MongoDB Inc. (MDB) Stock Analysis 2026

TechnologyDatabase Software
$383.56
as of 2026-09-18
+8.5% (52-week)50D MA $369.22  |  200D MA $342.02

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
63
Moderate
Price CAGR
31.3%
1Y Return
+9.7%
Analyst Upside
+25.3%
Rev Growth
25.2%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About MongoDB Inc.

MongoDB is the world's most popular NoSQL database and the leading developer data platform, used by developers to build applications that require flexible, document-based data storage at scale. Unlike traditional relational databases (SQL), MongoDB stores data as JSON-like documents, making it more natural for application development and easier to evolve as requirements change. MongoDB Atlas, its cloud-hosted database service, has become the primary growth driver, offering fully managed MongoDB on AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud.

How MongoDB Makes Money

MongoDB earns through Atlas (cloud consumption-based database service, ~70% of revenue and growing), Enterprise Advanced (self-managed software subscriptions for large enterprises), and professional services. Atlas pricing is consumption-based — customers pay for compute, storage, and data transfer, so revenue scales with their application usage. This creates a land-and-expand dynamic as customer workloads grow.

MongoDB Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how MongoDB's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$2.60B
Cost of Revenue
-$729.5M
Gross Profit
$1.87B72.0% margin
Operating Expenses
-$1.87B
Operating Income
$0-3.6% margin
Tax & Other
-$29.1M
Net Income
-$-29.1M-1.1% margin
Gross Margin
72.0%
Operating Margin
-3.6%
Net Margin
-1.1%

Key Financial Metrics

MongoDB Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 540.88x, generates $517.6M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 2.00, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a -1.0% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$30.02B
P/E (Trailing)
540.88
P/E (Forward)
48.16
PEG Ratio
1.67
Price / Book
10.24
Revenue
$2.60B
Revenue Growth
25.2%
EPS (Trailing)
$0.69
EPS (Forward)
$7.75
Gross Margin
72.0%
Operating Margin
-3.6%
Net Margin
-1.1%
Return on Equity
-1.0%
Return on Assets
-1.8%
Free Cash Flow
$517.6M
Debt / Equity
2.00
Current Ratio
4.95
Quick Ratio
4.55
Beta
1.54
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
2.6%
Inst. Ownership
96.9%
Short % Float
3.6%
Book Value / Share
$36.46

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering MongoDB Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $453.91 (+18.3% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$453.91+18.3% upside

Intrinsic Value Estimates for MDB

We use 3 valuation models to estimate MDB's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

MDB is currently in a golden cross pattern, trading above its 50-day average of $369.22 and above its 200-day average of $342.02. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$383.56
50-Day MA
$369.22
▲ Price above
200-Day MA
$342.02
▲ Price above
Golden Cross Pattern
Price above both MAs — bullish signal

MDB Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

MDB's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • MongoDB Atlas is growing rapidly as the preferred developer data platform for new application development — developers are the primary buyers, and MongoDB has exceptional developer mindshare.
  • AI application development requires flexible, document-oriented data storage for unstructured data like embeddings, prompts, and model outputs — MongoDB's schema flexibility is well-suited.
  • Multi-cloud, multi-region Atlas deployments are becoming standard for global applications, increasing customer spend as they add regions and features.
  • Developer adoption creates enterprise pull — developers build on MongoDB in startups, bring it to enterprises when they join, and standardize on Atlas for new projects.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • AWS DocumentDB and other cloud-native alternatives mimic MongoDB's API, creating a risk that customers run MongoDB-compatible databases without paying MongoDB.
  • Competition from PostgreSQL (gaining NoSQL features through JSONB), DynamoDB, and other databases narrows MongoDB's differentiation in some workloads.
  • Consumption-based pricing is volatile — customers optimize their Atlas spend during budget crunches, as evidenced by Atlas revenue deceleration in 2023.
  • Valuation at 50-70x forward earnings requires sustained 20-25% revenue growth — multiple compression risk if growth decelerates.

What to Watch: MDB Key Metrics

Atlas revenue growth
Atlas net revenue retention
Customer count (>$100K ARR)
Free cash flow margin
Atlas percentage of total revenue

MDB Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full MDB in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for MongoDB Inc..

Compare MDB with Peers

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MDB vs BASEMongoDB vs Couchbase — Document Database Giants Compare
MDB vs ESTCMongoDB vs Elastic — Document Database vs Search & Anal
MDB vs DDOGMongoDB vs Datadog — database growth vs observability p
MDB vs NOWMongoDB vs ServiceNow — earlier-stage growth or enterpr
MDB vs ORCLMongoDB vs Oracle — database challenger meets cloud inc

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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