Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Stock Analysis 2026

HealthcarePharmaceuticals & Medical Devices
$269.99
as of 2026-09-18
+49.7% (52-week)50D MA $258.89  |  200D MA $234.25

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
50
Neutral
Price CAGR
11.0%
1Y Return
+49.2%
Analyst Upside
+2.6%
Rev Growth
6.6%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Johnson & Johnson

Johnson & Johnson is one of the world's largest healthcare companies, operating across two segments after spinning off its consumer health division (Kenvue) in 2023. The remaining company focuses on Innovative Medicine (pharmaceuticals — ~55% of revenue) and MedTech (medical devices — ~45%). J&J's pharmaceutical portfolio includes blockbusters like Darzalex (multiple myeloma), Stelara (immunology), Tremfya (psoriasis), and Erleada (prostate cancer). The MedTech division is a leader in orthopedics, surgery, and interventional solutions.

How Johnson & Johnson Makes Money

J&J earns from Innovative Medicine (~55% — branded pharmaceuticals sold to hospitals, pharmacies, and specialty distributors) and MedTech (~45% — orthopedic implants, surgical instruments, cardiovascular devices, and contact lenses). The pharmaceutical business carries higher margins (35%+ operating margin) while MedTech provides stability and procedure-volume-driven growth. J&J invests $14B+ annually in R&D.

Johnson & Johnson Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Johnson & Johnson's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$97.93B
Cost of Revenue
-$31.20B
Gross Profit
$66.73B68.1% margin
Operating Expenses
-$38.14B
Operating Income
$28.59B29.2% margin
Tax & Other
-$7.55B
Net Income
$21.04B21.5% margin
Gross Margin
68.1%
Operating Margin
29.2%
Net Margin
21.5%
EBITDA Margin
33.6%

Key Financial Metrics

Johnson & Johnson trades at a trailing P/E of 31.06x, generates $16.89B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 57.71, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 25.7% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$645.95B
Enterprise Value
$386.48B
P/E (Trailing)
31.06
P/E (Forward)
21.78
PEG Ratio
4.70
EV / EBITDA
12.87
Price / Sales
4.18
Price / Book
4.77
Revenue
$97.93B
Revenue Growth
6.6%
Earnings Growth
-0.9%
EBITDA
$30.03B
Gross Margin
68.1%
Operating Margin
29.2%
Net Margin
21.5%
Return on Equity
25.7%
Return on Assets
8.6%
Free Cash Flow
$16.89B
Total Cash
$38.78B
Total Debt
$52.25B
Debt / Equity
57.71
Current Ratio
1.09
Quick Ratio
0.72
Beta
0.23
Dividend Yield
2.0%
Payout Ratio
60.8%
Insider Ownership
0.1%
Inst. Ownership
76.9%
Short % Float
1.0%
Book Value / Share
$35.28

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

23 analysts covering Johnson & Johnson currently lean toward a Hold rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $272.50 (+0.9% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingHold(23 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$150.00-44.4%
Mean Target$272.50+0.9% upside
High Target$185.00+-31.5%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for JNJ

We use 1 valuation model to estimate JNJ's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

JNJ is currently in a golden cross pattern, trading above its 50-day average of $258.89 and above its 200-day average of $234.25. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$269.99
50-Day MA
$258.89
▲ Price above
200-Day MA
$234.25
▲ Price above
Golden Cross Pattern
Price above both MAs — bullish signal

JNJ Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

JNJ's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • 62 consecutive years of dividend increases (Dividend King) with a 3%+ yield — one of the most reliable income stocks in the market.
  • Post-Kenvue spin-off, J&J is a focused pharma/MedTech company with higher growth and margins than the old conglomerate.
  • Darzalex franchise continues to grow ($10B+ peak sales potential) and pipeline includes promising assets in immunology and oncology.
  • MedTech benefits from aging populations and returning elective procedures — orthopedic and surgical volumes are growing steadily.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Stelara patent cliff (2025 biosimilar entry) will cause significant revenue erosion — Stelara represents ~10% of pharmaceutical revenue.
  • Talc litigation remains an overhang despite the proposed $8.9B settlement — ongoing legal uncertainty weighs on the stock.
  • Pharmaceutical revenue concentration risk — top 5 drugs represent a large portion of revenue, and each faces eventual patent expiration.
  • MedTech growth is steady but not exciting (4-6%) — the segment won't drive meaningful multiple expansion.

What to Watch: JNJ Key Metrics

Innovative Medicine revenue growth
Stelara biosimilar erosion rate
MedTech organic growth
Pipeline milestones & approvals
Free cash flow and dividend coverage

JNJ Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full JNJ in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for Johnson & Johnson.

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JNJ — Related Investment Themes

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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