CTRA vs COP Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Coterra's Permian and Marcellus asset base against ConocoPhillips' larger, globally diversified exploration and production scale.
Use this Coterra Energy vs ConocoPhillips comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
COP holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. COP has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+72.52% vs +45.35%), though CTRA has the better forward P/E setup (11.96x vs 13.68x for COP). On fundamentals, COP is growing revenue faster (35.50%), while CTRA maintains the higher operating margin (33.33%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for COP (+11.49%) than for CTRA (+5.79%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | CTRA | COP |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 44.6 | 59.6 |
| AI ranki | #764 | #245 |
| Latest closei | $32.56 | $150.80 |
| 1M returni | -6.73% | +17.73% |
| 3M returni | +6.79% | +25.39% |
| 6M returni | +26.45% | +23.85% |
| 1Y returni | +45.35% | +72.52% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | CTRA | COP |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $14.33K (+43.3%) started 2025-05-08 | $16.74K (+67.4%) started 2025-10-23 |
| 5Y ago | $30.31K (+203.1%) started 2021-05-10 | $26.18K (+161.8%) started 2021-10-25 |
| 10Y ago | $25.91K (+159.1%) started 2016-05-09 | $62.8K (+528.0%) started 2016-10-24 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | CTRA | COP |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $26.87B | $156.59B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 15.79 | 17.24 |
| Forward P/Ei | 11.96 | 13.68 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 4.40 | 2.67 |
| Analyst targeti | $37.43 | $145.33 |
| Target upsidei | +5.79% | +11.49% |
| Metric | CTRA | COP |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 23.40% | 35.50% |
| Earnings growthi | 20.60% | 107.00% |
| EPS growthi | +20.60% | +107.00% |
| FCF margini | +17.40% | +11.93% |
| Operating margini | 33.33% | 31.51% |
| Profit margini | 24.56% | 14.40% |
| ROIC proxyi | 12.28% | 14.18% |
| Return on equityi | 12.28% | 14.18% |
| Dividend yieldi | 2.49% | 2.58% |
| Payout ratioi | N/A | 43.71% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.27 | 0.12 |
| Debt/equityi | 26.98 | 35.64 |
| Current ratioi | 1.19 | 1.54 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.98 | 1.18 |
Over the past year, CTRA and COP have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.63), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | CTRA | COP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +42.08% | +67.41% |
| CAGRi | +42.20% | +67.53% | |
| Volatilityi | 29.09% | 30.74% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.21 | 1.69 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.69 | 2.53 | |
| Max drawdowni | 16.28% | 22.86% | |
| Current drawdowni | 10.33% | 0.00% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 5.98% | 6.03% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 7.73% | 8.50% | |
| Max daily dropi | 8.62% | 6.15% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 9.33% | 11.29% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +132.88% | +126.25% |
| CAGRi | +18.45% | +17.76% | |
| Volatilityi | 34.50% | 32.60% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.54 | 0.53 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.76 | 0.75 | |
| Max drawdowni | 33.25% | 36.30% | |
| Current drawdowni | 10.33% | 0.00% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 16.57% | 14.98% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 18.56% | 17.71% | |
| Max daily dropi | 9.92% | 10.23% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.65% | 21.57% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +83.10% | +364.96% |
| CAGRi | +6.24% | +16.62% | |
| Volatilityi | 35.56% | 37.57% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.22 | 0.48 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.32 | 0.69 | |
| Max drawdowni | 52.56% | 70.66% | |
| Current drawdowni | 10.33% | 0.00% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 20.60% | 17.79% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 23.61% | 22.59% | |
| Max daily dropi | 12.07% | 24.84% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.65% | 40.88% |
| Category | CTRA | COP |
|---|---|---|
| Company | CTRA | COP |
| Sector | Energy | Energy |
| Industry | N/A | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Core business | N/A | ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids. |
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