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DBX
Dropbox, Inc. · Technology
$29.94
+10.52% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
BOX
Box, Inc. · Technology
$29.91
+17.80% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
DBX
2
BOX
2
MIXED SETUP
Comparison scoreboard
MIXED SETUP
AI Score
DBX 30.9
BOX 39.4
1Y Return
DBX +10.52%
BOX -8.11%
Fwd P/E
DBX 8.79
BOX 16.61
Target Up.
DBX -12.60%
BOX +8.66%
Op. Margin
DBX N/A
BOX N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 7/14/2026
Quick take

DBX vs BOX: Dropbox vs Box Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

Dropbox is a consumer-to-SMB cloud storage business with strong free cash flow and an AI pivot strategy, while Box is an enterprise content management platform with compliance and security as its core differentiation. Dropbox is the better cash flow business today; Box has a more defensible enterprise security moat but slower growth.

DBX vs BOX is SMB cloud storage cash flow machine versus enterprise compliance content management — Dropbox wins if AI document workflows can sustain ARPU growth against Microsoft; Box wins if enterprise compliance requirements create lasting platform lock-in.

Live analysis · updated 7/14/2026

DBX and BOX are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly. DBX leads on both 1-year return (+10.52%) and forward P/E quality (8.79x vs 16.61x for BOX), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for BOX (+8.66%) than for DBX (-12.60%).

Normalized 1Y performance
DBX
BOX
Recent returns
DBX
BOX
Analyst price targets & sentiment
DBX · 6 analysts
Price target range
analyst low$21.00
analyst high$32.00
analyst mean$26.17
current price$29.94
-12.6% upside to analyst mean
BOX · 8 analysts
Price target range
analyst low$25.00
analyst high$45.00
analyst mean$32.50
current price$29.91
+8.7% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
DBX may suit investors who:
  • value Dropbox's superior free cash flow generation relative to its market cap
  • believe AI document workflows through DocSend and Dropbox AI can sustain ARPU growth
  • prefer consumer-to-SMB cloud storage with a simpler business model vs enterprise complexity
  • want capital return through buybacks funded by Dropbox's strong FCF
BOX may suit investors who:
  • prefer enterprise content management with compliance and security as defensible differentiators
  • believe Box AI workflows and suites pricing will accelerate enterprise contract expansion
  • value Box's regulated industry focus where Microsoft cannot simply bundle its way to dominance
  • are comfortable with lower near-term FCF in exchange for enterprise platform lock-in potential
Performance & AI score
MetricDBXBOX
AI score30.939.4
AI rank#2240#1237
Latest close$29.94$29.91
1M return+10.52%+17.80%
6M return+9.55%+1.12%
1Y return+10.52%-8.11%
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

PeriodDBXBOX
1Y ago$11.05K (+10.5%)
started 2025-07-14
$9.19K (-8.1%)
started 2025-07-14
5Y ago$9.82K (-1.8%)
started 2021-07-14
$12.55K (+25.5%)
started 2021-07-14
10Y ago$10.51K (+5.1%)
started 2018-03-23
$28.43K (+184.3%)
started 2016-07-14

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
MetricDBXBOX
Market cap$6.99B$4.14B
Trailing P/E16.3646.73
Forward P/E8.7916.61
Price/Sales2.776.13
EV/Revenue3.816.84
Analyst target$26.17$32.50
Target upside-12.60%+8.66%
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricDBXBOX
Revenue growth0.80%13.60%
Earnings growth-5.90%N/A
EPS growth-5.90%N/A
FCF margin+32.32%+22.52%
Operating marginN/AN/A
Profit margin18.71%-19.76%
ROIC proxyN/A-575.83%
Return on equityN/A-575.83%
Dividend yield0.00%0.00%
Beta0.661.41
Debt/equityN/A2048.84
Current ratio1.230.76
Quick ratio1.160.66
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
DBX max drawdown31.43%
BOX max drawdown36.30%
DBX max wkly drop11.47%
BOX max wkly drop12.99%
5Y risk snapshot
DBX max drawdown41.52%
BOX max drawdown44.57%
DBX max wkly drop28.23%
BOX max wkly drop19.51%
10Y risk snapshot
DBX max drawdown62.64%
BOX max drawdown68.56%
DBX max wkly drop28.23%
BOX max wkly drop30.06%
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricDBXBOX
1YGrowth+10.52%-8.11%
CAGR+10.53%-8.12%
Sharpe ratio0.33-0.20
Max drawdown31.43%36.30%
Max daily drop8.34%6.14%
Max wkly drop11.47%12.99%
5YGrowth-1.84%+25.46%
CAGR-0.37%+4.64%
Sharpe ratio0.030.17
Max drawdown41.52%44.57%
Max daily drop22.93%12.92%
Max wkly drop28.23%19.51%
10YGrowth+5.13%+184.32%
CAGR+0.60%+11.02%
Sharpe ratio0.100.35
Max drawdown62.64%68.56%
Max daily drop22.93%23.32%
Max wkly drop28.23%30.06%
Business comparison
CategoryDBXBOX
CompanyDropbox, Inc.Box, Inc.
SectorTechnologyTechnology
IndustryN/AN/A
Core businessCloud storage and collaboration platform used by individuals, teams, and businesses to sync, share, and store files. Dropbox is pivoting toward AI-powered document workflows through DocSend and AI document management features to add value beyond simple file sync.Enterprise content management and secure cloud storage platform used by large organizations for compliance, workflow automation, digital signatures (Box Sign), and secure file collaboration. Box targets regulated industries (healthcare, finance, legal) with its security and compliance focus.
Investor focusAverage revenue per paying user (ARPU) growth, AI feature adoption driving upsell, free cash flow generation, and whether Dropbox can retain users against Microsoft OneDrive bundling.Enterprise contract expansion, Box AI workflow automation adoption, suites vs platform pricing, and operating margin improvement toward free cash flow generation.
DBX strengths
  • Dropbox generates significant free cash flow relative to its market cap — one of the most cash-generative SMB SaaS companies
  • Strong brand recognition among individual professionals and small teams who adopted Dropbox before Microsoft bundled OneDrive
  • DocSend and AI document analytics provide workflow tools that add value beyond storage
BOX strengths
  • Enterprise focus on regulated industries creates strong compliance and security moat vs consumer-grade storage alternatives
  • Box AI and workflow automation add value beyond storage, supporting price expansion with existing enterprise customers
  • Tight integrations with Microsoft 365, Salesforce, and Google Workspace make Box a complementary layer rather than a competitor
Risks to watch — DBX
  • Microsoft OneDrive and Google Drive bundled with Microsoft 365 and Google Workspace represent persistent structural headwinds
  • Paying user growth has plateaued — revenue growth depends on ARPU expansion rather than new user acquisition
  • AI document management is a crowded space with Microsoft Copilot as a formidable competitor
Risks to watch — BOX
  • Microsoft SharePoint and OneDrive continue to compete with Box in enterprise content management
  • Box's revenue growth has been modest — suites pricing helps ARPU but customer expansion has been slow
  • Salesforce's acquisition of Quip and Microsoft's SharePoint improvements reduce workflow collaboration differentiation
Frequently asked questions
Dropbox generates more free cash flow today and is better valued on that basis. Box has a more defensible enterprise moat through compliance and security but slower growth. Dropbox is the better value investment on FCF; Box is the better long-term enterprise platform bet if AI workflows drive expansion.
AI Prediction SignalNext 5 trading days
Members only
DBX
+2.8%BUY
BOX
+1.1%HOLD

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