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Walmart Inc. (WMT) Stock Analysis 2026

RetailDiscount Retail & E-commerce
$111.55as of 2026-08-04

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
53
Neutral
Price CAGR
18.3%
1Y Return
+12.9%
Analyst Upside
+24.1%
Rev Growth
7.3%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$113.14+1.4% potential
Bear Case
$80.47
Bull Case
$159.19
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Walmart Inc.

Walmart is the world's largest company by revenue ($650B+) and the largest private employer (2.1 million associates). The company operates 10,500+ stores across 19 countries, serving 240 million customers weekly. Walmart has transformed from a pure brick-and-mortar retailer into an omnichannel platform with a fast-growing e-commerce business, marketplace, advertising platform (Walmart Connect), and membership program (Walmart+).

How Walmart Makes Money

Walmart earns from product sales across three segments: Walmart US (~68% of revenue), Walmart International (~22%), and Sam's Club (~12%). The company operates on thin margins (4-5% operating margin) offset by massive volume. Growth drivers include e-commerce/delivery, Walmart Connect advertising ($3.5B+ run rate at 25%+ margins), Walmart+ memberships, and marketplace seller fees.

Walmart Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Walmart's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$725.30B
Cost of Revenue
-$544.15B
Gross Profit
$181.15B25.0% margin
Operating Expenses
-$150.58B
Operating Income
$30.57B4.2% margin
Tax & Other
-$7.83B
Net Income
$22.74B3.1% margin
Gross Margin
25.0%
Operating Margin
4.2%
Net Margin
3.1%
EBITDA Margin
6.2%

Key Financial Metrics

A snapshot of the company's valuation, growth, profitability, and financial health. Key things to look at: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business — companies with strong FCF can buy back shares, pay dividends, or invest; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged the company is (high debt can be risky); Return on Equity tells you how efficiently the company generates profit from shareholders' money.

Market Cap
$884.94B
Enterprise Value
$844.09B
P/E (Trailing)
39.15
P/E (Forward)
33.89
EV / EBITDA
19.74
Price / Sales
1.14
Price / Book
9.29
Revenue
$725.30B
Revenue Growth
7.3%
Earnings Growth
19.4%
EBITDA
$42.76B
Gross Margin
25.0%
Operating Margin
4.2%
Net Margin
3.1%
Return on Equity
24.1%
Return on Assets
6.8%
Free Cash Flow
$6.86B
Total Cash
$9.31B
Total Debt
$68.69B
Debt / Equity
74.82
Current Ratio
0.77
Quick Ratio
0.19
Beta
0.60
Dividend Yield
0.9%
Payout Ratio
33.5%
Book Value / Share
$11.85

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Professional analysts at investment banks set 12-month price targets after researching the company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends. Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside. Hold means analysts see fair value near the current price — not a sell signal, but limited near-term upside expected. The mean target is the average of all analyst price targets; the range shows where the most optimistic and most cautious analysts stand.

Consensus RatingStrong Buy(40 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$64.00-42.6%
Mean Target$138.02+23.7% upside
High Target$120.00+7.6%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for WMT

Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals — independent of what the market currently prices it at. We use multiple models because no single formula is perfect: each captures different aspects of a business. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal. A stock trading well below its intrinsic value may be a bargain; one far above may carry more risk.

DCF Model (10yr)
$18.01
-83.9% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
Fair Value Range
$18.01 – $18.01
Average Estimate
$18.01
Potential Downside
-83.9%

⚠️ Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

WMT Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

Every investment has two sides. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks that could cause the investment to underperform. Good investors read both sides carefully before deciding. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Walmart Connect advertising is a high-margin rocket — $3.5B+ run rate growing 25%+ with 50%+ margins, transforming Walmart's profit mix.
  • E-commerce and delivery capabilities have closed the gap with Amazon — same-day delivery, curbside pickup, and marketplace now drive 15%+ of US revenue.
  • Walmart+ membership creates Amazon Prime-like stickiness — subscribers spend 2x more than non-members.
  • Walmart's scale and low-cost position make it the winner during inflationary periods as consumers trade down from specialty retailers.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Thin operating margins (4-5%) leave little room for error — wage increases, shrink, and competitive pricing pressure can quickly compress profitability.
  • Amazon remains the dominant e-commerce player and is investing heavily in same-day delivery, directly competing with Walmart's core grocery advantage.
  • International operations have been a mixed bag — Walmart has exited several markets and profitability varies widely by country.
  • Valuation has expanded to 25x+ forward P/E — expensive for a retailer, even one with digital growth. Any growth deceleration could compress the multiple.

What to Watch: WMT Key Metrics

US same-store sales growth
E-commerce growth rate
Walmart Connect ad revenue
Walmart+ subscriber count
Operating income margin trend

WMT Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Compare WMT with Peers

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WMT vs COSTWalmart vs Costco — Mass Retail vs Membership Warehouse

WMT — Related Investment Themes

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