Tidewater Inc. (TDW) Stock Analysis 2026

EnergyOffshore Support Vessels

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
26
Weak
Price CAGR
-1.6%
1Y Return
+78.0%
Analyst Upside
+11.1%
Rev Growth
0.3%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Tidewater Inc.

Tidewater operates the largest fleet of offshore support vessels serving the oil and gas industry — platform supply vessels and anchor handling tugs that move equipment, supplies, and crew to offshore rigs and production facilities, and assist with anchoring and towing. The business is a pure day-rate model: vessels are chartered to operators, and profitability turns almost entirely on utilisation and day rates.

How Tidewater Makes Money

Tidewater charters vessels to energy companies and drilling contractors on term or spot contracts priced per day. Costs are largely fixed once a vessel is crewed and operating, so incremental day rate flows disproportionately to profit. The supply side is structurally constrained: very few new offshore support vessels were built during the prolonged offshore downturn, and newbuild economics remain difficult, which supports rates when demand recovers.

Tidewater Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Tidewater's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$1.35B
Cost of Revenue
-$698.9M
Gross Profit
$647.5M48.1% margin
Operating Expenses
-$647.5M
Operating Income
$0-8.7% margin
Net Income
$246.9M18.3% margin
Gross Margin
48.1%
Operating Margin
-8.7%
Net Margin
18.3%

Key Financial Metrics

Tidewater Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 20.41x, generates $367.6M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 45.45, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 19.4% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$5.01B
P/E (Trailing)
20.41
P/E (Forward)
16.73
Price / Book
3.59
Revenue
$1.35B
Revenue Growth
-43.1%
EPS (Trailing)
$4.93
EPS (Forward)
$6.01
Gross Margin
48.1%
Operating Margin
-8.7%
Net Margin
18.3%
Return on Equity
19.4%
Return on Assets
7.0%
Free Cash Flow
$367.6M
Debt / Equity
45.45
Current Ratio
3.58
Quick Ratio
3.41
Beta
0.54
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
1.8%
Inst. Ownership
119.7%
Short % Float
16.3%
Book Value / Share
$28.00

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Tidewater Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $94.88. Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$94.88

Intrinsic Value Estimates for TDW

We use 3 valuation models to estimate TDW's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Graham Number
$55.73
Benjamin Graham's formula: √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). A conservative floor value for stable, profitable companies. Works best for value-oriented businesses.
P/E Based (15× trailing)
$73.95
Multiplies trailing 12-month earnings per share by 15× — a historically average P/E for the stock market. Simple but ignores future growth.
P/E Based (15× forward)
$90.22
Multiplies next year's estimated earnings per share by 15×. More forward-looking; useful for high-growth companies where current earnings understate potential.
Fair Value Range
$55.73 – $90.22
Average Estimate
$73.30

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

TDW is currently in a mixed technical position. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

50-Day MA
$80.08
200-Day MA
$72.81

TDW Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

TDW's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • The global offshore support vessel fleet is old and shrinking, with minimal newbuilding during the long downturn, creating genuine supply scarcity.
  • Offshore project sanctioning has recovered substantially, driving demand for vessels that cannot be quickly added.
  • Fixed cost structure means rising day rates produce outsized margin and cash flow expansion.
  • Consolidation of the fragmented fleet has improved pricing discipline across the industry.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Day rates are directly tied to offshore activity, which follows oil prices with a lag and falls hard in downturns.
  • Charter contracts are relatively short, so rate declines flow into results quickly with no long-term protection.
  • Vessel maintenance, drydocking, and crewing costs are rising, eroding some of the day rate benefit.
  • A cyclical peak in offshore activity would leave the company exposed at exactly the point when rates look most attractive.

What to Watch: TDW Key Metrics

Average day rates
Fleet utilisation
Vessel operating margin
Contract backlog and duration
Global offshore rig count

TDW Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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