ETSY vs EBAY Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Etsy's niche handmade-and-vintage marketplace against eBay's broader resale-and-collectibles e-commerce platform.
Use this Etsy vs eBay comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
EBAY holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. EBAY has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+27.30% vs +18.68%), though ETSY has the better forward P/E setup (12.13x vs 15.69x for EBAY). EBAY leads on both revenue growth (14.80%) and operating margin (21.57%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for EBAY (+9.97%) than for ETSY (+4.13%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | ETSY | EBAY |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 46.5 | 54.9 |
| AI ranki | #664 | #422 |
| Latest closei | $86.93 | $121.41 |
| 1M returni | +17.95% | +11.29% |
| 3M returni | +7.83% | +10.99% |
| 6M returni | +38.45% | +23.96% |
| 1Y returni | +18.68% | +27.30% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | ETSY | EBAY |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $11.77K (+17.7%) started 2025-10-23 | $12.71K (+27.1%) started 2025-10-23 |
| 5Y ago | $3.44K (-65.6%) started 2021-10-25 | $17.3K (+73.0%) started 2021-10-25 |
| 10Y ago | $61.65K (+516.5%) started 2016-10-24 | $51.63K (+416.3%) started 2016-10-24 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | ETSY | EBAY |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $7.67B | $47B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 26.45 | 22.19 |
| Forward P/Ei | 12.13 | 15.69 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 3.27 | 4.23 |
| Analyst targeti | $87.04 | $116.15 |
| Target upsidei | +4.13% | +9.97% |
| Metric | ETSY | EBAY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 6.20% | 14.80% |
| Earnings growthi | -7.10% | 55.00% |
| EPS growthi | -7.10% | +55.00% |
| FCF margini | +5.77% | +13.15% |
| Operating margini | 18.74% | 21.57% |
| Profit margini | 7.11% | 18.57% |
| ROIC proxyi | N/A | 46.61% |
| Return on equityi | N/A | 46.61% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 1.17% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 25.26% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.82 | 1.35 |
| Debt/equityi | N/A | 153.01 |
| Current ratioi | 1.48 | 1.02 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.89 | 0.92 |
Over the past year, ETSY and EBAY have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.49), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | ETSY | EBAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +17.66% | +27.10% |
| CAGRi | +17.69% | +27.15% | |
| Volatilityi | 50.37% | 35.77% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.49 | 0.73 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.68 | 0.96 | |
| Max drawdowni | 41.70% | 20.26% | |
| Current drawdowni | 4.28% | 1.22% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 17.50% | 8.74% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 20.58% | 10.23% | |
| Max daily dropi | 12.80% | 15.88% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.08% | 18.62% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -65.58% | +61.32% |
| CAGRi | -19.23% | +10.05% | |
| Volatilityi | 55.40% | 32.74% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.19 | 0.32 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.27 | 0.45 | |
| Max drawdowni | 86.26% | 53.57% | |
| Current drawdowni | 70.72% | 1.22% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 71.22% | 25.88% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 72.82% | 30.56% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.83% | 15.88% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 28.83% | 18.62% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +516.52% | +361.93% |
| CAGRi | +19.96% | +16.54% | |
| Volatilityi | 56.08% | 31.06% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.52 | 0.50 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.78 | 0.72 | |
| Max drawdowni | 86.26% | 53.58% | |
| Current drawdowni | 70.72% | 1.22% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 41.94% | 18.95% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 52.85% | 24.36% | |
| Max daily dropi | 17.15% | 15.88% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 35.34% | 18.86% |
| Category | ETSY | EBAY |
|---|---|---|
| Company | ETSY | EBAY |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Internet Retail | Internet Retail |
| Core business | Etsy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates two-sided online marketplaces that connect buyers and sellers in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. | eBay Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates marketplace platforms that connect buyers and sellers in the United States, the United Kingdom, China, Germany, and internationally. |
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AI score, forward P/E, analyst target upside, operating margin, and revenue growth are scored head-to-head, with a running tally of which ticker leads on how many metrics.
Volatility, Sharpe and Sortino ratios, maximum, current, and average drawdown, Ulcer Index, and worst single-day and single-week drops across every timeframe.
Pairwise daily-return correlation for every combination, so you can see whether two holdings actually diversify each other or just move together.
A scatter plot of forward P/E against return on equity, plus drawdown and 30-day rolling volatility charts, to separate what is cheap from what is merely beaten down.
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