Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) Stock Analysis 2026

Basic MaterialsCopper

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
49
Neutral
Price CAGR
25.4%
1Y Return
+44.1%
Analyst Upside
+41.6%
Rev Growth
73.9%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

ERO Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how ERO's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$1.04B
Cost of Revenue
-$595.6M
Gross Profit
$449.1M43.0% margin
Operating Expenses
-$55.9M
Operating Income
$393.3M37.6% margin
Tax & Other
-$82.0M
Net Income
$311.3M29.8% margin
Gross Margin
43.0%
Operating Margin
37.6%
Net Margin
29.8%

Key Financial Metrics

Ero Copper Corp. trades at a trailing P/E of 11.74x, generates $47.0M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 47.07, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 30.8% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$3.61B
P/E (Trailing)
11.74
P/E (Forward)
7.33
Price / Book
2.98
Revenue
$1.04B
Revenue Growth
73.9%
Earnings Growth
25.0%
EPS (Trailing)
$2.95
EPS (Forward)
$4.73
Gross Margin
43.0%
Operating Margin
37.6%
Net Margin
29.8%
Return on Equity
30.8%
Return on Assets
12.0%
Free Cash Flow
$47.0M
Debt / Equity
47.07
Current Ratio
1.37
Quick Ratio
0.69
Beta
1.59
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
2.3%
Inst. Ownership
74.8%
Book Value / Share
$11.63

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Ero Copper Corp. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $40.07. Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$40.07

Intrinsic Value Estimates for ERO

We use 3 valuation models to estimate ERO's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Graham Number
$27.79
Benjamin Graham's formula: √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). A conservative floor value for stable, profitable companies. Works best for value-oriented businesses.
P/E Based (15× trailing)
$44.25
Multiplies trailing 12-month earnings per share by 15× — a historically average P/E for the stock market. Simple but ignores future growth.
P/E Based (15× forward)
$70.91
Multiplies next year's estimated earnings per share by 15×. More forward-looking; useful for high-growth companies where current earnings understate potential.
Fair Value Range
$27.79 – $70.91
Average Estimate
$47.65

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

ERO is currently in a mixed technical position. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

50-Day MA
$30.00
200-Day MA
$28.75

Further Reading

Research and guides that put ERO’s numbers in context — how to read the filings behind them, and the frameworks we use to score them.

BeginnerWhat Is an AI Stock Score? How BriMindInvest Ranks StocksMarket TheoryStock Market Seasonality: Monthly Returns, 'Sell in May,' and What History SaysMarket TheoryWe Backtested 929 Insider Cluster Buys — The Signal Everyone Trusts Loses to the S&P 500Fundamentals58% of Insider Selling Is Noise — How to Find the Part That Matters

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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