Frontline plc (FRO) Stock Analysis 2026

EnergyCrude Oil Tanker Shipping

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
62
Moderate
Price CAGR
21.7%
1Y Return
+124.9%
Analyst Upside
+2.5%
Rev Growth
96.5%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Frontline plc

Frontline operates a large fleet of crude oil tankers, principally very large crude carriers, Suezmaxes, and LR2 or Aframax vessels, transporting crude and refined products on global routes. Earnings are driven by tanker spot rates, which depend less on oil prices than on tonne-mile demand — the distance oil travels — and on the available fleet, making trade route disruption a powerful positive catalyst.

How Frontline Makes Money

Frontline earns revenue chartering vessels either on the spot market at prevailing rates or on time charters at fixed rates. Operating costs per vessel are largely fixed, so spot rate movements drive enormous swings in profitability. Management has historically returned much of the cash flow as dividends, making the stock a variable-payout vehicle for tanker rate exposure rather than a growth business.

Frontline Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Frontline's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$2.71B
Cost of Revenue
-$1.00B
Gross Profit
$1.71B63.0% margin
Operating Expenses
-$0
Operating Income
$1.72B63.2% margin
Tax & Other
-$229.0M
Net Income
$1.49B54.8% margin
Gross Margin
63.0%
Operating Margin
63.2%
Net Margin
54.8%

Key Financial Metrics

Frontline plc trades at a trailing P/E of 6.70x, generates $262.3M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 77.18, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 53.9% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$9.95B
P/E (Trailing)
6.70
P/E (Forward)
10.37
PEG Ratio
5.58
Price / Book
3.50
Revenue
$2.71B
Revenue Growth
96.5%
Earnings Growth
750.1%
EPS (Trailing)
$6.67
EPS (Forward)
$4.31
Gross Margin
63.0%
Operating Margin
63.2%
Net Margin
54.8%
Return on Equity
53.9%
Return on Assets
14.0%
Free Cash Flow
$262.3M
Debt / Equity
77.18
Current Ratio
1.87
Quick Ratio
0.66
Beta
0.05
Dividend Yield
12.1%
Payout Ratio
46.9%
Insider Ownership
35.8%
Inst. Ownership
39.7%
Short % Float
6.5%
Book Value / Share
$12.76

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Frontline plc currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $47.00. Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$47.00

Intrinsic Value Estimates for FRO

We use 3 valuation models to estimate FRO's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Graham Number
$43.77
Benjamin Graham's formula: √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). A conservative floor value for stable, profitable companies. Works best for value-oriented businesses.
P/E Based (15× trailing)
$100.05
Multiplies trailing 12-month earnings per share by 15× — a historically average P/E for the stock market. Simple but ignores future growth.
P/E Based (15× forward)
$64.65
Multiplies next year's estimated earnings per share by 15×. More forward-looking; useful for high-growth companies where current earnings understate potential.
Fair Value Range
$43.77 – $100.05
Average Estimate
$69.49

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

FRO is currently in a mixed technical position. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

50-Day MA
$39.53
200-Day MA
$33.30

FRO Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

FRO's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Tanker order books remain historically low, so fleet growth is limited for several years regardless of rate levels.
  • Longer trade routes caused by geopolitical rerouting increase tonne-mile demand without any increase in oil volume.
  • A high proportion of spot market exposure means rate spikes translate rapidly into cash flow.
  • Management has consistently returned cash through large variable dividends when rates are strong.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Spot rates are extremely volatile and can collapse quickly, taking dividends with them.
  • Resolution of geopolitical disruptions would shorten trade routes and reduce tonne-mile demand directly.
  • OPEC production decisions and global demand determine cargo volumes, both outside company control.
  • Newbuild ordering tends to accelerate at rate peaks, sowing the supply that ends the cycle.

What to Watch: FRO Key Metrics

VLCC and Suezmax spot rates
Time charter equivalent per day
Spot versus time charter mix
Global tanker order book
Cash breakeven per day

FRO Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Further Reading

Research and guides that put FRO’s numbers in context — how to read the filings behind them, and the frameworks we use to score them.

Fundamentals58% of Insider Selling Is Noise — How to Find the Part That MattersMarket TheoryThe Stock-Split Pop Is a Myth: What 39 Real Splits Actually DidMarket Theory10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 19-Year High: What 5.2% Means for StocksRisk ManagementBest ETFs for a Recession-Proof Portfolio in 2026

More Energy Stock Analysis

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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