MDB vs ESTC Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare MongoDB and Elastic by developer community penetration, Atlas cloud database vs Elastic Cloud growth, AI vector search opportunity, gross margin profile, and which developer data platform offers better long-term compounding.
Use this MongoDB vs Elastic comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
MDB holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. MDB has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+26.82% vs -33.85%), though ESTC has the better forward P/E setup (15.14x vs 40.64x for MDB). Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for MDB (+32.86%) than for ESTC (+26.11%).
| Metric | MDB | ESTC |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 51.0 | 24.7 |
| AI rank | #442 | #3051 |
| Latest close | $298.22 | $58.68 |
| 1M return | -1.40% | -0.05% |
| 6M return | -26.30% | -18.27% |
| 1Y return | +26.82% | -33.85% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | MDB | ESTC |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $12.68K (+26.8%) started 2025-07-24 | $6.61K (-33.9%) started 2025-07-24 |
| 5Y ago | $8.33K (-16.7%) started 2021-07-26 | $3.97K (-60.3%) started 2021-07-26 |
| 10Y ago | $92.99K (+829.9%) started 2017-10-19 | $8.38K (-16.2%) started 2018-10-05 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | MDB | ESTC |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $23.99B | $6.1B |
| Trailing P/E | N/A | 17.11 |
| Forward P/E | 40.64 | 15.14 |
| Price/Sales | 9.22 | 3.51 |
| EV/Revenue | 8.31 | 3.06 |
| Analyst target | $396.21 | $74.00 |
| Target upside | +32.86% | +26.11% |
| Metric | MDB | ESTC |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 25.20% | 16.00% |
| Earnings growth | N/A | N/A |
| EPS growth | N/A | N/A |
| FCF margin | +19.89% | +26.55% |
| Operating margin | N/A | N/A |
| Profit margin | -1.12% | 21.14% |
| ROIC proxy | -0.97% | 33.38% |
| Return on equity | -0.97% | 33.38% |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Beta | 1.55 | 1.00 |
| Debt/equity | 2.00 | 46.34 |
| Current ratio | 4.95 | 1.68 |
| Quick ratio | 4.55 | 1.52 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | MDB | ESTC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +26.82% | -33.85% |
| CAGR | +26.84% | -33.87% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.61 | -0.62 | |
| Max drawdown | 48.72% | 54.17% | |
| Max daily drop | 22.24% | 15.44% | |
| Max wkly drop | 21.59% | 22.89% | |
| 5Y | Growth | -16.74% | -60.25% |
| CAGR | -3.60% | -16.87% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.23 | -0.10 | |
| Max drawdown | 76.52% | 76.82% | |
| Max daily drop | 26.94% | 26.49% | |
| Max wkly drop | 33.71% | 32.32% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +829.90% | -16.17% |
| CAGR | +28.98% | -2.24% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.65 | 0.17 | |
| Max drawdown | 76.52% | 76.82% | |
| Max daily drop | 26.94% | 26.49% | |
| Max wkly drop | 33.71% | 32.32% |
| Category | MDB | ESTC |
|---|---|---|
| Company | MDB | ESTC |
| Sector | N/A | N/A |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | N/A | N/A |
| Investor focus | N/A | N/A |
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