Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) Stock Analysis 2026

EnergyMid-Size Crude & Product Tankers

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
45
Neutral
Price CAGR
17.6%
1Y Return
+119.0%
Analyst Upside
-10.0%
Rev Growth
63.0%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Teekay Tankers Ltd.

Teekay Tankers operates a fleet concentrated in mid-size crude tankers, principally Suezmax and Aframax vessels, plus LR2 product carriers. Mid-size tonnage serves routes and ports that cannot accommodate very large crude carriers, including significant Atlantic basin and intra-regional trades, and has benefited from trade rerouting that favours smaller, more flexible vessels.

How Teekay Tankers Makes Money

Revenue comes from chartering vessels on spot and time charter markets, with Teekay Tankers historically running high spot exposure, which maximises sensitivity to rate movements in both directions. The company reduced debt substantially during strong markets, lowering its cash breakeven considerably. Management has returned capital through regular and special dividends rather than committing to a high fixed payout.

Teekay Tankers Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Teekay Tankers's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$1.15B
Cost of Revenue
-$572.6M
Gross Profit
$580.3M50.3% margin
Operating Expenses
-$4.0M
Operating Income
$576.2M50.0% margin
Net Income
$592.0M51.3% margin
Gross Margin
50.3%
Operating Margin
50.0%
Net Margin
51.3%

Key Financial Metrics

Teekay Tankers Ltd. trades at a trailing P/E of 5.35x, generates $228.0M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 1.58, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 28.0% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$3.15B
P/E (Trailing)
5.35
P/E (Forward)
8.33
PEG Ratio
1.10
Price / Book
1.44
Revenue
$1.15B
Revenue Growth
63.0%
Earnings Growth
259.4%
EPS (Trailing)
$16.97
EPS (Forward)
$10.90
Gross Margin
50.3%
Operating Margin
50.0%
Net Margin
51.3%
Return on Equity
28.0%
Return on Assets
12.0%
Free Cash Flow
$228.0M
Debt / Equity
1.58
Current Ratio
9.99
Quick Ratio
9.09
Beta
-0.23
Dividend Yield
1.1%
Payout Ratio
5.9%
Insider Ownership
20.2%
Inst. Ownership
67.3%
Short % Float
3.4%
Book Value / Share
$63.21

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Teekay Tankers Ltd. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $93.80. Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$93.80

Intrinsic Value Estimates for TNK

We use 3 valuation models to estimate TNK's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Graham Number
$155.36
Benjamin Graham's formula: √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). A conservative floor value for stable, profitable companies. Works best for value-oriented businesses.
P/E Based (15× trailing)
$254.55
Multiplies trailing 12-month earnings per share by 15× — a historically average P/E for the stock market. Simple but ignores future growth.
P/E Based (15× forward)
$163.47
Multiplies next year's estimated earnings per share by 15×. More forward-looking; useful for high-growth companies where current earnings understate potential.
Fair Value Range
$155.36 – $254.55
Average Estimate
$191.13

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

TNK is currently in a mixed technical position. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

50-Day MA
$77.75
200-Day MA
$70.40

TNK Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

TNK's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Mid-size tankers serve a broader range of ports and routes than very large crude carriers, providing trading flexibility.
  • Substantial debt reduction during strong markets has materially lowered cash breakeven and financial risk.
  • High spot exposure means rate strength converts to cash flow immediately with no charter lag.
  • Trade rerouting and sanctions-driven shifts have particularly favoured Suezmax and Aframax tonnage.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • High spot exposure cuts both ways, leaving earnings fully exposed when rates fall.
  • The fleet is relatively mature, implying future renewal capital expenditure or asset sales.
  • Mid-size rates face competition from very large crude carriers cascading down into smaller trades when long-haul demand weakens.
  • Special dividends are discretionary and disappear in weak markets, making total yield unpredictable.

What to Watch: TNK Key Metrics

Suezmax and Aframax spot rates
Spot versus time charter mix
Cash breakeven per day
Fleet average age and sales
Special dividend declarations

TNK Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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