NTNX vs HPE Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
NTNX is a software-focused hyperconverged infrastructure company benefiting significantly from enterprises migrating away from VMware following its Broadcom acquisition, while HPE is a broader enterprise hardware infrastructure provider expanding into AI servers and networking. The two companies also partner together, with HPE reselling Nutanix software on its hardware.
NTNX vs HPE contrasts a software-centric hyperconverged infrastructure company riding a strong VMware-displacement tailwind against a broader hardware infrastructure provider expanding into AI and networking.
HPE holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. HPE leads on both 1-year return (+109.62%) and forward P/E quality (12.81x vs 25.21x for NTNX), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, HPE is growing revenue faster (40.00%), while NTNX maintains the higher operating margin (13.59%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for HPE (+24.92%) than for NTNX (+13.16%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to the VMware customer migration tailwind following the Broadcom acquisition
- Value Nutanix's software-centric, high-margin subscription model
- Believe hyperconverged infrastructure adoption will continue growing
- Want exposure to broader enterprise hardware infrastructure including AI servers
- Believe the Juniper Networks acquisition will strengthen HPE's networking position
- Prefer diversified hardware exposure over a software-focused pure-play
| Metric | NTNX | HPE |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 46.4 | 61.6 |
| AI ranki | #680 | #129 |
| Latest closei | $64.43 | $51.19 |
| 1M returni | -10.87% | -26.16% |
| 3M returni | +5.52% | +1.89% |
| 6M returni | +47.34% | +78.30% |
| 1Y returni | -9.56% | +109.62% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | NTNX | HPE |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.05K (-9.5%) started 2025-11-03 | $20.89K (+108.9%) started 2025-11-03 |
| 5Y ago | $17.76K (+77.6%) started 2021-11-03 | $41.54K (+315.4%) started 2021-11-03 |
| 10Y ago | $26.96K (+169.6%) started 2016-11-03 | $68.53K (+585.3%) started 2016-11-03 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | NTNX | HPE |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $18.07B | $69.27B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 12.93 | 48.89 |
| Forward P/Ei | 25.21 | 12.81 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 6.03 | 2.20 |
| Analyst targeti | $75.65 | $65.35 |
| Target upsidei | +13.16% | +24.92% |
| Metric | NTNX | HPE |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 15.90% | 40.00% |
| Earnings growthi | 3147.80% | -30.30% |
| EPS growthi | +3147.80% | -30.30% |
| FCF margini | +26.15% | +9.89% |
| Operating margini | 13.59% | 8.70% |
| Profit margini | 52.81% | 4.01% |
| ROIC proxyi | 37460.21% | 6.31% |
| Return on equityi | 37460.21% | 6.31% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 1.09% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 28.74% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.60 | 1.44 |
| Debt/equityi | 216.17 | 84.03 |
| Current ratioi | 1.80 | 1.09 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.57 | 0.57 |
Over the past year, NTNX and HPE have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.28), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | NTNX | HPE |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -9.46% | +108.94% |
| CAGRi | -9.49% | +109.42% | |
| Volatilityi | 47.21% | 60.17% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.07 | 1.46 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.09 | 2.34 | |
| Max drawdowni | 52.47% | 30.32% | |
| Current drawdowni | 13.67% | 30.32% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 26.95% | 9.26% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 31.17% | 11.63% | |
| Max daily dropi | 17.75% | 13.05% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 20.98% | 24.95% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +77.59% | +272.17% |
| CAGRi | +12.18% | +30.07% | |
| Volatilityi | 49.39% | 42.67% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.39 | 0.73 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.58 | 1.09 | |
| Max drawdowni | 62.10% | 48.36% | |
| Current drawdowni | 22.44% | 30.32% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 22.32% | 11.25% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 27.63% | 14.25% | |
| Max daily dropi | 23.10% | 15.14% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 27.23% | 24.95% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +169.58% | +417.95% |
| CAGRi | +10.43% | +17.88% | |
| Volatilityi | 55.73% | 39.03% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.38 | 0.50 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.55 | 0.73 | |
| Max drawdowni | 80.40% | 56.87% | |
| Current drawdowni | 22.44% | 30.32% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 37.97% | 14.96% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 43.67% | 19.26% | |
| Max daily dropi | 32.72% | 15.31% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 38.35% | 28.21% |
| Category | NTNX | HPE |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Nutanix, Inc. | Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company |
| Sector | Technology | Technology |
| Industry | Software - Infrastructure | Communication Equipment |
| Core business | Nutanix provides hyperconverged infrastructure and hybrid multi-cloud software, allowing enterprises to run virtualized workloads across private and public cloud environments, increasingly winning customers migrating away from VMware following its acquisition by Broadcom. | Hewlett Packard Enterprise provides servers, storage, networking, and edge computing solutions for enterprise customers, with growing focus on AI infrastructure and networking following its Juniper Networks acquisition. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Nutanix's annual recurring revenue growth, customer additions driven by VMware migration tailwinds, and free cash flow margin expansion. | Investors track HPE's AI server order growth, networking segment expansion through the Juniper acquisition, and overall enterprise infrastructure demand trends. |
- Significant customer migration tailwind from enterprises seeking VMware alternatives after the Broadcom acquisition and pricing changes
- Software-centric, subscription-based business model with strong recurring revenue
- Improving free cash flow generation alongside continued growth investment
- Growing AI server and networking portfolio strengthened by the Juniper Networks acquisition
- Focused purely on enterprise infrastructure without consumer PC exposure
- Strong position in high-performance computing and edge computing markets
- Smaller scale than larger infrastructure competitors limits some resources
- VMware migration tailwind, while currently strong, may moderate over time
- Faces competition from both legacy virtualization vendors and cloud-native alternatives
- Smaller scale than Dell in overall enterprise infrastructure markets
- Juniper acquisition integration carries execution and cost synergy risk
- Enterprise IT spending cycles directly affect server and networking demand
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