AMD vs INTC: AMD vs Intel Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
AMD is an executional success story — a fabless chip designer that has taken significant CPU market share from Intel and is building a credible AI GPU business to challenge NVIDIA. Intel is a turnaround story with existential strategic importance as the only Western advanced semiconductor manufacturer, but deep execution challenges in both products and foundry.
Use this AMD vs INTC comparison to choose between a chip compounder and a turnaround. AMD has momentum in data center CPUs and is building AI GPU traction; Intel is attempting simultaneous product and manufacturing recovery in what may be the most difficult business transformation in the semiconductor industry.
AMD holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. INTC has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+135.54% vs +124.47%), though AMD has the better forward P/E setup (33.28x vs 43.86x for INTC). AMD leads on both revenue growth (50.10%) and operating margin (17.25%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for INTC (+28.40%) than for AMD (+19.17%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want a semiconductor compounder with proven data center CPU market share gains and growing AI GPU exposure
- Value the fabless model's capital efficiency and TSMC process node access
- Believe MI300 and future Instinct GPUs can capture meaningful AI training and inference market share
- Prefer a cleaner growth story relative to Intel's complex turnaround execution risk
- Want deep value exposure to a turnaround with a decades-long history of ultimate resilience
- Value Intel Foundry as a strategically critical Western manufacturing asset with CHIPS Act tailwinds
- Believe 18A process competitiveness will be demonstrated, unlocking both product and foundry value
- Are comfortable with a multi-year recovery timeline and elevated uncertainty in exchange for potential rerating upside
| Metric | AMD | INTC |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 85.7 | 58.2 |
| AI ranki | #5 | #170 |
| Latest closei | $516.79 | $86.96 |
| 1M returni | -15.92% | -29.07% |
| 3M returni | -0.99% | -5.81% |
| 6M returni | +48.58% | +5.35% |
| 1Y returni | +124.47% | +135.54% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | AMD | INTC |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $21.99K (+119.9%) started 2025-10-23 | $22.79K (+127.9%) started 2025-10-23 |
| 5Y ago | $42.24K (+322.4%) started 2021-10-25 | $20.82K (+108.2%) started 2021-10-25 |
| 10Y ago | $737.22K (+7272.2%) started 2016-10-24 | $38.42K (+284.2%) started 2016-10-24 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | AMD | INTC |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $842.57B | $472.95B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 131.67 | 759.17 |
| Forward P/Ei | 33.28 | 43.86 |
| Price/Salesi | 24.30 | 1.65 |
| EV/Revenuei | 20.18 | 8.55 |
| Analyst targeti | $615.07 | $114.88 |
| Target upsidei | +19.17% | +28.40% |
| Metric | AMD | INTC |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 50.10% | 25.40% |
| Earnings growthi | 159.50% | N/A |
| EPS growthi | +159.50% | N/A |
| FCF margini | +21.41% | +8.53% |
| Operating margini | 17.25% | 12.19% |
| Profit margini | 15.58% | -19.79% |
| ROIC proxyi | 10.20% | -10.71% |
| Return on equityi | 10.20% | -10.71% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 2.48 | 2.24 |
| Debt/equityi | 6.36 | 49.00 |
| Current ratioi | 2.61 | 1.60 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.69 | 1.16 |
Over the past year, AMD and INTC have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.67), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | AMD | INTC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +119.92% | +127.88% |
| CAGRi | +120.17% | +128.15% | |
| Volatilityi | 68.21% | 77.76% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.43 | 1.39 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 2.28 | 2.31 | |
| Max drawdowni | 27.76% | 41.90% | |
| Current drawdowni | 20.42% | 38.30% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 12.18% | 15.38% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 14.82% | 18.97% | |
| Max daily dropi | 17.31% | 17.03% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 23.67% | 21.05% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +322.35% | +91.08% |
| CAGRi | +33.43% | +13.84% | |
| Volatilityi | 57.68% | 55.43% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.71 | 0.43 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.09 | 0.66 | |
| Max drawdowni | 65.45% | 65.04% | |
| Current drawdowni | 20.42% | 38.30% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 29.20% | 34.01% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 33.78% | 38.64% | |
| Max daily dropi | 17.31% | 26.06% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 23.91% | 37.83% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +7272.18% | +204.38% |
| CAGRi | +53.75% | +11.78% | |
| Volatilityi | 57.06% | 46.17% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.96 | 0.37 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.48 | 0.56 | |
| Max drawdowni | 65.45% | 70.80% | |
| Current drawdowni | 20.42% | 38.30% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 21.47% | 27.30% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 26.89% | 34.49% | |
| Max daily dropi | 24.23% | 26.06% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 32.68% | 37.83% |
| Category | AMD | INTC |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | Intel Corporation |
| Sector | Technology | Technology |
| Industry | Semiconductors | Semiconductors |
| Core business | Fabless semiconductor company designing CPUs, GPUs, and adaptive computing chips. Key segments: Data Center (EPYC server CPUs, Instinct MI300 AI GPUs), Client (Ryzen CPUs), Gaming (Radeon GPUs, console chips), and Embedded. | Integrated device manufacturer (IDM) designing and manufacturing x86 CPUs, server processors, network chips, and GPU accelerators. Also operates Intel Foundry Services (IFS) as a third-party contract manufacturer. |
| Investor focus | MI300X AI GPU ramp and market share vs NVIDIA, EPYC data center CPU share gains vs Intel, gaming and embedded segment recovery, and gross margin expansion. | 18A process node competitiveness, Foundry Services external customer traction, Xeon server CPU market share stabilisation, Gaudi AI accelerator adoption, and cost restructuring. |
- EPYC has taken substantial x86 server CPU market share from Intel with superior performance-per-watt
- MI300X AI GPU is a credible alternative to NVIDIA's H100/H200 — Microsoft, Meta, and hyperscalers are adopting it
- Fabless model with TSMC manufacturing provides access to cutting-edge process nodes without fab capex
- Intel Foundry is the only Western-based advanced semiconductor manufacturer at scale — strategically valuable for geopolitical reasons
- x86 architecture still powers the overwhelming majority of enterprise servers — large installed base creates switching friction
- Significant US government support (CHIPS Act funding) to support advanced domestic semiconductor manufacturing
- NVIDIA maintains dominant AI GPU mindshare — AMD must prove sustained MI300 traction beyond initial deployments
- Gaming and embedded segments remain depressed, limiting near-term overall revenue growth
- Execution risk on MI400 roadmap — maintaining competitive parity with NVIDIA's next-generation Blackwell+ chips
- 18A process yield and performance parity with TSMC 2nm remains unproven at commercial scale
- Market share losses in data center CPUs to AMD EPYC have been severe and are ongoing
- Foundry Services external customer wins have been slow — the business remains in early build-out with no near-term profitability
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