Etsy Inc. (ETSY) Stock Analysis 2026

Consumer CyclicalE-Commerce Marketplace
$72.60
as of 2026-09-18
+25.9% (52-week)50D MA $80.91  |  200D MA $63.49

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
49
Neutral
Price CAGR
18.2%
1Y Return
+23.4%
Analyst Upside
+19.6%
Rev Growth
6.2%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$85.62+17.9% potential
Bear Case
$52.84
Bull Case
$103.55
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Etsy Inc.

Etsy is the dominant online marketplace for handmade, vintage, and craft items, connecting independent sellers with buyers seeking unique, personalized goods. The platform has 90M+ active buyers and 9M+ sellers globally, predominantly for home decor, jewelry, apparel, and personalized gifts. Etsy also owns Reverb (musical instruments marketplace) and Depop (peer-to-peer fashion resale, popular with Gen Z). Post-COVID, Etsy is managing a normalization of demand after a massive pandemic-driven surge.

How Etsy Makes Money

Etsy earns through listing fees ($0.20 per item), transaction fees (~6.5% of transaction value), payment processing fees, and Etsy Ads (sponsored listings). The marketplace model is highly scalable — Etsy takes a percentage of every sale without owning inventory. Offsite Ads (where Etsy markets sellers' items on Google and Facebook) charges a higher 12-15% fee when a sale results. Etsy Plus subscription offers premium tools for active sellers.

Etsy Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Etsy's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$2.94B
Cost of Revenue
-$841.3M
Gross Profit
$2.10B71.4% margin
Operating Expenses
-$1.55B
Operating Income
$551.4M18.7% margin
Tax & Other
-$342.1M
Net Income
$209.3M7.1% margin
Gross Margin
71.4%
Operating Margin
18.7%
Net Margin
7.1%

Key Financial Metrics

Etsy Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 26.45x, generates $169.7M in free cash flow, hasn't disclosed a debt/equity ratio, and hasn't disclosed return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$7.67B
P/E (Trailing)
26.45
P/E (Forward)
12.13
PEG Ratio
1.09
Revenue
$2.94B
Revenue Growth
6.2%
Earnings Growth
-7.1%
Gross Margin
71.4%
Operating Margin
18.7%
Net Margin
7.1%
Return on Assets
10.5%
Free Cash Flow
$169.7M
Current Ratio
1.48
Quick Ratio
0.89
Beta
1.82
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
1.4%
Inst. Ownership
126.9%
Short % Float
12.4%
Book Value / Share
$-15.10

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Etsy Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $87.04 (+19.9% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$87.04+19.9% upside

Technical Price Signals

ETSY is currently in a short-term downtrend, trading below its 50-day average of $80.91 and above its 200-day average of $63.49. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$72.60
50-Day MA
$80.91
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$63.49
▲ Price above
Short-term Downtrend
Below 50-day MA — caution

ETSY Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

ETSY's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Etsy's unique, non-commoditized product selection creates differentiation that Amazon cannot replicate — buyers seeking handmade, personalized gifts choose Etsy specifically for its uniqueness.
  • Personalization and custom gifts are structurally growing categories — consumers increasingly value unique, meaningful gifts over commodity products.
  • International expansion (UK, Germany, France, Australia) is growing Etsy's global GMV base significantly, with non-US markets now representing ~40%+ of GMS.
  • AI tools for sellers (product listing generation, shop management) and buyers (gift suggestion, search improvement) could improve both supply quality and conversion rates.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Etsy experienced a massive COVID-driven demand surge (masks, home decor) that has fully reversed — GMS has been declining or stagnant since 2022, creating a difficult narrative.
  • Amazon Handmade and TikTok Shop are expanding competitive alternatives for unique goods, putting pressure on Etsy's seller base.
  • Etsy's fee increases (transaction fee raised from 5% to 6.5%) were unpopular with sellers and sparked protests, highlighting the tension between monetization and seller satisfaction.
  • Depop and Reverb have underperformed expectations as standalone acquisitions, questioning Etsy's portfolio strategy.

What to Watch: ETSY Key Metrics

Gross merchandise sales (GMS) growth
Active buyer count
Revenue take rate
Seller satisfaction vs fee levels
International GMS percentage

ETSY Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Compare ETSY with Peers

ETSY vs SHOPEtsy vs Shopify — Handmade Marketplace vs Merchant Plat
AMZN vs ETSYAmazon vs Etsy — E-Commerce Scale vs Handmade Niche Mar
ETSY vs PINSEtsy vs Pinterest — Handmade Marketplace vs Shopping-In
W vs ETSYWayfair vs Etsy — home goods scale or niche marketplace
ETSY vs EBAYEtsy vs eBay — Handmade Marketplace vs General E-Commer
W vs ETSYWayfair vs Etsy — Online Home-Goods Retailer vs Handmad

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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