Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) Stock Analysis 2026

TechnologyAI Cloud Infrastructure

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
62
Moderate
Price CAGR
180.0%
1Y Return
+35.4%
Analyst Upside
+77.0%
Rev Growth
454.0%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Nebius Group N.V.

Nebius operates AI-specialised cloud infrastructure, renting GPU compute capacity to companies training and serving machine learning models. Rather than competing with hyperscalers across the full breadth of cloud services, Nebius concentrates on accelerated computing — building and operating data centers purpose-designed for dense GPU clusters, with the networking and storage architecture that large-scale training requires. The group also holds stakes in adjacent technology businesses.

How Nebius Makes Money

Revenue comes from selling GPU compute capacity, typically through a mix of on-demand pricing and longer-term reserved contracts with AI companies. The economics are capital-intensive: Nebius must purchase accelerators and build data center capacity ahead of committed demand, then recover that investment over the useful life of the hardware. Annualised run-rate revenue and contracted backlog are more informative than reported revenue, because the business scales in step-functions as new capacity comes online.

Nebius Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Nebius's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$1.36B
Cost of Revenue
-$348.8M
Gross Profit
$1.01B74.3% margin
Operating Expenses
-$1.01B
Operating Income
$0-0.2% margin
Net Income
$42.4M3.1% margin
Gross Margin
74.3%
Operating Margin
-0.2%
Net Margin
3.1%

Key Financial Metrics

Nebius Group N.V. doesn't carry a meaningful trailing P/E right now, generates $-9.61B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 98.60, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 0.6% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$55.48B
P/E (Forward)
-68.09
PEG Ratio
0.48
Price / Book
5.41
Revenue
$1.36B
Revenue Growth
454.0%
EPS (Trailing)
$-0.08
EPS (Forward)
$-3.00
Gross Margin
74.3%
Operating Margin
-0.2%
Net Margin
3.1%
Return on Equity
0.6%
Return on Assets
-1.9%
Free Cash Flow
$-9.61B
Debt / Equity
98.60
Current Ratio
4.03
Quick Ratio
3.60
Beta
1.43
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
3.4%
Inst. Ownership
69.2%
Short % Float
23.4%
Book Value / Share
$37.72

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Nebius Group N.V. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $286.69. Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$286.69

Technical Price Signals

NBIS is currently in a mixed technical position. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

50-Day MA
$216.09
200-Day MA
$152.87

NBIS Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

NBIS's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Demand for large-scale GPU capacity has persistently exceeded supply, letting specialised providers sign long-duration contracts at attractive rates.
  • Purpose-built AI data centers can deliver better price-performance for training workloads than general-purpose cloud regions retrofitted for accelerators.
  • Long-term contracts with well-capitalised AI companies provide revenue visibility unusual for a company at this stage of growth.
  • Owning both the data centers and the operating software stack captures more of the value chain than a pure reseller of capacity.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • The model is extremely capital-intensive and depends on continuous access to financing — a tightening credit environment with the 10-year Treasury above 5% raises the cost of every incremental megawatt.
  • GPU rental pricing could compress sharply if accelerator supply catches up with demand, while the depreciation on already-purchased hardware does not.
  • Hyperscalers with vastly greater balance sheets compete directly and can subsidise AI compute pricing from other profit pools.
  • Accelerator hardware depreciates fast and risks technical obsolescence if a new generation delivers a large performance-per-dollar step change.

What to Watch: NBIS Key Metrics

Annualised run-rate revenue
Contracted backlog
Deployed capacity in megawatts
Capital expenditure and financing mix
GPU utilisation rate

NBIS Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full NBIS in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for Nebius Group N.V..

Compare NBIS with Peers

NBIS vs CRWVNebius Group vs CoreWeave — Neocloud AI Infrastructure
NBIS vs APLDNebius vs Applied Digital — neocloud growth or leased A
NBIS vs DELLNebius vs Dell — AI cloud pure play or diversified hard
NBIS vs IRENNebius vs IREN — pure AI cloud or Bitcoin-to-AI pivot?
NBIS vs ORCLNebius vs Oracle — neocloud upstart vs enterprise cloud

Further Reading

Research and guides that put NBIS’s numbers in context — how to read the filings behind them, and the frameworks we use to score them.

Risk ManagementBest ETFs for a Recession-Proof Portfolio in 2026FundamentalsHow to Read a 10-K Annual Report: Complete Investor GuideFundamentals10 Stock Analysis Tools Every Investor Should Know AboutFundamentalsFactor Investing Guide 2026: Value, Momentum, Quality & Low Volatility — Which Factors Work?

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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