Oracle Corporation (ORCL) Stock Analysis 2026

Enterprise SoftwareCloud Infrastructure & Database Software
$147.61
as of 2026-09-18
-50.3% (52-week)50D MA $140.85  |  200D MA $170.22

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
50
Neutral
Price CAGR
15.5%
1Y Return
-48.6%
Analyst Upside
+62.4%
Rev Growth
20.6%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Oracle Corporation

Oracle is a global enterprise technology company providing cloud infrastructure (OCI), database software, and enterprise applications. Founded by Larry Ellison in 1977, Oracle has transformed from an on-premises database company into a cloud infrastructure provider competing with AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud. Oracle's cloud business has accelerated dramatically due to AI workload demand — the company has secured multi-billion-dollar cloud deals with OpenAI, Meta, and other AI companies for GPU capacity on OCI.

How Oracle Makes Money

Oracle earns from cloud services (~45% of revenue — OCI infrastructure, autonomous database, SaaS applications like Fusion ERP and NetSuite), license support (~30% — recurring maintenance fees on existing on-premises database and middleware installations), and cloud license/on-premises (~25% — new license sales and hardware). The cloud transition is the key story — cloud revenue is growing 25%+ while license support slowly declines.

Oracle Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Oracle's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$67.36B
Cost of Revenue
-$23.02B
Gross Profit
$44.34B65.8% margin
Operating Expenses
-$19.95B
Operating Income
$24.38B36.2% margin
Tax & Other
-$7.30B
Net Income
$17.09B25.4% margin
Gross Margin
65.8%
Operating Margin
36.2%
Net Margin
25.4%
EBITDA Margin
41.1%

Key Financial Metrics

Oracle Corporation trades at a trailing P/E of 25.92x, generates $-24.54B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 388.87, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 53.4% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$434.52B
Enterprise Value
$579.88B
P/E (Trailing)
25.92
P/E (Forward)
13.81
PEG Ratio
0.85
EV / EBITDA
25.30
Price / Sales
8.75
Price / Book
29.15
Revenue
$67.36B
Revenue Growth
20.6%
Earnings Growth
21.9%
EBITDA
$22.92B
Gross Margin
65.8%
Operating Margin
36.2%
Net Margin
25.4%
Return on Equity
53.4%
Return on Assets
6.5%
Free Cash Flow
$-24.54B
Total Cash
$17.82B
Total Debt
$109.18B
Debt / Equity
388.87
Current Ratio
1.11
Quick Ratio
1.01
Beta
1.72
Dividend Yield
1.3%
Payout Ratio
34.3%
Insider Ownership
40.5%
Inst. Ownership
45.8%
Short % Float
2.8%
Book Value / Share
$13.04

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

34 analysts covering Oracle Corporation currently lean toward a Buy rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $244.12 (+65.4% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingBuy(34 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$130.00-11.9%
Mean Target$244.12+65.4% upside
High Target$246.00+66.7%

Technical Price Signals

ORCL is currently in a short-term uptrend, trading above its 50-day average of $140.85 and below its 200-day average of $170.22. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$147.61
50-Day MA
$140.85
▲ Price above
200-Day MA
$170.22
▼ Price below
Short-term Uptrend
Above 50-day MA but mixed longer-term

ORCL Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

ORCL's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • OCI is winning massive AI infrastructure deals — OpenAI, Meta, and xAI have contracted billions for GPU clusters, validating Oracle as a credible hyperscaler.
  • Remaining performance obligations (RPO) exceed $130B+ — an enormous contracted backlog providing years of revenue visibility.
  • Multi-cloud partnerships with AWS and Azure allow Oracle databases to run natively on competitors' clouds, expanding the addressable market.
  • Autonomous Database and Fusion ERP are growing rapidly as enterprises modernize mission-critical workloads to Oracle's cloud.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • OCI market share remains small (~3-4%) versus AWS (~32%), Azure (~23%), and Google Cloud (~12%) — Oracle must execute perfectly to compete.
  • AI GPU demand could be cyclical — if AI capex spending slows, Oracle's hyperscale GPU contracts may not be followed by recurring workloads.
  • Legacy license support revenue is declining as customers migrate to cloud — the transition creates a revenue headwind during the shift.
  • Valuation has expanded to 25-30x forward P/E — expensive for a company with significant legacy business exposure.

What to Watch: ORCL Key Metrics

Cloud revenue growth (OCI + SaaS)
Remaining performance obligations
OCI GPU capacity and utilization
Cloud gross margin
AI infrastructure deal pipeline

ORCL Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full ORCL in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for Oracle Corporation.

Compare ORCL with Peers

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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