NTNX vs HPE Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
NTNX (Nutanix) and HPE represent different approaches to enterprise hybrid cloud infrastructure — Nutanix is a pure-play software company providing HCI software that runs on any hardware (including HPE servers), while HPE is a full-stack enterprise IT company providing GreenLake as-a-service infrastructure, Aruba networking, and a range of server and storage products. Nutanix is the primary beneficiary of Broadcom's VMware pricing increases; HPE is a diversified enterprise IT infrastructure company with growing as-a-service offerings.
NTNX vs HPE is pure-play HCI software with VMware displacement opportunity (Nutanix's hardware-agnostic HCI software capturing enterprises fleeing Broadcom's VMware price increases, with improving subscription economics and multi-cloud management capabilities) versus diversified enterprise IT infrastructure with consumption services (HPE GreenLake providing full-stack as-a-service on-premises cloud, Aruba networking, and AI server upside — at lower growth rates and margins than pure software peers) — software TAM expansion versus infrastructure breadth.
HPE holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. HPE leads on both 1-year return (+164.86%) and forward P/E (12.05x vs 21.42x for NTNX), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for HPE (+33.13%) than for NTNX (+21.56%).
- →Believe Broadcom's VMware price increases are creating a multi-year displacement opportunity for Nutanix as thousands of enterprises re-evaluate VMware alternatives for private cloud HCI infrastructure
- →Value Nutanix's hardware-agnostic pure software model as providing structural gross margin improvement and customer flexibility advantages that HPE SimpliVity's hardware-bundled model cannot match
- →Want pure-play exposure to the HCI and cloud infrastructure software market without the hardware margin headwinds and commodity server business that HPE carries
- →Value HPE's diversified enterprise IT portfolio — GreenLake as-a-service, Aruba networking, HPC/AI servers, and traditional infrastructure — as providing exposure to multiple enterprise IT spending trends simultaneously
- →See HPE's AI server business (high-performance computing for AI model training and inference) as a near-term growth catalyst from the AI infrastructure spending boom
- →Prefer HPE's established dividend, reasonable valuation (P/E ratio far below software peers), and meaningful free cash flow generation versus Nutanix's higher valuation and earlier-stage software economics
| Metric | NTNX | HPE |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 31.5 | 62.4 |
| AI rank | #2162 | #126 |
| Latest close | $46.90 | $47.41 |
| 1M return | -2.84% | +45.34% |
| 6M return | -6.57% | +97.38% |
| 1Y return | -36.27% | +164.86% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | NTNX | HPE |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $6.37K (-36.3%) started 2025-06-18 | $26.66K (+166.6%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | $12.71K (+27.1%) started 2021-06-18 | $40.61K (+306.1%) started 2021-06-21 |
| 10Y ago | $12.68K (+26.8%) started 2016-09-30 | $71.79K (+617.9%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | NTNX | HPE |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $12.68B | $63.79B |
| Trailing P/E | 49.37 | 45.02 |
| Forward P/E | 21.42 | 12.05 |
| Price/Sales | 4.61 | N/A |
| EV/Revenue | 4.57 | 2.06 |
| Analyst target | $57.01 | $64.13 |
| Target upside | +21.56% | +33.13% |
| Metric | NTNX | HPE |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 10.00% | 40.00% |
| Earnings growth | 17.20% | -30.30% |
| EPS growth | +17.20% | -30.30% |
| FCF margin | +22.97% | +9.89% |
| Operating margin | N/A | 8.70% |
| Profit margin | 10.03% | 4.01% |
| ROIC proxy | N/A | 6.31% |
| Return on equity | N/A | 6.31% |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | 1.18% |
| Beta | 0.60 | 1.45 |
| Debt/equity | N/A | 84.03 |
| Current ratio | 1.78 | 1.09 |
| Quick ratio | 1.55 | 0.57 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | NTNX | HPE |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | -36.27% | +166.65% |
| CAGR | -36.29% | +167.02% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.84 | 2.16 | |
| Max drawdown | 57.58% | 23.81% | |
| Max daily drop | 17.75% | 10.14% | |
| Max wkly drop | 20.98% | 17.52% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +27.10% | +260.51% |
| CAGR | +4.91% | +29.29% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.25 | 0.74 | |
| Max drawdown | 68.71% | 48.36% | |
| Max daily drop | 23.10% | 15.14% | |
| Max wkly drop | 27.23% | 20.76% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +26.76% | +440.92% |
| CAGR | +2.47% | +18.40% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.25 | 0.52 | |
| Max drawdown | 80.40% | 56.87% | |
| Max daily drop | 32.72% | 15.31% | |
| Max wkly drop | 38.35% | 28.21% |
| Category | NTNX | HPE |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Nutanix, Inc. | Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company |
| Sector | Technology - Hyper-Converged Infrastructure Software | Technology |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Nutanix is a software company that provides hyper-converged infrastructure (HCI) and cloud infrastructure software, enabling enterprises to run private cloud, hybrid cloud, and multi-cloud workloads on commodity hardware. Nutanix's platform (AOS — Acropolis Operating System) virtualizes compute, storage, and networking into a single software-defined layer that runs on standard x86 servers; Nutanix Prism provides a unified management interface; AHV is Nutanix's built-in hypervisor. Nutanix has transitioned its business model from hardware-bundled appliances to a pure software subscription model, with customers buying annual or multi-year software licenses and support contracts that run on hardware from any vendor (HPE, Lenovo, Dell, or third-party systems). | Hewlett Packard Enterprise is an enterprise IT infrastructure company providing hybrid cloud infrastructure (servers, storage, networking — the Aruba networking subsidiary), edge computing, and the GreenLake cloud services platform. HPE GreenLake is HPE's as-a-service offer providing on-premises IT infrastructure with cloud-like consumption-based pricing — enterprises pay for compute, storage, and networking as they use it rather than buying capital assets outright. HPE SimpliVity is HPE's HCI software platform competing directly with Nutanix; HPE also partners with VMware (now Broadcom). HPE's other segments include High Performance Computing (HPC — supercomputers for research and government) and Intelligent Edge (Aruba WiFi, campus networking, IoT). |
| Investor focus | Investors track Nutanix's annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth, contract value bookings, gross margin improvement as the software subscription model matures, free cash flow generation, and the competitive win rate against VMware (now Broadcom) and HPE/Cisco in hybrid cloud infrastructure. | Investors track HPE's GreenLake Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth (the cloud-like consumption model), HPE's total revenue growth across server, storage, networking, and services, operating margin, and the competitive position of HPE against Dell Technologies and Super Micro Computer in AI servers. |
- →Broadcom's acquisition of VMware created a massive TAM expansion opportunity for Nutanix — Broadcom dramatically increased VMware licensing costs and simplified VMware's product portfolio (eliminating many SMB-friendly tiers); thousands of enterprises facing 2-5x VMware cost increases are evaluating alternatives, with Nutanix as the primary beneficiary in private cloud HCI
- →Pure software model with hardware vendor flexibility increases customer stickiness and expands addressable market — Nutanix runs on any x86 server (HPE, Lenovo, Dell, Cisco); customers can buy Nutanix software and run it on preferred hardware vendor equipment; vendor flexibility removes hardware switching costs
- →Strong net revenue retention and multi-year contract structure provides high-visibility recurring revenue — Nutanix's subscription model generates predictable ARR; enterprise customers who have standardized on Nutanix's HCI platform for storage and compute virtualization create a sticky installed base
- →HPE GreenLake provides full-stack hybrid cloud as a consumption service — enterprises can run cloud-like economics on-premises without migrating workloads to public cloud; HPE owns the hardware, services it, and charges monthly based on usage; GreenLake is the most comprehensive as-a-service offering from an enterprise hardware vendor
- →Aruba networking (HPE subsidiary) is a strong enterprise wireless and campus networking brand — Aruba competes effectively with Cisco in enterprise WiFi, campus switching, and SD-Branch; Aruba's AI-powered network management provides differentiation
- →AI server demand benefits HPE's ProLiant and Cray HPC server business — the AI infrastructure boom (AI model training and inference servers) is driving significant demand for GPU-accelerated servers; HPE's high-performance server capabilities position it as a beneficiary of AI infrastructure spending
- →Competition from Broadcom (VMware), HPE GreenLake, and Azure Stack HCI — despite the VMware pricing opportunity, Broadcom is not walking away; HPE GreenLake and Microsoft Azure Stack HCI (running on HPE/Dell servers) also target the hybrid cloud market; competition is intensifying
- →Nutanix's gross margins have room to improve but the business is not yet generating sustained positive FCF — as a software subscription business, Nutanix's economics should improve over time, but achieving consistent free cash flow generation has taken longer than some investors expected
- →Dependency on enterprise hardware refresh cycles — Nutanix's subscription revenue depends on enterprise IT budgets and server refresh cycles; enterprise IT spending freezes (in recessions) can delay Nutanix renewals and new workload additions
- →HPE's HCI software (SimpliVity) has significantly lower market share than Nutanix — SimpliVity has not achieved scale comparable to Nutanix or VMware vSAN in the HCI market; HPE's HCI business is not a significant competitive threat to Nutanix
- →HPE's revenue growth has been modest relative to pure-play cloud and software companies — as a hardware-centric business, HPE's growth rate (mid-single digits) is far below software and cloud peers; margins are also lower than software companies
- →Server pricing competition from Dell, Super Micro, and ODM vendors — the server market is competitive; Super Micro Computer's aggressive pricing on AI servers and Taiwan ODMs competing in hyperscaler markets create pricing pressure on HPE's core server business
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