MPC vs NUE Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Marathon Petroleum's refining and midstream logistics scale against Nucor's electric-arc-furnace steel production.
Use this Marathon Petroleum vs Nucor comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
NUE holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. MPC leads on both 1-year return (+117.26%) and forward P/E quality (11.45x vs 13.71x for NUE), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, MPC is growing revenue faster (53.70%), while NUE maintains the higher operating margin (15.67%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for NUE (+8.33%) than for MPC (-12.00%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | MPC | NUE |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 62.6 | 66.7 |
| AI ranki | #111 | #63 |
| Latest closei | $388.90 | $261.07 |
| 1M returni | +30.61% | -4.98% |
| 6M returni | +78.92% | +51.70% |
| 1Y returni | +117.26% | +79.79% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | MPC | NUE |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $21.73K (+117.3%) started 2025-09-04 | $18.01K (+80.1%) started 2025-09-04 |
| 5Y ago | $78.78K (+687.8%) started 2021-09-07 | $25.53K (+155.3%) started 2021-09-07 |
| 10Y ago | $161.91K (+1519.1%) started 2016-09-06 | $80.04K (+700.4%) started 2016-09-06 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | MPC | NUE |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $103.58B | $59.23B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 12.79 | 20.84 |
| Forward P/Ei | 11.45 | 13.71 |
| Price/Salesi | 0.36 | 0.92 |
| EV/Revenuei | 0.89 | 1.79 |
| Analyst targeti | $324.56 | $282.81 |
| Target upsidei | -12.00% | +8.33% |
| Metric | MPC | NUE |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 53.70% | 23.00% |
| Earnings growthi | 348.00% | 93.80% |
| EPS growthi | +348.00% | +93.80% |
| FCF margini | +6.00% | +1.89% |
| Operating margini | 13.56% | 15.67% |
| Profit margini | 5.55% | 7.99% |
| ROIC proxyi | 42.10% | 14.55% |
| Return on equityi | 42.10% | 14.55% |
| Dividend yieldi | 1.08% | 0.86% |
| Betai | 0.51 | 1.88 |
| Debt/equityi | 133.33 | 30.51 |
| Current ratioi | 1.25 | 2.51 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.86 | 1.28 |
Over the past year, MPC and NUE have moved barely in the same direction (correlation of 0.08), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | MPC | NUE |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +117.29% | +80.12% |
| CAGRi | +117.53% | +80.27% | |
| Volatilityi | 34.11% | 31.73% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 2.32 | 1.87 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 3.64 | 2.91 | |
| Max drawdowni | 18.74% | 18.43% | |
| Current drawdowni | 0.00% | 4.98% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 4.62% | 5.31% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 6.67% | 7.29% | |
| Max daily dropi | 6.13% | 5.95% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 11.18% | 11.68% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +621.90% | +140.79% |
| CAGRi | +48.58% | +19.25% | |
| Volatilityi | 33.21% | 37.50% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.23 | 0.54 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.78 | 0.78 | |
| Max drawdowni | 44.75% | 47.79% | |
| Current drawdowni | 0.00% | 4.98% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 11.98% | 17.48% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 16.12% | 21.37% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.06% | 11.31% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 19.43% | 18.48% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +1086.59% | +542.91% |
| CAGRi | +28.08% | +20.47% | |
| Volatilityi | 40.08% | 36.14% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.71 | 0.57 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.02 | 0.83 | |
| Max drawdowni | 79.67% | 57.21% | |
| Current drawdowni | 0.00% | 4.98% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 18.12% | 16.48% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 24.91% | 20.13% | |
| Max daily dropi | 27.01% | 14.51% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 46.59% | 22.08% |
| Category | MPC | NUE |
|---|---|---|
| Company | MPC | NUE |
| Sector | Energy | Basic Materials |
| Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Steel |
| Core business | Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. | Nucor Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of steel and steel products. |
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