Ford Motor Company (F) Stock Analysis 2026

Consumer CyclicalAutomobile Manufacturing
$13.21
as of 2026-09-18
+19.6% (52-week)50D MA $14.09  |  200D MA $13.48

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
42
Neutral
Price CAGR
6.3%
1Y Return
+19.6%
Analyst Upside
+12.6%
Rev Growth
-3.8%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Ford Motor Company

Ford Motor Company is one of the world's oldest and largest automakers, with iconic brands including F-Series trucks (the best-selling vehicle in the US for 47 consecutive years), Mustang, Bronco, and Explorer. Ford has reorganized into three segments: Ford Pro (commercial vehicles and services), Ford Blue (ICE passenger vehicles), and Ford Model e (electric vehicles). The F-150 Lightning EV and Mustang Mach-E are its primary EV offerings as Ford invests heavily in the electric transition.

How Ford Motor Makes Money

Ford earns through new vehicle sales (Ford Pro commercial vans/trucks, Ford Blue ICE vehicles) and Ford Credit (auto financing). Ford Pro has become the profit engine — commercial fleet operators require specialized vehicles, upfitting, and software subscriptions that carry premium margins. Ford Model e (EV segment) is currently deeply unprofitable as Ford invests in battery technology and manufacturing capacity. Ford Credit's earnings supplement vehicle manufacturing income.

Ford Motor Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Ford Motor's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$187.97B
Cost of Revenue
-$174.60B
Gross Profit
$13.37B7.1% margin
Operating Expenses
-$9.84B
Operating Income
$3.54B1.9% margin
Tax & Other
-$10.93B
Net Income
-$-7.40B-3.9% margin
Gross Margin
7.1%
Operating Margin
1.9%
Net Margin
-3.9%

Key Financial Metrics

Ford Motor Company trades at a trailing P/E of 11.79x, generates $-7.94B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 456.71, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a -18.3% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$55.35B
P/E (Trailing)
11.79
P/E (Forward)
7.25
PEG Ratio
8.48
Revenue
$187.97B
Revenue Growth
-3.8%
Earnings Growth
430.8%
Gross Margin
7.1%
Operating Margin
1.9%
Net Margin
-3.9%
Return on Equity
-18.3%
Return on Assets
0.3%
Free Cash Flow
$-7.94B
Debt / Equity
456.71
Current Ratio
1.09
Quick Ratio
0.88
Beta
1.85
Dividend Yield
4.3%
Payout Ratio
64.1%
Insider Ownership
0.4%
Inst. Ownership
68.0%
Short % Float
0.0%
Book Value / Share
$8.96

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Ford Motor Company currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $15.73 (+19.0% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$15.73+19.0% upside

Technical Price Signals

F is currently in a short-term downtrend, trading below its 50-day average of $14.09 and below its 200-day average of $13.48. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$13.21
50-Day MA
$14.09
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$13.48
▼ Price below
Short-term Downtrend
Below 50-day MA — caution

F Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

F's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Ford Pro (commercial vehicles and services) is a high-margin, growing business serving fleet operators with F-Series trucks, Transit vans, and software subscriptions — insulated from consumer cyclicality.
  • F-Series trucks maintain brand dominance with a 47-year streak as the best-selling vehicle in the US — a near-impossible moat to dislodge.
  • Ford is rightsizing EV investment — scaling back unprofitable EV commitments to focus on hybrids (very profitable) and commercial EVs where fleet operators have clear use cases.
  • Dividend yield (~5%) provides income while investors wait for EV profitability improvement and cycle recovery.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • EV losses are substantial (~$5B+ in 2023) and path to EV profitability is uncertain as competition from Tesla and Chinese EVs intensifies.
  • Auto industry is highly cyclical — rising interest rates reduce vehicle affordability and auto loan demand, pressuring volumes and dealer inventory.
  • Labor costs are structurally higher after recent UAW wage increases, compressing margins across the business.
  • Quality issues and recall costs have been persistent pain points that damage customer satisfaction and add unexpected warranty expenses.

What to Watch: F Key Metrics

Ford Pro revenue and EBIT
EV segment losses per vehicle
F-Series truck market share
Ford Credit loss rates
Warranty and recall costs

F Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full F in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for Ford Motor Company.

Compare F with Peers

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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