NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Stock Analysis 2026

SemiconductorsGPU & AI Chip Design
$222.27
as of 2026-09-18
+22.8% (52-week)50D MA $208.62  |  200D MA $195.96

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
87
Strong
Price CAGR
64.1%
1Y Return
+22.8%
Analyst Upside
+48.2%
Rev Growth
105.9%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About NVIDIA Corporation

NVIDIA designs graphics processing units (GPUs) and system-on-chip units for gaming, professional visualization, data centers, and automotive markets. The company has become the dominant supplier of AI training and inference hardware, with its data center segment now representing over 80% of total revenue. NVIDIA's CUDA software ecosystem creates a deep moat that makes it difficult for customers to switch to competing hardware.

How NVIDIA Makes Money

NVIDIA designs chips and licenses its CUDA software platform, outsourcing manufacturing to TSMC. Revenue comes primarily from Data Center (~87% of revenue — AI training/inference GPUs like H100, B200, and GB200), Gaming (~10% — GeForce GPUs), and Professional Visualization and Automotive (~3%). The company sells both individual GPUs and complete AI systems (DGX, HGX), with average selling prices that have increased dramatically with each AI generation.

NVIDIA Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how NVIDIA's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$302.97B
Cost of Revenue
-$76.73B
Gross Profit
$226.24B74.7% margin
Operating Expenses
-$25.56B
Operating Income
$200.68B66.2% margin
Tax & Other
-$7.80B
Net Income
$192.88B63.7% margin
Gross Margin
74.7%
Operating Margin
66.2%
Net Margin
63.7%
EBITDA Margin
65.3%

Key Financial Metrics

NVIDIA Corporation trades at a trailing P/E of 27.47x, generates $41.81B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 16.97, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 117.2% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$5.25T
Enterprise Value
$5.07T
P/E (Trailing)
27.47
P/E (Forward)
14.21
PEG Ratio
0.56
EV / EBITDA
30.63
Price / Sales
23.66
Price / Book
32.62
Revenue
$302.97B
Revenue Growth
105.9%
Earnings Growth
127.8%
EBITDA
$165.51B
EPS (Trailing)
$6.52
EPS (Forward)
$12.66
Gross Margin
74.7%
Operating Margin
66.2%
Net Margin
63.7%
Return on Equity
117.2%
Return on Assets
53.6%
Free Cash Flow
$41.81B
Total Cash
$53.17B
Total Debt
$12.81B
Debt / Equity
16.97
Current Ratio
4.59
Quick Ratio
2.92
Beta
2.21
Dividend Yield
0.5%
Payout Ratio
3.5%
Insider Ownership
4.0%
Inst. Ownership
71.5%
Short % Float
1.2%
Book Value / Share
$8.07

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

58 analysts covering NVIDIA Corporation currently lean toward a Strong Buy rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $323.42 (+45.5% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingStrong Buy(58 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$180.00-19.0%
Mean Target$323.42+45.5% upside
High Target$500.00+125.0%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for NVDA

We use 4 valuation models to estimate NVDA's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

NVDA is currently in a golden cross pattern, trading above its 50-day average of $208.62 and above its 200-day average of $195.96. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$222.27
50-Day MA
$208.62
▲ Price above
200-Day MA
$195.96
▲ Price above
Golden Cross Pattern
Price above both MAs — bullish signal

NVDA Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

NVDA's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • AI infrastructure spending is in the early innings — hyperscalers (Microsoft, Google, Meta, Amazon) are each spending $50-80B+ annually on AI capex, with NVIDIA capturing the majority of GPU spend.
  • The CUDA software moat is nearly impossible to replicate — millions of developers, thousands of optimized libraries, and 15+ years of ecosystem investment create massive switching costs.
  • Each GPU generation (Hopper → Blackwell → Rubin) delivers 2-3x performance improvements, driving rapid upgrade cycles even from existing customers.
  • Expanding TAM from training-only to inference, sovereign AI, enterprise AI, and robotics (Omniverse, Isaac) creates multiple new growth vectors.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Customer concentration is extreme — top 4 hyperscalers represent ~50% of data center revenue, giving them significant negotiating leverage.
  • Custom silicon (Google TPU, Amazon Trainium, Microsoft Maia) threatens NVIDIA's share as hyperscalers seek to reduce dependence on a single supplier.
  • Current valuation prices in years of hypergrowth — any sign of demand plateauing or inventory digestion could cause a sharp correction.
  • Export restrictions on advanced AI chips to China have already reduced the addressable market and could expand to other regions.

What to Watch: NVDA Key Metrics

Data Center revenue growth
Gross margin trend
Blackwell/Rubin ramp
Customer concentration
China revenue impact

NVDA Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full NVDA in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for NVIDIA Corporation.

Compare NVDA with Peers

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NVDA vs GOOGLNVIDIA vs Google — GPU Marketplace vs Custom TPU Strate

NVDA — Related Investment Themes

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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