MPC vs CVX Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Marathon Petroleum's refining and midstream logistics scale against Chevron's integrated upstream and downstream business.
Use this Marathon Petroleum vs Chevron comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
MPC holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. MPC leads on both 1-year return (+117.26%) and forward P/E quality (11.45x vs 15.25x for CVX), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, MPC is growing revenue faster (53.70%), while CVX maintains the higher operating margin (21.87%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for CVX (+8.14%) than for MPC (-12.00%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | MPC | CVX |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 62.6 | 52.7 |
| AI ranki | #111 | #360 |
| Latest closei | $388.90 | $208.60 |
| 1M returni | +30.61% | +11.90% |
| 6M returni | +78.92% | +9.85% |
| 1Y returni | +117.26% | +31.98% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | MPC | CVX |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $21.73K (+117.3%) started 2025-09-04 | $13.23K (+32.3%) started 2025-09-04 |
| 5Y ago | $78.78K (+687.8%) started 2021-09-07 | $29.37K (+193.7%) started 2021-09-07 |
| 10Y ago | $161.91K (+1519.1%) started 2016-09-06 | $46.23K (+362.3%) started 2016-09-06 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | MPC | CVX |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $103.58B | $395.97B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 12.79 | 19.41 |
| Forward P/Ei | 11.45 | 15.25 |
| Price/Salesi | 0.36 | 1.24 |
| EV/Revenuei | 0.89 | 2.06 |
| Analyst targeti | $324.56 | $218.29 |
| Target upsidei | -12.00% | +8.14% |
| Metric | MPC | CVX |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 53.70% | 53.50% |
| Earnings growthi | 348.00% | 321.90% |
| EPS growthi | +348.00% | +321.90% |
| FCF margini | +6.00% | +10.48% |
| Operating margini | 13.56% | 21.87% |
| Profit margini | 5.55% | 9.83% |
| ROIC proxyi | 42.10% | 12.23% |
| Return on equityi | 42.10% | 12.23% |
| Dividend yieldi | 1.08% | 3.56% |
| Betai | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| Debt/equityi | 133.33 | 18.96 |
| Current ratioi | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.86 | 0.84 |
Over the past year, MPC and CVX have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.59), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | MPC | CVX |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +117.29% | +32.28% |
| CAGRi | +117.53% | +32.34% | |
| Volatilityi | 34.11% | 23.52% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 2.32 | 1.12 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 3.64 | 1.62 | |
| Max drawdowni | 18.74% | 21.53% | |
| Current drawdowni | 0.00% | 1.50% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 4.62% | 6.12% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 6.67% | 8.10% | |
| Max daily dropi | 6.13% | 4.59% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 11.18% | 7.53% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +621.90% | +149.88% |
| CAGRi | +48.58% | +20.14% | |
| Volatilityi | 33.21% | 25.20% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.23 | 0.68 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.78 | 0.95 | |
| Max drawdowni | 44.75% | 24.95% | |
| Current drawdowni | 0.00% | 1.50% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 11.98% | 10.01% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 16.12% | 11.75% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.06% | 8.22% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 19.43% | 18.74% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +1086.59% | +195.44% |
| CAGRi | +28.08% | +11.45% | |
| Volatilityi | 40.08% | 29.31% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.71 | 0.36 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.02 | 0.51 | |
| Max drawdowni | 79.67% | 55.77% | |
| Current drawdowni | 0.00% | 1.50% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 18.12% | 10.59% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 24.91% | 13.54% | |
| Max daily dropi | 27.01% | 22.12% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 46.59% | 33.70% |
| Category | MPC | CVX |
|---|---|---|
| Company | MPC | CVX |
| Sector | Energy | Energy |
| Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Oil & Gas Integrated |
| Core business | Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. | Chevron Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the integrated energy and chemicals operations in the United States and internationally. |
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