VLO vs CVX Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Valero's refining and renewable fuels concentration against Chevron's integrated upstream and downstream operations.
Use this Valero Energy vs Chevron comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
VLO holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. VLO leads on both 1-year return (+159.02%) and forward P/E quality (9.39x vs 15.25x for CVX), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. CVX leads on both revenue growth (53.50%) and operating margin (21.87%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for CVX (+8.14%) than for VLO (-8.57%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | VLO | CVX |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 68.3 | 58.6 |
| AI ranki | #43 | #278 |
| Latest closei | $419.28 | $233.21 |
| 1M returni | +11.56% | +13.48% |
| 3M returni | +38.60% | +19.72% |
| 6M returni | +77.77% | +25.92% |
| 1Y returni | +159.02% | +49.91% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | VLO | CVX |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $24.22K (+142.2%) started 2025-10-23 | $14.9K (+49.0%) started 2025-10-23 |
| 5Y ago | $65.26K (+552.6%) started 2021-10-25 | $28K (+180.0%) started 2021-10-25 |
| 10Y ago | $161.58K (+1515.8%) started 2016-10-24 | $52.59K (+425.9%) started 2016-10-24 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | VLO | CVX |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $128.04B | $395.97B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 18.54 | 19.41 |
| Forward P/Ei | 9.39 | 15.25 |
| Price/Salesi | 0.33 | 1.24 |
| EV/Revenuei | 1.02 | 2.06 |
| Analyst targeti | $406.58 | $218.29 |
| Target upsidei | -8.57% | +8.14% |
| Metric | VLO | CVX |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 51.70% | 53.50% |
| Earnings growthi | 453.50% | 321.90% |
| EPS growthi | +453.50% | +321.90% |
| FCF margini | +6.36% | +10.48% |
| Operating margini | 12.27% | 21.87% |
| Profit margini | 5.45% | 9.83% |
| ROIC proxyi | 27.64% | 12.23% |
| Return on equityi | 27.64% | 12.23% |
| Dividend yieldi | 1.08% | 3.56% |
| Payout ratioi | 19.42% | 67.18% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.59 | 0.49 |
| Debt/equityi | 40.15 | 18.96 |
| Current ratioi | 1.64 | 1.25 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.05 | 0.84 |
Over the past year, VLO and CVX have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.57), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | VLO | CVX |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +142.18% | +48.96% |
| CAGRi | +142.48% | +49.04% | |
| Volatilityi | 37.13% | 24.15% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 2.46 | 1.59 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 4.03 | 2.37 | |
| Max drawdowni | 12.67% | 21.53% | |
| Current drawdowni | 8.81% | 0.00% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 3.35% | 5.76% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 4.70% | 7.93% | |
| Max daily dropi | 7.48% | 4.59% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 8.48% | 7.53% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +474.93% | +138.16% |
| CAGRi | +41.93% | +18.97% | |
| Volatilityi | 36.90% | 25.21% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.02 | 0.64 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.48 | 0.89 | |
| Max drawdowni | 41.22% | 24.95% | |
| Current drawdowni | 8.81% | 0.00% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 12.83% | 10.06% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 16.15% | 11.76% | |
| Max daily dropi | 14.47% | 8.22% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 21.35% | 18.74% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +963.72% | +236.10% |
| CAGRi | +26.68% | +12.89% | |
| Volatilityi | 40.69% | 29.35% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.67 | 0.41 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.00 | 0.58 | |
| Max drawdowni | 71.88% | 55.77% | |
| Current drawdowni | 8.81% | 0.00% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 19.09% | 10.58% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 24.91% | 13.54% | |
| Max daily dropi | 19.22% | 22.12% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 35.65% | 33.70% |
| Category | VLO | CVX |
|---|---|---|
| Company | VLO | CVX |
| Sector | Energy | Energy |
| Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Oil & Gas Integrated |
| Core business | Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America,… | Chevron Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the integrated energy and chemicals operations in the United States and internationally. |
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AI score, forward P/E, analyst target upside, operating margin, and revenue growth are scored head-to-head, with a running tally of which ticker leads on how many metrics.
Volatility, Sharpe and Sortino ratios, maximum, current, and average drawdown, Ulcer Index, and worst single-day and single-week drops across every timeframe.
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