%9.82%
Ulcer Indexi25.45%16.12%
Max daily dropi52.91%17.61%
Max wkly dropi67.27%45.62%
AI Prediction Signali
Members only
Next 5 trading days
TRGP
+2.8%BUY
MPLX
+1.1%HOLD
Next 30 trading days
TRGP
+6.4%BUY
MPLX
+3.2%HOLD

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Business comparison
Business comparison
CategoryTRGPMPLX
CompanyTarga Resources Corp.MPLX LP (Midstream MLP Reference)
SectorEnergyEnergy - Midstream / Natural Gas & Crude Oil
IndustryOil & Gas MidstreamOil & Gas Midstream
Core businessTarga Resources is a major midstream energy company providing gathering, compression, treating, processing, and NGL logistics services to natural gas and oil producers primarily in the Permian Basin, Anadarko Basin, Bakken, and Williston Basin. Targa's operations: Gathering & Processing (G&P) — collects raw natural gas from producers via gathering pipelines, compresses and processes the gas to remove impurities and extract NGL, and delivers dry residue gas to interstate pipelines; Logistics & Transportation (L&T) — owns NGL pipelines, fractionators (separating mixed NGL into component products: ethane, propane, butane, pentane), and marine export terminals on the Gulf Coast. Targa's Grand Prix NGL Pipeline connects its Permian Basin processing plants to Gulf Coast fractionators at Mont Belvieu, Texas.MPLX LP is a diversified midstream MLP sponsored by Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC), operating crude oil and refined product pipelines, marine terminals, storage facilities, and natural gas gathering and processing (G&P) systems primarily in the Midwest, Appalachian Basin, and Southwest. Following Phillips 66's acquisition of DCP Midstream in 2023, MPLX provides useful comparison context as a major publicly traded midstream MLP with gathering, processing, and logistics operations comparable to what DCP Midstream offered. DCP Midstream was the second-largest natural gas gathering and processing company in the U.S.; the Phillips 66 acquisition integrated DCP's significant DJ Basin, Permian, and Mid-Continent gathering and processing systems into Phillips 66's midstream portfolio. MPLX and Targa Resources are the most representative publicly traded comparables in the gathering and processing midstream segment.
Investor focusInvestors track Targa's fee-based contract volume growth (gallons gathered/processed), NGL fractionation volumes, EBITDA growth, dividend growth, and organic capital investment projects (new processing plants, pipeline expansions).MPLX investors track gathering and processing fee revenue, crude oil and refined products transportation volumes, distribution coverage ratio, and the strategic relationship with Marathon Petroleum as sponsor and anchor customer.
TRGP strengths
  • Permian Basin concentration positions Targa in the highest-growth U.S. production region — Permian Basin oil and gas production growth drives increasing volumes through Targa's gathering and processing systems; organic volume growth is driven by producers drilling more wells connected to existing infrastructure
  • Integrated midstream value chain from wellhead to export provides durable customer relationships — Targa handles natural gas and NGL from the wellhead through processing and fractionation all the way to Gulf Coast export terminals; producers prefer integrated service providers who can manage the entire supply chain
  • Fee-based contract model provides revenue stability with volume growth upside — most of Targa's contracts charge fees per unit of gas or NGL processed rather than marking to market commodity prices; this reduces commodity price volatility while allowing earnings to grow with production volumes
MPLX strengths
  • MPLX's Marathon Petroleum sponsorship provides anchor customer volumes and financial backstop — approximately 50-60% of MPLX revenue comes from Marathon Petroleum's transportation and terminal needs; this concentrated anchor customer provides volume certainty
  • Diversified midstream exposure across crude, refined products, natural gas, and NGL provides revenue resilience — MPLX's multiple product types reduce dependence on any single commodity market or production region
  • MLP structure provides attractive distribution yield — MPLX distributes substantially all cash flow as quarterly distributions, typically yielding 7-9%; the tax-advantaged MLP structure appeals to income investors
Risks to watch — TRGP
  • Producer drilling activity in Targa's core basins is the primary volume driver — if oil prices fall and Permian producers reduce drilling activity, volumes through Targa's gathering systems decline; Targa's earnings are leveraged to U.S. oil and gas drilling cycles
  • Capital-intensive organic expansion projects require careful execution — new processing plants and NGL pipelines cost hundreds of millions each; cost overruns or commissioning delays create earnings risk
  • Regulatory environment for midstream infrastructure permitting — pipeline construction requires environmental permits; legal challenges to new pipeline permits can delay projects and increase costs
Risks to watch — MPLX
  • Marathon Petroleum concentration creates customer dependency — if MPC's refining volumes decline (refinery maintenance or demand reduction), MPLX's anchor customer revenue could fall
  • MLP structures face ongoing investor base challenges — many investors avoid K-1 tax reporting requirements; MLP valuations have been compressed relative to their C-corp midstream peers since the 2015-2016 energy downturn
  • Appalachian gathering system faces same natural gas price risk as the basin — MPLX has significant Marcellus/Utica G&P operations; low natural gas prices reduce producer drilling activity and gathering volumes
Frequently asked questions
Midstream definition: the energy industry is divided into upstream (exploration and production of oil and gas), midstream (transportation, storage, and processing of oil and gas), and downstream (refining, petrochemicals, and retail fuel sales). Gathering: raw natural gas produced at the wellhead contains many components beyond methane — wet gas includes ethane, propane, butane, pentane (the NGL components), water vapor, CO2, H2S, and nitrogen; gathering pipelines are the small-diameter pipelines that connect individual wellheads to central processing facilities; gathering systems are owned by midstream companies like Targa who build and maintain them under long-term gathering agreements with producers. Processing: gas processing plants receive raw wet gas from gathering systems and separate it into component streams — dry residue gas (primarily methane) is delivered to interstate pipelines for transportation to demand centers; NGL stream (ethane, propane, butane, pentane mix) is extracted and transported by NGL pipelines to fractionators; the processing is necessary because interstate pipelines require gas of specific quality (dew point, BTU content) that raw wellhead gas doesn't meet. Fee-based model: Targa and other processors charge producers a fee per Mcf (thousand cubic feet) of gas gathered and processed — these fees may be fixed or may include a 'keep-whole' component (where the midstream company keeps some of the NGLs extracted in payment); most modern contracts are fee-based to provide revenue certainty for both parties.
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