XP Inc. (XP) Stock Analysis 2026

Financial ServicesCapital Markets
$15.05
as of 2026-10-29
+5.9% (52-week)50D MA $16.60  |  200D MA $18.01

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
26
Weak
Price CAGR
-1.8%
1Y Return
+73.1%
Analyst Upside
-23.1%
Rev Growth
10.6%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$30.14+100.3% potential
Bear Case
$19.01
Bull Case
$41.87
Model Confidence90%

An even blend of the BriMind AI model's DCF and momentum target ($35.20) and Wall Street's consensus target ($25.08).

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

XP Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how XP's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$18.63B
Cost of Revenue
-$5.74B
Gross Profit
$12.89B69.2% margin
Operating Expenses
-$7.08B
Operating Income
$5.81B31.2% margin
Tax & Other
-$491.9M
Net Income
$5.32B28.5% margin
Gross Margin
69.2%
Operating Margin
31.2%
Net Margin
28.5%

Key Financial Metrics

XP Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 10.25x, hasn't disclosed meaningful free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 642.49, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 22.6% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$10.14B
P/E (Trailing)
10.25
P/E (Forward)
8.52
Price / Book
2.20
Revenue
$18.63B
Revenue Growth
10.6%
Earnings Growth
8.6%
EPS (Trailing)
$1.95
EPS (Forward)
$2.35
Gross Margin
69.2%
Operating Margin
31.2%
Net Margin
28.5%
Return on Equity
22.6%
Return on Assets
1.4%
Debt / Equity
642.49
Current Ratio
1.49
Quick Ratio
1.45
Beta
1.10
Dividend Yield
1.1%
Payout Ratio
20.0%
Insider Ownership
0.7%
Inst. Ownership
82.9%
Short % Float
4.6%
Book Value / Share
$9.08

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering XP Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $23.38 (+55.4% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$23.38+55.4% upside

Intrinsic Value Estimates for XP

We use 3 valuation models to estimate XP's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Graham Number
$19.96
+32.6% vs current
Benjamin Graham's formula: √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). A conservative floor value for stable, profitable companies. Works best for value-oriented businesses.
P/E Based (15× trailing)
$29.25
+94.4% vs current
Multiplies trailing 12-month earnings per share by 15× — a historically average P/E for the stock market. Simple but ignores future growth.
P/E Based (15× forward)
$35.19
+133.8% vs current
Multiplies next year's estimated earnings per share by 15×. More forward-looking; useful for high-growth companies where current earnings understate potential.
Fair Value Range
$19.96 – $35.19
Average Estimate
$28.13
Potential Upside
86.9%

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

XP is currently in a death cross pattern, trading below its 50-day average of $16.60 and below its 200-day average of $18.01. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$15.05
50-Day MA
$16.60
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$18.01
▼ Price below
Death Cross Pattern
Price below both MAs — bearish signal

Compare XP with Peers

XP vs NUXP Inc vs Nu Holdings — Brazilian Investment Platform v

Further Reading

Research and guides that put XP’s numbers in context — how to read the filings behind them, and the frameworks we use to score them.

Market TheoryWe Backtested 929 Insider Cluster Buys — The Signal Everyone Trusts Loses to the S&P 500Fundamentals58% of Insider Selling Is Noise — How to Find the Part That MattersMarket TheoryThe Stock-Split Pop Is a Myth: What 39 Real Splits Actually DidMarket Theory10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 19-Year High: What 5.2% Means for Stocks

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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