JFrog Ltd. (FROG) Stock Analysis 2026

TechnologySoftware Supply Chain & Artifact Management

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
38
Weak
Price CAGR
7.2%
1Y Return
+114.6%
Analyst Upside
+13.5%
Rev Growth
28.7%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About JFrog Ltd.

JFrog provides a platform for managing the software supply chain — storing, versioning, scanning, and distributing the binary artifacts and container images that make up deployed software. Its Artifactory repository is widely used as the system of record for build outputs, and it has extended into security scanning and distribution, addressing the growing regulatory and commercial demand for provable software provenance.

How JFrog Makes Money

Revenue is subscription-based across self-managed and cloud deployments, with tiered editions and security modules as upsell paths. Cloud revenue grows faster and is consumption-influenced. Because Artifactory sits in the build pipeline as the source of truth for artifacts, it is deeply embedded — which produces strong retention and makes expansion into adjacent security products a natural motion.

JFrog Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how JFrog's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$600.0M
Cost of Revenue
-$132.8M
Gross Profit
$467.1M77.9% margin
Operating Expenses
-$467.1M
Operating Income
$0-7.1% margin
Tax & Other
-$44.1M
Net Income
-$-44.1M-7.3% margin
Gross Margin
77.9%
Operating Margin
-7.1%
Net Margin
-7.3%

Key Financial Metrics

JFrog Ltd. doesn't carry a meaningful trailing P/E right now, generates $202.8M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 1.52, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a -4.9% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$11.15B
P/E (Forward)
79.01
Price / Book
11.59
Revenue
$600.0M
Revenue Growth
28.7%
EPS (Trailing)
$-0.37
EPS (Forward)
$1.15
Gross Margin
77.9%
Operating Margin
-7.1%
Net Margin
-7.3%
Return on Equity
-4.9%
Return on Assets
-2.9%
Free Cash Flow
$202.8M
Debt / Equity
1.52
Current Ratio
2.13
Quick Ratio
2.02
Beta
1.25
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
10.3%
Inst. Ownership
97.0%
Short % Float
7.8%
Book Value / Share
$7.81

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering JFrog Ltd. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $112.00. Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$112.00

Intrinsic Value Estimates for FROG

We use 1 valuation model to estimate FROG's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

P/E Based (15× forward)
$17.18
Multiplies next year's estimated earnings per share by 15×. More forward-looking; useful for high-growth companies where current earnings understate potential.
Fair Value Range
$17.18 – $17.18
Average Estimate
$17.18

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

FROG is currently in a mixed technical position. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

50-Day MA
$88.43
200-Day MA
$65.21

FROG Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

FROG's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Software supply chain security has become a regulatory and enterprise requirement, driving demand for provenance and scanning.
  • Artifactory's position as the system of record in build pipelines makes it deeply embedded and difficult to displace.
  • Security modules provide a high-value upsell to an installed base that already trusts the platform.
  • Cloud revenue mix shift improves growth rate and revenue quality.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Code hosting platforms and cloud providers offer artifact registries bundled with services customers already buy.
  • Growth is moderate rather than rapid, which limits how much valuation expansion the story can support.
  • Security scanning competes against dedicated application security vendors with deeper capability in that specific area.
  • Developer tool budgets are exposed to slower engineering headcount growth.

What to Watch: FROG Key Metrics

Total and cloud revenue growth
Net dollar retention
Customers above $100k ARR
Security product adoption
Free cash flow margin

FROG Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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