AMD vs NVIDIA Stock Price Comparison 2026: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
NVIDIA is the current AI infrastructure leader with stronger platform momentum, while AMD offers broader chip exposure and a challenger position in AI accelerators.
Use this NVDA vs AMD comparison to decide whether the market is paying a fair price for NVIDIA's AI leadership or offering a more attractive risk-reward in AMD's challenger setup.
NVDA holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. AMD has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+121.61% vs +19.07%), though NVDA has the better forward P/E setup (14.21x vs 33.28x for AMD). NVDA leads on both revenue growth (105.90%) and operating margin (66.24%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for NVDA (+48.66%) than for AMD (+19.17%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want to own the dominant AI accelerator ecosystem with platform lock-in
- Believe data-center AI capex will sustain strong multi-year demand
- Are comfortable with a premium valuation in exchange for category leadership
- Want software (CUDA) and hardware combined in one investment
- Prefer a cheaper entry point into the AI chip opportunity
- Want diversified semiconductor exposure (CPU, GPU, embedded, client)
- Believe AMD can take meaningful AI accelerator share from NVIDIA
- Are comfortable with more cyclical revenue in exchange for potential upside
| Metric | NVDA | AMD |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 87.7 | 86.1 |
| AI ranki | #3 | #12 |
| Latest closei | $214.13 | $528.75 |
| 1M returni | +0.11% | +3.17% |
| 3M returni | +5.58% | +6.65% |
| 6M returni | +6.17% | +89.93% |
| 1Y returni | +19.07% | +121.61% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | NVDA | AMD |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $11.78K (+17.8%) started 2025-10-16 | $22.54K (+125.4%) started 2025-10-16 |
| 5Y ago | $96.72K (+867.2%) started 2021-10-18 | $45.41K (+354.1%) started 2021-10-18 |
| 10Y ago | $1.35M (+13389.5%) started 2016-10-17 | $792.73K (+7827.3%) started 2016-10-17 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | NVDA | AMD |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $5.25T | $842.57B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 27.47 | 131.67 |
| Forward P/Ei | 14.21 | 33.28 |
| Price/Salesi | 23.66 | 24.30 |
| EV/Revenuei | 17.23 | 20.18 |
| Analyst targeti | $323.42 | $615.07 |
| Target upsidei | +48.66% | +19.17% |
| Metric | NVDA | AMD |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 105.90% | 50.10% |
| Earnings growthi | 127.80% | 159.50% |
| EPS growthi | +127.80% | +159.50% |
| FCF margini | +13.80% | +21.41% |
| Operating margini | 66.24% | 17.25% |
| Profit margini | 63.66% | 15.58% |
| ROIC proxyi | 117.21% | 10.20% |
| Return on equityi | 117.21% | 10.20% |
| Dividend yieldi | 0.46% | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 3.54% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | N/A |
| Betai | 2.21 | 2.48 |
| Debt/equityi | 16.97 | 6.36 |
| Current ratioi | 4.59 | 2.61 |
| Quick ratioi | 2.92 | 1.69 |
Over the past year, NVDA and AMD have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.51), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | NVDA | AMD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +17.78% | +125.42% |
| CAGRi | +17.80% | +125.68% | |
| Volatilityi | 37.25% | 67.78% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.51 | 1.48 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.75 | 2.36 | |
| Max drawdowni | 20.22% | 27.76% | |
| Current drawdowni | 10.50% | 18.58% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 9.03% | 11.85% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 10.21% | 14.59% | |
| Max daily dropi | 6.20% | 17.31% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 10.72% | 23.67% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +865.40% | +354.14% |
| CAGRi | +57.45% | +35.39% | |
| Volatilityi | 51.91% | 57.54% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.05 | 0.73 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.62 | 1.13 | |
| Max drawdowni | 66.34% | 65.45% | |
| Current drawdowni | 10.50% | 18.58% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 16.72% | 29.13% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 24.19% | 33.76% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.97% | 17.31% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.20% | 23.91% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +13169.84% | +7827.29% |
| CAGRi | +63.06% | +54.87% | |
| Volatilityi | 50.06% | 57.08% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.14 | 0.97 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.74 | 1.50 | |
| Max drawdowni | 66.34% | 65.45% | |
| Current drawdowni | 10.50% | 18.58% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 15.50% | 21.44% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 22.78% | 26.88% | |
| Max daily dropi | 18.76% | 24.23% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 28.36% | 32.68% |
| Category | NVDA | AMD |
|---|---|---|
| Company | NVIDIA Corporation | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. |
| Sector | Technology | Technology |
| Industry | Semiconductors | Semiconductors |
| Core business | GPUs, AI accelerators, data center platforms, networking, software, and gaming chips. | CPUs, GPUs, adaptive computing, data center chips, gaming, and embedded processors. |
| Investor focus | AI accelerator leadership, data center growth, margins, platform durability, and valuation risk. | AI accelerator share gains, server CPU momentum, cyclicality, and margin expansion. |
- Leading AI accelerator ecosystem
- Strong data center demand from cloud and enterprise AI workloads
- Hardware plus software platform advantage
- Competitive CPU portfolio across servers and PCs
- Growing AI accelerator opportunity
- Diversified chip exposure across data center, client, gaming, and embedded markets
- High expectations already reflected in valuation
- Customer concentration among large cloud providers
- Competition from custom AI chips and alternative accelerators
- Execution risk in AI accelerator adoption
- Cyclical demand in PCs, gaming, and embedded segments
- Margin pressure from intense semiconductor competition
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