AMCR vs BALL Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
AMCR offers diversified, defensive flexible-packaging exposure across food, beverage, and healthcare with a steady dividend, while BALL is a more cyclical, higher-growth pure-play on aluminum can demand and sustainability-driven packaging shifts. BALL's growth has recently been challenged by industry overcapacity.
AMCR vs BALL contrasts a diversified, defensive flexible-packaging conglomerate against a more cyclical pure-play on aluminum beverage cans riding the sustainable-packaging trend.
AMCR holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. AMCR leads on both 1-year return (+394.84%) and forward P/E quality (10.49x vs 14.35x for BALL), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, AMCR is growing revenue faster (77.40%), while BALL maintains the higher operating margin (9.35%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +7.75% for AMCR and +9.62% for BALL.
- →Want diversified, defensive packaging exposure across food and healthcare
- →Value a consistent and well-covered dividend
- →Prefer lower cyclicality over high growth
- →Want exposure to the secular shift toward sustainable aluminum packaging
- →Believe seltzer and energy drink volume growth will continue
- →Can tolerate near-term industry overcapacity pressures
| Metric | AMCR | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 64.5 | 38.9 |
| AI rank | #78 | #1187 |
| Latest close | $46.02 | $65.15 |
| 1M return | +2.27% | +2.78% |
| 6M return | +4.00% | +14.56% |
| 1Y return | +394.84% | +14.02% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | AMCR | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $48.96K (+389.6%) started 2025-08-04 | $11.31K (+13.1%) started 2025-08-04 |
| 5Y ago | $56.67K (+466.7%) started 2021-08-04 | $9.07K (-9.3%) started 2021-08-04 |
| 10Y ago | $100.6K (+906.0%) started 2016-08-04 | $19.91K (+99.1%) started 2016-08-04 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | AMCR | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $20.75B | $17.28B |
| Trailing P/E | 36.19 | 18.92 |
| Forward P/E | 10.49 | 14.35 |
| Price/Sales | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenue | 1.62 | 1.81 |
| Analyst target | $48.36 | $71.14 |
| Target upside | +7.75% | +9.62% |
| Metric | AMCR | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 77.40% | 16.30% |
| Earnings growth | -11.70% | 21.90% |
| EPS growth | -11.70% | +21.90% |
| FCF margin | +0.67% | +2.95% |
| Operating margin | 8.59% | 9.35% |
| Profit margin | 3.06% | 6.86% |
| ROIC proxy | 8.74% | 16.79% |
| Return on equity | 8.74% | 16.79% |
| Dividend yield | 5.79% | 1.23% |
| Beta | 0.61 | 0.99 |
| Debt/equity | 143.74 | 145.54 |
| Current ratio | 1.44 | 1.12 |
| Quick ratio | 0.75 | 0.65 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | AMCR | BALL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +389.57% | +13.09% |
| CAGR | +392.84% | +13.15% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.00 | 0.43 | |
| Max drawdown | 27.46% | 22.34% | |
| Max daily drop | 11.87% | 6.27% | |
| Max wkly drop | 13.78% | 8.25% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +370.79% | -13.57% |
| CAGR | +36.34% | -2.88% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.43 | -0.09 | |
| Max drawdown | 33.83% | 55.09% | |
| Max daily drop | 11.87% | 18.58% | |
| Max wkly drop | 13.78% | 23.55% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +514.34% | +81.44% |
| CAGR | +19.91% | +6.14% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.32 | 0.19 | |
| Max drawdown | 48.09% | 55.09% | |
| Max daily drop | 16.15% | 18.58% | |
| Max wkly drop | 33.00% | 23.55% |
| Category | AMCR | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Amcor plc | Ball Corporation |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Amcor is a global leader in flexible and rigid packaging, producing plastic films, bottles, and containers for food, beverage, healthcare, and consumer products customers worldwide. | Ball Corporation is the world's largest manufacturer of aluminum beverage cans, supplying beer, soft drink, and seltzer producers globally, with a strong sustainability positioning around aluminum's recyclability. |
| Investor focus | Investors track volume growth in defensive end markets like food and healthcare, sustainability-driven product innovation, and Amcor's steady dividend. | Investors track global can volume growth, especially in seltzers and energy drinks, aluminum cost pass-through dynamics, and capital spending on new can plants. |
- →Diversified global footprint across defensive food, beverage, and healthcare packaging
- →Strong free cash flow supporting a consistent dividend
- →Investing in recyclable and sustainable packaging innovation
- →Leading global market position in highly recyclable aluminum can packaging
- →Benefits from consumer and brand shift toward sustainable packaging
- →Strong long-term volume growth from seltzer and energy drink categories
- →Slower organic growth profile typical of mature packaging markets
- →Exposure to resin and raw material cost volatility
- →Currency translation risk from global operations
- →Overbuilt can capacity in recent years has pressured industry pricing and margins
- →Aluminum cost volatility and pass-through contract structures affect profitability
- →High capital intensity of new can-plant construction
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