AMCR vs BALL Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
AMCR offers diversified, defensive flexible-packaging exposure across food, beverage, and healthcare with a steady dividend, while BALL is a more cyclical, higher-growth pure-play on aluminum can demand and sustainability-driven packaging shifts. BALL's growth has recently been challenged by industry overcapacity.
AMCR vs BALL contrasts a diversified, defensive flexible-packaging conglomerate against a more cyclical pure-play on aluminum beverage cans riding the sustainable-packaging trend.
AMCR holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. AMCR leads on both 1-year return (+352.92%) and forward P/E (9.47x vs 12.61x for BALL), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, AMCR is growing revenue faster (77.40%), while BALL maintains the higher operating margin (9.35%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for BALL (+24.23%) than for AMCR (+18.76%).
- →Want diversified, defensive packaging exposure across food and healthcare
- →Value a consistent and well-covered dividend
- →Prefer lower cyclicality over high growth
- →Want exposure to the secular shift toward sustainable aluminum packaging
- →Believe seltzer and energy drink volume growth will continue
- →Can tolerate near-term industry overcapacity pressures
| Metric | AMCR | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 58.1 | 38.4 |
| AI rank | #198 | #1280 |
| Latest close | $41.08 | $57.72 |
| 1M return | +11.97% | +4.74% |
| 6M return | +390.80% | +10.85% |
| 1Y return | +352.92% | +4.36% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | AMCR | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $45.39K (+353.9%) started 2025-06-18 | $10.34K (+3.4%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | $51.16K (+411.6%) started 2021-06-21 | $7.94K (-20.6%) started 2021-06-21 |
| 10Y ago | $90.36K (+803.6%) started 2016-06-20 | $19.22K (+92.2%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | AMCR | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $18.77B | $15.17B |
| Trailing P/E | 32.48 | 16.61 |
| Forward P/E | 9.47 | 12.61 |
| Price/Sales | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenue | 1.53 | 1.66 |
| Analyst target | $48.21 | $70.79 |
| Target upside | +18.76% | +24.23% |
| Metric | AMCR | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 77.40% | 16.30% |
| Earnings growth | -11.70% | 21.90% |
| EPS growth | -11.70% | +21.90% |
| FCF margin | +0.67% | +2.95% |
| Operating margin | 8.59% | 9.35% |
| Profit margin | 3.06% | 6.86% |
| ROIC proxy | 8.74% | 16.79% |
| Return on equity | 8.74% | 16.79% |
| Dividend yield | 6.40% | 1.40% |
| Beta | 0.64 | 1.01 |
| Debt/equity | 143.74 | 145.54 |
| Current ratio | 1.44 | 1.12 |
| Quick ratio | 0.75 | 0.65 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | AMCR | BALL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +353.92% | +3.39% |
| CAGR | +354.90% | +3.39% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.97 | 0.09 | |
| Max drawdown | 27.46% | 22.34% | |
| Max daily drop | 11.87% | 6.27% | |
| Max wkly drop | 13.78% | 9.54% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +325.02% | -24.32% |
| CAGR | +33.62% | -5.43% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.42 | -0.18 | |
| Max drawdown | 33.83% | 55.09% | |
| Max daily drop | 11.87% | 18.58% | |
| Max wkly drop | 13.78% | 23.55% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +451.83% | +75.14% |
| CAGR | +18.64% | +5.77% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.31 | 0.18 | |
| Max drawdown | 48.09% | 55.09% | |
| Max daily drop | 16.15% | 18.58% | |
| Max wkly drop | 33.00% | 23.55% |
| Category | AMCR | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Amcor plc | Ball Corporation |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Amcor is a global leader in flexible and rigid packaging, producing plastic films, bottles, and containers for food, beverage, healthcare, and consumer products customers worldwide. | Ball Corporation is the world's largest manufacturer of aluminum beverage cans, supplying beer, soft drink, and seltzer producers globally, with a strong sustainability positioning around aluminum's recyclability. |
| Investor focus | Investors track volume growth in defensive end markets like food and healthcare, sustainability-driven product innovation, and Amcor's steady dividend. | Investors track global can volume growth, especially in seltzers and energy drinks, aluminum cost pass-through dynamics, and capital spending on new can plants. |
- →Diversified global footprint across defensive food, beverage, and healthcare packaging
- →Strong free cash flow supporting a consistent dividend
- →Investing in recyclable and sustainable packaging innovation
- →Leading global market position in highly recyclable aluminum can packaging
- →Benefits from consumer and brand shift toward sustainable packaging
- →Strong long-term volume growth from seltzer and energy drink categories
- →Slower organic growth profile typical of mature packaging markets
- →Exposure to resin and raw material cost volatility
- →Currency translation risk from global operations
- →Overbuilt can capacity in recent years has pressured industry pricing and margins
- →Aluminum cost volatility and pass-through contract structures affect profitability
- →High capital intensity of new can-plant construction
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