SM Energy Company (SM) Stock Analysis 2026

EnergyOil & Gas E&P

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
47
Neutral
Price CAGR
1.3%
1Y Return
+93.6%
Analyst Upside
+14.9%
Rev Growth
176.1%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

SM Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how SM's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$4.96B
Cost of Revenue
-$672.0M
Gross Profit
$4.29B86.5% margin
Operating Expenses
-$1.30B
Operating Income
$2.99B60.3% margin
Tax & Other
-$1.99B
Net Income
$1000.0M20.2% margin
Gross Margin
86.5%
Operating Margin
60.3%
Net Margin
20.2%

Key Financial Metrics

SM Energy Company trades at a trailing P/E of 6.79x, generates $1.47B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 95.14, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 16.1% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$9.11B
P/E (Trailing)
6.79
P/E (Forward)
5.11
PEG Ratio
0.70
Price / Book
1.16
Revenue
$4.96B
Revenue Growth
176.1%
Earnings Growth
153.9%
EPS (Trailing)
$5.64
EPS (Forward)
$7.49
Gross Margin
86.5%
Operating Margin
60.3%
Net Margin
20.2%
Return on Equity
16.1%
Return on Assets
6.9%
Free Cash Flow
$1.47B
Debt / Equity
95.14
Current Ratio
0.61
Quick Ratio
0.52
Beta
0.74
Dividend Yield
2.3%
Payout Ratio
18.4%
Insider Ownership
0.9%
Inst. Ownership
99.5%
Short % Float
7.2%
Book Value / Share
$32.90

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering SM Energy Company currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $41.13. Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$41.13

Intrinsic Value Estimates for SM

We use 3 valuation models to estimate SM's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Graham Number
$64.61
Benjamin Graham's formula: √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). A conservative floor value for stable, profitable companies. Works best for value-oriented businesses.
P/E Based (15× trailing)
$84.60
Multiplies trailing 12-month earnings per share by 15× — a historically average P/E for the stock market. Simple but ignores future growth.
P/E Based (15× forward)
$112.33
Multiplies next year's estimated earnings per share by 15×. More forward-looking; useful for high-growth companies where current earnings understate potential.
Fair Value Range
$64.61 – $112.33
Average Estimate
$87.18

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

SM is currently in a mixed technical position. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

50-Day MA
$31.44
200-Day MA
$26.48

Compare SM with Peers

SM vs CIVISM Energy vs Civitas Resources — Permian & Eagle Ford v

Further Reading

Research and guides that put SM’s numbers in context — how to read the filings behind them, and the frameworks we use to score them.

Risk ManagementBest ETFs for a Recession-Proof Portfolio in 2026FundamentalsHow to Read a 10-K Annual Report: Complete Investor GuideFundamentals10 Stock Analysis Tools Every Investor Should Know AboutFundamentalsFactor Investing Guide 2026: Value, Momentum, Quality & Low Volatility — Which Factors Work?

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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