NIKE Inc. (NKE) Stock Analysis 2026
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ProprietaryScore based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.
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About NIKE Inc.
Nike is the world's largest athletic footwear and apparel brand, generating $50B+ in annual revenue across 190+ countries. The company designs, develops, and sells athletic shoes (Air Max, Air Jordan, Dunk), apparel, equipment, and accessories under the Nike, Jordan, and Converse brands. Nike is undergoing a significant turnaround under new CEO Elliott Hill after a period of strategic missteps including over-rotation to direct-to-consumer sales, innovation stagnation, and loss of key wholesale partnerships.
How NIKE Makes Money
Nike earns from Nike Direct (~44% — Nike.com, Nike app, Nike-owned stores), wholesale (~55% — Foot Locker, Dick's, JD Sports, and global retailers), and Converse (~5%). Revenue is split across footwear (~66%), apparel (~28%), and equipment (~6%). The Jordan Brand alone generates $7B+ annually. Nike's competitive moat is its athlete endorsement ecosystem (LeBron, Kylian Mbappé, etc.) and innovation in performance footwear technology.
NIKE Revenue & Profitability Breakdown
This chart shows how NIKE's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.
Key Financial Metrics
NIKE Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 18.86x, generates $1.89B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 74.29, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 22.1% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.
Wall Street Analyst Consensus
36 analysts covering NIKE Inc. currently lean toward a Hold rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $50.52 (+42.3% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.
Intrinsic Value Estimates for NKE
We use 1 valuation model to estimate NKE's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.
Technical Price Signals
NKE is currently in a death cross pattern, trading below its 50-day average of $41.80 and below its 200-day average of $51.94. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.
NKE Investment Case: Bull vs Bear
NKE's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.
Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)
- New CEO Elliott Hill (Nike veteran) is resetting the strategy — restoring wholesale partnerships, re-investing in innovation, and reducing promotional activity.
- Jordan Brand is a cultural phenomenon generating $7B+ annually — it transcends sport and has pricing power across sneaker culture.
- International markets (China, EMEA, Asia Pacific) represent 60%+ of revenue and have strong growth potential as middle classes expand.
- Valuation has compressed to 25-28x forward P/E from 35x+ — the reset creates a more attractive entry point for a world-class brand.
Bear Case (Key Risks)
- Innovation has stagnated — competitors (On Running, Hoka, New Balance, Adidas) have gained significant market share with fresher product designs.
- DTC over-rotation damaged wholesale relationships — restoring partnerships with Foot Locker and others will take time and may require margin concessions.
- China recovery is slower than expected — Chinese consumer spending on premium athletic wear has been weak amid the economic slowdown.
- Brand heat has cooled — Nike Dunks and Air Force 1s are losing cultural relevance as consumers seek newer, less ubiquitous brands.
What to Watch: NKE Key Metrics
NKE Stock — Frequently Asked Questions
Compare NKE with Peers
NKE — Related Investment Themes
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