NBIS vs ORCL Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Nebius is a smaller, faster-growing pure-play AI cloud operator, while Oracle is a large, diversified enterprise technology company whose Oracle Cloud Infrastructure has become a major AI compute provider through a handful of very large contracts. Oracle offers scale, an established enterprise franchise, and a massive contracted backlog, while Nebius offers more concentrated upside tied purely to AI cloud growth. The decision hinges on whether an investor wants a focused, higher-growth pure play or a diversified incumbent with AI cloud as an increasingly dominant growth driver.
Use this comparison to weigh AI cloud growth concentration (Nebius) against AI cloud scale backed by an established enterprise software franchise and balance sheet (Oracle).
ORCL holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. NBIS has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+49.73% vs -55.71%), though ORCL has the better forward P/E setup (13.81x vs -68.09x for NBIS). On fundamentals, NBIS is growing revenue faster (454.00%), while ORCL maintains the higher operating margin (36.20%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for ORCL (+61.83%) than for NBIS (+40.47%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want concentrated exposure to AI cloud growth without legacy enterprise software drag
- Are comfortable with a smaller-cap, higher-volatility stock
- Believe GPU cloud capacity will remain supply-constrained for years
- Prefer a capital-efficient, focused operating model
- Want AI cloud exposure backed by a large, diversified enterprise software business
- Value a massive contracted backlog providing multi-year revenue visibility
- Are comfortable with rising leverage used to fund AI data center buildout
- Prefer an established company with decades of enterprise customer relationships
| Metric | NBIS | ORCL |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 64.8 | 49.3 |
| AI ranki | #53 | #502 |
| Latest closei | $188.41 | $134.47 |
| 1M returni | -9.14% | -4.19% |
| 3M returni | +9.69% | +8.26% |
| 6M returni | +13.95% | -24.60% |
| 1Y returni | +49.73% | -55.71% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | NBIS | ORCL |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $14.97K (+49.7%) started 2025-10-15 | $4.3K (-57.0%) started 2025-10-16 |
| 5Y ago | $94.2K (+842.1%) started 2024-10-21 | $15.44K (+54.4%) started 2021-10-18 |
| 10Y ago | $94.2K (+842.1%) started 2024-10-21 | $46.12K (+361.2%) started 2016-10-17 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | NBIS | ORCL |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $55.48B | $434.52B |
| Trailing P/Ei | N/A | 25.92 |
| Forward P/Ei | -68.09 | 13.81 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | 8.75 |
| EV/Revenuei | 41.95 | 8.54 |
| Analyst targeti | $286.69 | $244.12 |
| Target upsidei | +40.47% | +61.83% |
| Metric | NBIS | ORCL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 454.00% | 20.60% |
| Earnings growthi | N/A | 21.90% |
| EPS growthi | N/A | +21.90% |
| FCF margini | -709.52% | -36.43% |
| Operating margini | -0.22% | 36.20% |
| Profit margini | 3.13% | 25.37% |
| ROIC proxyi | 0.60% | 53.38% |
| Return on equityi | 0.60% | 53.38% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 1.33% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 31.35% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.43 | 1.72 |
| Debt/equityi | 98.60 | 388.87 |
| Current ratioi | 4.03 | 1.11 |
| Quick ratioi | 3.60 | 1.01 |
Over the past year, NBIS and ORCL have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.55), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | NBIS | ORCL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +49.73% | -57.04% |
| CAGRi | +49.78% | -57.10% | |
| Volatilityi | 109.09% | 57.25% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.86 | -1.27 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.41 | -1.76 | |
| Max drawdowni | 48.30% | 63.26% | |
| Current drawdowni | 34.28% | 57.04% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 19.71% | 44.39% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 22.77% | 46.05% | |
| Max daily dropi | 17.01% | 10.83% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 32.06% | 22.10% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +842.05% | +46.55% |
| CAGRi | +210.03% | +7.95% | |
| Volatilityi | 112.97% | 44.19% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.52 | 0.29 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 2.53 | 0.45 | |
| Max drawdowni | 58.27% | 64.98% | |
| Current drawdowni | 34.28% | 59.04% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 19.54% | 19.95% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 24.58% | 26.25% | |
| Max daily dropi | 37.44% | 13.79% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 32.06% | 22.10% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +842.05% | +300.73% |
| CAGRi | +210.03% | +14.90% | |
| Volatilityi | 112.97% | 36.45% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.52 | 0.44 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 2.53 | 0.67 | |
| Max drawdowni | 58.27% | 64.98% | |
| Current drawdowni | 34.28% | 59.04% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 19.54% | 12.73% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 24.58% | 19.24% | |
| Max daily dropi | 37.44% | 13.79% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 32.06% | 22.10% |
| Category | NBIS | ORCL |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Nebius Group N.V. | Oracle Corporation |
| Sector | Communication Services | Technology |
| Industry | Internet Content & Information | Software - Infrastructure |
| Core business | Nebius builds and operates vertically integrated GPU cloud infrastructure and data centers across Europe and North America for AI training and inference workloads. | Oracle provides enterprise database software, applications, and Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI), which has become a major AI training and inference cloud provider through large hyperscale contracts. |
| Investor focus | Investors track AI cloud revenue growth, new hyperscaler and enterprise compute contracts, and the pace of data center capacity buildout relative to capital spend. | Investors focus on OCI revenue and backlog growth, cloud capital expenditure plans, and the durability of Oracle's database and enterprise applications franchise. |
- Triple-digit percentage growth in AI cloud revenue as demand for GPU capacity outstrips supply
- Multi-billion-dollar, multi-year compute agreements with large AI labs and cloud partners
- Focused, capital-efficient model relative to hyperscale cloud incumbents
- Massive, growing remaining performance obligations (RPO) backlog tied to large AI cloud infrastructure contracts
- Established, sticky enterprise database and applications business generates steady cash flow
- Scale and balance sheet to fund large, multi-year data center buildouts for AI customers
- Valuation embeds years of hypergrowth, leaving little room for a demand slowdown
- Much smaller scale and balance sheet than large, diversified cloud competitors
- Heavy ongoing capital expenditure required to keep expanding data center capacity
- Aggressive debt-funded capital expenditure to build out AI cloud capacity raises leverage and execution risk
- OCI must continue converting massive backlog into recognized revenue on schedule
- Legacy on-premises database business faces long-term secular decline pressure
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