Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) Stock Analysis 2026

IndustrialsElectric Vertical Takeoff Aircraft

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
23
Weak
Price CAGR
-12.1%
1Y Return
-60.8%
Analyst Upside
+132.0%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Archer Aviation Inc.

Archer Aviation is developing Midnight, an electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft designed for short urban routes carrying a pilot and four passengers. Archer's strategy differs from vertically integrated competitors by emphasising aircraft sales to airline and international partners alongside its own operations, and by partnering with an established automotive manufacturer for volume production expertise.

How Archer Aviation Makes Money

Archer is pre-commercial. The intended revenue mix includes selling aircraft to airline partners and international customers, operating routes directly, and defense applications. Like all developers in the category, everything is gated on type certification. Pre-orders and partnerships provide validation but typically carry limited firm commitment, so cash burn against a development timeline defines the near-term financial reality.

Archer Aviation Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Archer Aviation's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$6.9M
Cost of Revenue
-$5.9M
Gross Profit
$1.0M14.5% margin
Operating Expenses
-$1.0M
Operating Income
$0-5514.0% margin
Net Income
$00.0% margin
Gross Margin
14.5%
Operating Margin
-5514.0%
Net Margin
0.0%

Key Financial Metrics

Archer Aviation Inc. doesn't carry a meaningful trailing P/E right now, generates $-376.4M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 6.56, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a -44.5% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$4.30B
P/E (Forward)
-6.91
Price / Book
2.27
Revenue
$6.9M
EPS (Trailing)
$-1.08
EPS (Forward)
$-0.81
Gross Margin
14.5%
Operating Margin
-5514.0%
Net Margin
0.0%
Return on Equity
-44.5%
Return on Assets
-28.1%
Free Cash Flow
$-376.4M
Debt / Equity
6.56
Current Ratio
10.21
Quick Ratio
9.68
Beta
3.23
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
14.7%
Inst. Ownership
50.0%
Short % Float
14.6%
Book Value / Share
$2.46

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Archer Aviation Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $10.61. Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$10.61

Technical Price Signals

ACHR is currently in a mixed technical position. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

50-Day MA
$5.46
200-Day MA
$6.41

ACHR Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

ACHR's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Selling aircraft to airline and international partners generates revenue without Archer bearing the cost of building its own operating network.
  • A manufacturing partnership with an established automaker brings volume production capability that aerospace startups usually lack.
  • Announced international agreements, particularly in the Middle East, could enable earlier commercial operations in more permissive regulatory environments.
  • Defense variants offer a revenue path independent of commercial passenger certification timelines.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Type certification remains the binding constraint and its timing is genuinely uncertain for a new aircraft category.
  • Announced pre-orders are frequently conditional and non-binding, so backlog figures may overstate committed demand.
  • Substantial cash burn with no commercial revenue makes further equity issuance and dilution highly likely.
  • Direct competition with other well-funded developers means the certification race has a meaningful first-mover advantage at stake.

What to Watch: ACHR Key Metrics

Certification milestone progress
Flight test and transition milestones
Cash position and burn rate
Share count dilution
Firm versus conditional orders

ACHR Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full ACHR in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for Archer Aviation Inc..

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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