Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Stock Analysis 2026
BriMind AI Score
ProprietaryScore based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.
BriMind 1-Year Price Target
An even blend of the BriMind AI model's DCF and momentum target ($330.05) and Wall Street's consensus target ($443.00).
AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →
TPL Revenue & Profitability Breakdown
This chart shows how TPL's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.
Key Financial Metrics
Texas Pacific Land Corporation trades at a trailing P/E of 46.85x, generates $-32.8M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 1.08, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 36.6% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.
Wall Street Analyst Consensus
Wall Street analysts covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $442.00 (+34.8% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.
Intrinsic Value Estimates for TPL
We use 3 valuation models to estimate TPL's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.
Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.
Technical Price Signals
TPL is currently in a death cross pattern, trading below its 50-day average of $388.76 and below its 200-day average of $391.06. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.
Further Reading
Research and guides that put TPL’s numbers in context — how to read the filings behind them, and the frameworks we use to score them.
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