brimindinvest.com / compare / on-vs-wolfLIVE
ON
ON Semiconductor Corporation · Technology
$121.62
+14.71% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
WOLF
Wolfspeed, Inc. · Technology
$57.41
-2.41% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
ON
2
WOLF
1
ON LEADS 2/5
Comparison scoreboard
ON LEADS 2/5
AI Score
ON 61.4
WOLF 38.5
1Y Return
ON +129.73%
WOLF N/A
Fwd P/E
ON 27.38
WOLF -11.47
Target Up.
ON -8.97%
WOLF -30.33%
Op. Margin
ON 18.23%
WOLF N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 6/20/2026
Quick take

ON vs WOLF Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

ON Semiconductor and Wolfspeed are both major SiC power semiconductor players, but with very different financial profiles and risk levels. Onsemi is profitable, diversified, and investment-grade, making it the lower-risk way to own EV SiC exposure. Wolfspeed is the pure-play SiC manufacturer with the largest substrate IP and capacity plans, but carries significant debt that makes it a high-stakes turnaround story dependent on EV demand accelerating.

ON vs WOLF is the choice between a financially stable diversified SiC player (onsemi) and a highly leveraged pure-play SiC manufacturer (Wolfspeed) — onsemi offers EV SiC exposure without balance sheet risk, while Wolfspeed offers maximum SiC upside alongside significant solvency risk if EV timing disappoints.

Live analysis · updated 6/20/2026

ON holds the edge across 2 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for ON (-8.97%) than for WOLF (-30.33%).

Normalized 1Y performance
ON
WOLF
Recent returns
ON
WOLF
Analyst price targets & sentiment
ON · 29 analysts
Price target range
analyst low$33.00
analyst mean$106.31
current price$121.62
-9.0% upside to analyst mean
WOLF · 1 analysts
Price target range
analyst low$40.00
analyst high$40.00
analyst mean$40.00
current price$57.41
-30.3% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
ON may suit investors who:
  • prefer a profitable, investment-grade company with SiC EV exposure alongside a diversified image sensor business
  • value financial stability and the ability to invest in SiC capacity without dilutive equity raises
  • want EV semiconductor exposure with the downside protection of a profitable multi-product company
  • are comfortable with near-term automotive inventory correction headwinds that will resolve as channel inventories normalize
WOLF may suit investors who:
  • prefer the highest-conviction pure-play SiC semiconductor position with the largest substrate manufacturing IP globally
  • value vertical integration in SiC crystal growth as a long-term competitive moat if substrate supply remains constrained
  • want maximum exposure to EV SiC drivetrain demand with the largest captive manufacturing base in the industry
  • are comfortable with significant financial leverage and the risk that EV adoption timing may delay profitability
Performance & AI score
MetricONWOLF
AI score61.438.5
AI rank#138#1272
Latest close$121.62$57.41
1M return+14.71%-2.41%
6M return+128.05%+234.75%
1Y return+129.73%N/A
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

PeriodONWOLF
1Y ago$23.27K (+132.7%)
started 2025-06-18
$25.98K (+159.8%)
started 2025-09-29
5Y ago$33.33K (+233.3%)
started 2021-06-21
$25.98K (+159.8%)
started 2025-09-29
10Y ago$124.36K (+1143.6%)
started 2016-06-20
$25.98K (+159.8%)
started 2025-09-29

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
MetricONWOLF
Market cap$45.41B$2.98B
Trailing P/E86.51N/A
Forward P/E27.38-11.47
Price/Sales3.154.19
EV/Revenue7.693.99
Analyst target$106.31$40.00
Target upside-8.97%-30.33%
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricONWOLF
Revenue growth4.70%-19.00%
Earnings growth-48.70%N/A
EPS growth-48.70%N/A
FCF margin+21.15%+10.77%
Operating margin18.23%N/A
Profit margin9.46%-72.93%
ROIC proxy7.49%-84.19%
Return on equity7.49%-84.19%
Dividend yieldN/A0.00%
Beta1.986.09
Debt/equity44.34179.16
Current ratio4.877.03
Quick ratio2.805.51
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
ON max drawdown28.10%
WOLF max drawdown58.22%
ON max wkly drop19.08%
WOLF max wkly drop36.70%
5Y risk snapshot
ON max drawdown70.44%
WOLF max drawdown58.22%
ON max wkly drop26.38%
WOLF max wkly drop36.70%
10Y risk snapshot
ON max drawdown70.44%
WOLF max drawdown58.22%
ON max wkly drop43.93%
WOLF max wkly drop36.70%
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricONWOLF
1YGrowth+132.72%+159.77%
CAGR+133.00%+278.43%
Sharpe ratio1.731.64
Max drawdown28.10%58.22%
Max daily drop15.58%18.22%
Max wkly drop19.08%36.70%
5YGrowth+233.30%+159.77%
CAGR+27.27%+278.43%
Sharpe ratio0.641.64
Max drawdown70.44%58.22%
Max daily drop21.77%18.22%
Max wkly drop26.38%36.70%
10YGrowth+1143.56%+159.77%
CAGR+28.69%+278.43%
Sharpe ratio0.661.64
Max drawdown70.44%58.22%
Max daily drop26.84%18.22%
Max wkly drop43.93%36.70%
Business comparison
CategoryONWOLF
CompanyON Semiconductor CorporationWolfspeed, Inc.
SectorTechnologyTechnology
IndustrySemiconductorsN/A
Core businessON Semiconductor (onsemi) is a diversified power and analog semiconductor company with a leading SiC platform (EliteSiC) for EV drivetrains and a large CMOS image sensor business. Onsemi's SiC strategy combines captive substrate manufacturing (East Fishkill fab) with device fabrication, targeting EV OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers globally. Unlike WOLF, onsemi is profitable with an investment-grade balance sheet and a diversified revenue base including image sensors.Wolfspeed is the largest pure-play SiC manufacturer globally, vertically integrated from crystal growth through finished SiC power devices and wafers. Its Mohawk Valley Fab in upstate New York and planned JP-Fab expansion represent billions in capital investment to create the world's largest SiC capacity. Wolfspeed supplies SiC MOSFETs, modules, and substrates to EV drivetrains and industrial power conversion applications. It is pre-profitability and carries substantial debt from its fab investment program.
Investor focusInvestors focus on EliteSiC design-win backlog with automotive OEMs, SiC revenue as a percentage of total, gross margin sustainability during inventory corrections, and image sensor market share in ADAS and industrial cameras.Investors focus on Mohawk Valley Fab utilization rate, long-term supply agreement backlog with automotive Tier 1s, liquidity and debt refinancing risk, and whether EV adoption ramps at a pace sufficient to fill the fab at profitable utilization levels.
ON strengths
  • Profitable and investment-grade, unlike Wolfspeed — financial stability allows SiC investment without balance sheet stress
  • EliteSiC has automotive OEM design wins in North America, Europe (BMW, Volkswagen Group), and Korea, providing geographic diversification
  • CMOS image sensor business provides a second growth driver uncorrelated to EV demand cycles
WOLF strengths
  • Largest SiC substrate manufacturer globally with decades of crystal-growth IP that competitors lack
  • Captive wafer supply provides cost and quality advantages unavailable to fabless SiC device companies
  • Multi-year design-in agreements with Bosch, ZF, Aptiv, and other major automotive Tier 1s provide backlog visibility
Risks to watch — ON
  • Automotive inventory correction has materially reduced onsemi's near-term SiC revenue and plant utilization
  • Wolfspeed's vertical integration in SiC substrates may provide a long-term raw material cost advantage if SiC crystal growth remains a bottleneck
  • SiC ASP compression is beginning as Wolfspeed, STMicro, and Infineon all add capacity simultaneously
Risks to watch — WOLF
  • Massive debt load relative to revenue creates solvency risk if EV adoption ramps more slowly than projected
  • Mohawk Valley Fab utilization has been far below targets due to EV demand softness in 2023–2024
  • onsemi and STMicro are both investing aggressively in SiC substrate and device capacity, directly threatening Wolfspeed's pricing power
Frequently asked questions
For most investors, ON Semiconductor is the better choice: it offers meaningful SiC EV exposure with the financial safety of profitability, an investment-grade balance sheet, and a diversified image sensor business as a second growth driver. Wolfspeed offers higher return potential if EV adoption ramps strongly, but the debt load and pre-profitability status create a real risk of financial distress in a prolonged EV slowdown. Only investors with high risk tolerance and strong conviction in the EV adoption timeline should consider Wolfspeed as a primary holding.
AI Prediction SignalNext 5 trading days
Members only
ON
+2.8%BUY
WOLF
+1.1%HOLD

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