EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) Stock Analysis 2026

IndustrialsMechanical & Electrical Construction Services
$721.66
as of 2026-10-16
+24.2% (52-week)50D MA $785.59  |  200D MA $757.28

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
65
Moderate
Price CAGR
29.9%
1Y Return
+18.9%
Analyst Upside
+30.9%
Rev Growth
19.8%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$943.31+30.7% potential
Bear Case
$731.87
Bull Case
$1187.23
Model Confidence90%

An even blend of the BriMind AI model's DCF and momentum target ($853.32) and Wall Street's consensus target ($1033.29).

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About EMCOR Group, Inc.

EMCOR Group provides mechanical and electrical construction, industrial services, and building services across the United States. It installs and maintains the electrical systems, HVAC, piping, and fire protection inside commercial, institutional, industrial, and increasingly data center facilities. The business is a collection of regional operating companies run with considerable autonomy, which has historically produced disciplined bidding and consistent margin performance.

How EMCOR Makes Money

EMCOR earns revenue from construction contracts — both new build and retrofit — plus a substantial building services segment providing ongoing facility maintenance, and an industrial services segment serving refineries and petrochemical plants. Building services is the recurring, counter-cyclical piece: when new construction slows, maintenance and retrofit work continues. Remaining performance obligations, EMCOR's backlog measure, is the key forward indicator.

EMCOR Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how EMCOR's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$18.60B
Cost of Revenue
-$14.98B
Gross Profit
$3.61B19.4% margin
Operating Expenses
-$1.64B
Operating Income
$1.97B10.6% margin
Tax & Other
-$535.6M
Net Income
$1.44B7.7% margin
Gross Margin
19.4%
Operating Margin
10.6%
Net Margin
7.7%

Key Financial Metrics

EMCOR Group, Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 22.85x, generates $978.3M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 13.43, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 40.3% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$32.39B
P/E (Trailing)
22.85
P/E (Forward)
19.98
PEG Ratio
0.37
Price / Book
7.96
Revenue
$18.60B
Revenue Growth
19.8%
Earnings Growth
34.8%
EPS (Trailing)
$32.13
EPS (Forward)
$36.75
Gross Margin
19.4%
Operating Margin
10.6%
Net Margin
7.7%
Return on Equity
40.3%
Return on Assets
12.0%
Free Cash Flow
$978.3M
Debt / Equity
13.43
Current Ratio
1.28
Quick Ratio
1.23
Beta
1.15
Dividend Yield
0.2%
Payout Ratio
4.0%
Insider Ownership
0.7%
Inst. Ownership
96.2%
Short % Float
2.1%
Book Value / Share
$92.20

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering EMCOR Group, Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $1033.29 (+43.2% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$1033.29+43.2% upside

Intrinsic Value Estimates for EME

We use 3 valuation models to estimate EME's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Graham Number
$258.17
-64.2% vs current
Benjamin Graham's formula: √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). A conservative floor value for stable, profitable companies. Works best for value-oriented businesses.
P/E Based (15× trailing)
$481.95
-33.2% vs current
Multiplies trailing 12-month earnings per share by 15× — a historically average P/E for the stock market. Simple but ignores future growth.
P/E Based (15× forward)
$551.23
-23.6% vs current
Multiplies next year's estimated earnings per share by 15×. More forward-looking; useful for high-growth companies where current earnings understate potential.
Fair Value Range
$258.17 – $551.23
Average Estimate
$430.45
Potential Downside
-40.4%

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

EME is currently in a short-term downtrend, trading below its 50-day average of $785.59 and below its 200-day average of $757.28. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$721.66
50-Day MA
$785.59
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$757.28
▼ Price below
Short-term Downtrend
Below 50-day MA — caution

EME Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

EME's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Data center construction requires exactly the electrical and mechanical work EMCOR specialises in, and project sizes in that segment are large.
  • The decentralised operating model has produced consistently disciplined bidding, reflected in margins well above construction industry norms.
  • Building services provides recurring maintenance revenue that cushions the cyclicality of new construction.
  • Strong free cash flow has funded consistent share repurchases and tuck-in acquisitions without stressing the balance sheet.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Non-residential construction is cyclical and sensitive to interest rates — with the 10-year Treasury above 5%, project financing is materially more expensive.
  • Skilled trade labour shortages can constrain how much backlog EMCOR is able to convert into revenue.
  • Fixed-price contract exposure means material cost inflation or schedule slippage can compress project margins.
  • The stock has re-rated on data center exposure, so valuation now assumes the current margin performance persists.

What to Watch: EME Key Metrics

Remaining performance obligations
Operating margin by segment
Data center project mix
Building services revenue growth
Share repurchase pace

EME Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Compare EME with Peers

PWR vs EMEQuanta Services vs EMCOR — Electric Grid Contractor vs
EME vs MYRGEmcor Group vs MYR Group — Electrical Contractors Compa
ETN vs EMEEaton vs EMCOR Group — Electrical Equipment vs Construc

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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