When ANDG insiders can sell
Andersen Group Inc. · IPO prospectus filed 2025-12-17 · Single cliff · 180-day lock-up
That is the calendar date the clause computes to, counted from the prospectus date. It is the only date computable without knowing a future earnings date, which is why everything that could pull it earlier is printed below it on this page rather than folded into it.
How much stock, against how much trades
"Absorb days" is the shares coming free divided by average daily volume: how many full sessions of ANDG's entire turnover the release amounts to. It is a ratio, not a forecast — it does not know who wants to sell, and a founder with no intention of selling counts the same as a fund that has been waiting six months.
Exactly 98,302,500 shares, against 392,060 shares a day averaged over 20 sessions. Volume source: yahoo-finance2 daily bars (symbol not in our price table), through 2026-11-06. Dollar volume $25.5M a day. Heaviest third of the cohort.
Our call: Pressure
ANDG sits in the heaviest third of a cohort of 47 deals — lightest third at or below 54.1 sessions, heaviest at or above 109 sessions. The call is cohort-relative, not a fixed threshold, so the same absorb-day figure could read differently against a different month's IPOs. Expected excess return against SPY: negative.
The lock-up clause, in the issuer's words
Every other free lock-up calendar tells you 180 days and moves on. This is the actual sentence the date above was computed from, so that if the words do not support the number, the number is wrong and the filing is one click away.
Further, the Aggregator Limited Liability Company Agreement will contractually restrict the ability of Andersen Managing Directors to sell their shares during the period ending 180 days after the date of this prospectus, subject to certain exceptions. We have agreed with the underwriters to enforce and not to amend or waive any such transfer restrictions during the period ending 180 days after the date of this prospectus without the consent of Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC and UBS Securities LLC. See the sections titled "Description of Capital Stock—Redemption, Transferability and Exchange," "Underwriters" and "Shares Eligible for Future Sale" for a more complete description of the lock-up agreements and market standoff arrangements that we, our executive officers and directors and substantially all of our securityholders have entered into with the underwriters and pursuant to agreements with……
Where the share count comes from
98,302,500 shares — stated in the prospectus. A count the prospectus prints and a count derived from two of its other numbers are not the same quality of claim, so which one this is gets said rather than implied.
| Shares outstanding after the offering | 109,302,500 |
| Shares sold in the offering | 11,000,000 |
| Locked up, coming free at expiry | 98,302,500 |
After the lock-up agreements and related transfer restrictions pertaining to this offering expire, up to an additional 98,302,500 shares of Class A common stock (which are issuable upon exchange of an equal amount of Class X Umbrella Units and forfeiture of corresponding shares of Class B common stock) will be eligible for sale in the public market, subject to various vesting and transfer restrictions, including those described in the section titled "Organizational Structure—Vesting and Transfer Restrictions of Aggregator Members." The market price of our Class A common stock could decline as a result of the sale of a substantial number of our shares in the public market or the perception in the market that the holders of a large number of shares intend to sell their shares.
Exceptions written into the lock-up (5)
Each of these is a route by which ANDG shares can move before 2026-06-15. The 10b5-1 carve-out is the one worth reading twice: it lets insiders put a selling plan in place during the lock-up, so the first sales can be automatic and immediate rather than discretionary and later.
- 10b5-1 plan
- bona fide gift or charitable transfer
- estate planning or family transfer
- directed share program participants
- option exercise or RSU settlement
…nted pursuant to any employee benefit plan in effect on the date hereof and described in this prospectus; facilitating the establishment of a trading plan on behalf of a shareholder, officer or director pursuant to Rule 10b5-1 under the Exchange Act for the transfer of shares of common stock, provided that (i) such plan does not provide for the transfer of common stock during the restricted period and (ii) to the extent a public announcement or filing under the Exchange Act, if any, is required of or voluntarily made by us regarding the establishment of such plan, such announcement or filing shall include a statement to the effect t…
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At our request, the underwriters have reserved up to 7% of the shares of our Class A common stock offered by this prospectus for sale, at the initial public offering price, through a directed share program to our non-employee directors and certain other individuals and entities identified by us. See the section titled "Underwriters—Directed Share Program." We have granted the underwriters an option for a period of 30 days to purchase up to an additional 1,650,000 shares of Class A common stock solely to cover over-allotments, if any. The Securities and Exchange Commission and state securities regulators have not approved or disapproved these securities or determined if this prospectus is truthful or complete.
…mon stock pursuant to this clause shall execute a lock-up agreement; the grant of options or any other type of equity award described in this prospectus, or the issuance of shares of common stock by us (whether upon the exercise of stock options or otherwise) to our employees, officers, directors, advisors or consultants pursuant to employee benefit plans in effect on the date hereof and described in this prospectus; provided that each recipient of common stock pursuant to this clause shall execute a lock-up agreement; the filing of a registration statement on Form S-8 relating to the issuance, vesting, exercise or settlement of equ…
How this reading of ANDG could be wrong
The lock-up period is restated 11 times in this prospectus. Issuers repeat the clause on the cover, in the summary, in the risk factors and in the underwriting section, and the wording is not always identical. The parser resolved them to one period; if a reader finds a restatement that disagrees, the quote above is the one it used.
The volume is a vendor's, not ours. ANDG is not in our own price table, so average daily volume comes from yahoo-finance2 daily bars (symbol not in our price table). Vendor bars for recently listed symbols are the ones most likely to be wrong.
Only 20 sessions of volume history. This is a recent IPO, and early volume is dominated by the offering itself. An average over 20 sessions of a stock that has barely traded is the weakest input on the page, and absorb days inherits every bit of that weakness.
The parser can misread a filing. That is why every number here is printed next to the words it came from. Earlier versions of this parser read the underwriters' 30-day over-allotment window as a 30-day lock-up on five deals, and double-counted one issuer's share total because the offering summary appears on both the cover and in the summary section.
Also unlocking in 2026-06 (4)
Lock-ups cluster, because IPOs cluster: these priced in the same window as ANDG and come free in the same month. Several heavy releases landing together is a different situation from one.
| Deal | Expiry | Shares free | Absorb days |
|---|---|---|---|
| PARK Park Dental Partners, Inc. | 2026-06-01 | — | — |
| WLTH WEALTHFRONT CORP | 2026-06-10 | 124.8M | 54.1 sessions |
| LMRI Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc. | 2026-06-10 | — | — |
| ITHA ITHAX Acquisition Corp III | 2026-06-13 | — | — |
Learn to read these clauses yourself
The flow arithmetic on this page — shares unlocking divided by average daily volume, and why the clause has to be read rather than assumed — taught step by step, free.
Radar built 2026-11-07 from EDGAR full-text search over 424B4 filings · all 80 parsed lock-ups and the scoreboard · ANDG's prospectus on EDGAR · what funds carried these companies at before listing