Walmart Inc. (WMT) Stock Analysis 2026

RetailDiscount Retail & E-commerce
$106.73
as of 2026-09-18
+3.3% (52-week)50D MA $111.76  |  200D MA $118.59

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
53
Neutral
Price CAGR
17.9%
1Y Return
+3.5%
Analyst Upside
+19.2%
Rev Growth
5.9%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Walmart Inc.

Walmart is the world's largest company by revenue ($650B+) and the largest private employer (2.1 million associates). The company operates 10,500+ stores across 19 countries, serving 240 million customers weekly. Walmart has transformed from a pure brick-and-mortar retailer into an omnichannel platform with a fast-growing e-commerce business, marketplace, advertising platform (Walmart Connect), and membership program (Walmart+).

How Walmart Makes Money

Walmart earns from product sales across three segments: Walmart US (~68% of revenue), Walmart International (~22%), and Sam's Club (~12%). The company operates on thin margins (4-5% operating margin) offset by massive volume. Growth drivers include e-commerce/delivery, Walmart Connect advertising ($3.5B+ run rate at 25%+ margins), Walmart+ memberships, and marketplace seller fees.

Walmart Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Walmart's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$735.84B
Cost of Revenue
-$550.18B
Gross Profit
$185.66B25.2% margin
Operating Expenses
-$148.92B
Operating Income
$36.74B5.0% margin
Tax & Other
-$14.67B
Net Income
$22.08B3.0% margin
Gross Margin
25.2%
Operating Margin
5.0%
Net Margin
3.0%
EBITDA Margin
6.2%

Key Financial Metrics

Walmart Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 37.35x, generates $8.98B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 70.38, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 22.3% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$820.40B
Enterprise Value
$844.09B
P/E (Trailing)
37.35
P/E (Forward)
31.99
PEG Ratio
3.94
EV / EBITDA
19.74
Price / Sales
1.14
Price / Book
9.29
Revenue
$735.84B
Revenue Growth
5.9%
Earnings Growth
-9.1%
EBITDA
$42.76B
Gross Margin
25.2%
Operating Margin
5.0%
Net Margin
3.0%
Return on Equity
22.3%
Return on Assets
7.1%
Free Cash Flow
$8.98B
Total Cash
$9.31B
Total Debt
$68.69B
Debt / Equity
70.38
Current Ratio
0.77
Quick Ratio
0.20
Beta
0.60
Dividend Yield
1.0%
Payout Ratio
35.0%
Insider Ownership
45.0%
Inst. Ownership
38.3%
Short % Float
1.4%
Book Value / Share
$11.85

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

40 analysts covering Walmart Inc. currently lean toward a Strong Buy rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $127.72 (+19.7% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingStrong Buy(40 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$64.00-40.0%
Mean Target$127.72+19.7% upside
High Target$120.00+12.4%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for WMT

We use 1 valuation model to estimate WMT's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

WMT is currently in a death cross pattern, trading below its 50-day average of $111.76 and below its 200-day average of $118.59. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$106.73
50-Day MA
$111.76
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$118.59
▼ Price below
Death Cross Pattern
Price below both MAs — bearish signal

WMT Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

WMT's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Walmart Connect advertising is a high-margin rocket — $3.5B+ run rate growing 25%+ with 50%+ margins, transforming Walmart's profit mix.
  • E-commerce and delivery capabilities have closed the gap with Amazon — same-day delivery, curbside pickup, and marketplace now drive 15%+ of US revenue.
  • Walmart+ membership creates Amazon Prime-like stickiness — subscribers spend 2x more than non-members.
  • Walmart's scale and low-cost position make it the winner during inflationary periods as consumers trade down from specialty retailers.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Thin operating margins (4-5%) leave little room for error — wage increases, shrink, and competitive pricing pressure can quickly compress profitability.
  • Amazon remains the dominant e-commerce player and is investing heavily in same-day delivery, directly competing with Walmart's core grocery advantage.
  • International operations have been a mixed bag — Walmart has exited several markets and profitability varies widely by country.
  • Valuation has expanded to 25x+ forward P/E — expensive for a retailer, even one with digital growth. Any growth deceleration could compress the multiple.

What to Watch: WMT Key Metrics

US same-store sales growth
E-commerce growth rate
Walmart Connect ad revenue
Walmart+ subscriber count
Operating income margin trend

WMT Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full WMT in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for Walmart Inc..

Compare WMT with Peers

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WMT — Related Investment Themes

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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