NIKE Inc. (NKE) Stock Analysis 2026

Consumer DiscretionaryAthletic Footwear & Apparel
$35.51
as of 2026-09-18
-49.6% (52-week)50D MA $41.80  |  200D MA $51.94

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
27
Weak
Price CAGR
-3.0%
1Y Return
-49.6%
Analyst Upside
+37.3%
Rev Growth
-1.1%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About NIKE Inc.

Nike is the world's largest athletic footwear and apparel brand, generating $50B+ in annual revenue across 190+ countries. The company designs, develops, and sells athletic shoes (Air Max, Air Jordan, Dunk), apparel, equipment, and accessories under the Nike, Jordan, and Converse brands. Nike is undergoing a significant turnaround under new CEO Elliott Hill after a period of strategic missteps including over-rotation to direct-to-consumer sales, innovation stagnation, and loss of key wholesale partnerships.

How NIKE Makes Money

Nike earns from Nike Direct (~44% — Nike.com, Nike app, Nike-owned stores), wholesale (~55% — Foot Locker, Dick's, JD Sports, and global retailers), and Converse (~5%). Revenue is split across footwear (~66%), apparel (~28%), and equipment (~6%). The Jordan Brand alone generates $7B+ annually. Nike's competitive moat is its athlete endorsement ecosystem (LeBron, Kylian Mbappé, etc.) and innovation in performance footwear technology.

NIKE Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how NIKE's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$46.40B
Cost of Revenue
-$26.33B
Gross Profit
$20.06B43.2% margin
Operating Expenses
-$14.18B
Operating Income
$5.89B12.7% margin
Tax & Other
-$2.78B
Net Income
$3.11B6.7% margin
Gross Margin
43.2%
Operating Margin
12.7%
Net Margin
6.7%
EBITDA Margin
12.1%

Key Financial Metrics

NIKE Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 18.86x, generates $1.89B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 74.29, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 22.1% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$58.75B
Enterprise Value
$94.21B
P/E (Trailing)
18.86
P/E (Forward)
17.28
PEG Ratio
1.53
EV / EBITDA
16.29
Price / Sales
1.94
Price / Book
6.62
Revenue
$46.40B
Revenue Growth
-1.1%
Earnings Growth
428.0%
EBITDA
$5.78B
Gross Margin
43.2%
Operating Margin
12.7%
Net Margin
6.7%
Return on Equity
22.1%
Return on Assets
7.0%
Free Cash Flow
$1.89B
Total Cash
$10.39B
Total Debt
$11.91B
Debt / Equity
74.29
Current Ratio
1.96
Quick Ratio
1.19
Beta
1.12
Dividend Yield
4.3%
Payout Ratio
77.6%
Insider Ownership
1.7%
Inst. Ownership
82.5%
Short % Float
7.2%
Book Value / Share
$10.02

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

36 analysts covering NIKE Inc. currently lean toward a Hold rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $50.52 (+42.3% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingHold(36 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$40.0012.6%
Mean Target$50.52+42.3% upside
High Target$120.00+237.9%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for NKE

We use 1 valuation model to estimate NKE's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

NKE is currently in a death cross pattern, trading below its 50-day average of $41.80 and below its 200-day average of $51.94. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$35.51
50-Day MA
$41.80
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$51.94
▼ Price below
Death Cross Pattern
Price below both MAs — bearish signal

NKE Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

NKE's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • New CEO Elliott Hill (Nike veteran) is resetting the strategy — restoring wholesale partnerships, re-investing in innovation, and reducing promotional activity.
  • Jordan Brand is a cultural phenomenon generating $7B+ annually — it transcends sport and has pricing power across sneaker culture.
  • International markets (China, EMEA, Asia Pacific) represent 60%+ of revenue and have strong growth potential as middle classes expand.
  • Valuation has compressed to 25-28x forward P/E from 35x+ — the reset creates a more attractive entry point for a world-class brand.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Innovation has stagnated — competitors (On Running, Hoka, New Balance, Adidas) have gained significant market share with fresher product designs.
  • DTC over-rotation damaged wholesale relationships — restoring partnerships with Foot Locker and others will take time and may require margin concessions.
  • China recovery is slower than expected — Chinese consumer spending on premium athletic wear has been weak amid the economic slowdown.
  • Brand heat has cooled — Nike Dunks and Air Force 1s are losing cultural relevance as consumers seek newer, less ubiquitous brands.

What to Watch: NKE Key Metrics

Revenue growth by region
Wholesale revenue recovery
Gross margin improvement
Innovation pipeline (new silhouettes)
Inventory levels and promotional activity

NKE Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full NKE in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for NIKE Inc..

Compare NKE with Peers

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NKE — Related Investment Themes

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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