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MANH
Manhattan Associates, Inc. · Technology - Supply Chain Software
$154.78
+5.38% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
AZPN
Aspen Technology, Inc. · Technology - Industrial Software / Process Optimization
N/A
N/A this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
MANH
0
AZPN
0
MIXED SETUP
Comparison scoreboard
MIXED SETUP
AI Score
MANH 36.9
AZPN N/A
1Y Return
MANH -23.66%
AZPN N/A
Fwd P/E
MANH 26.00
AZPN N/A
Target Up.
MANH +18.88%
AZPN N/A
Op. Margin
MANH N/A
AZPN N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 7/9/2026
Quick take

MANH vs Supply Chain Software Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

MANH (Manhattan Associates) and AZPN (Aspen Technology) are both enterprise software leaders with exceptionally high switching costs in their respective industrial niches — Manhattan Associates is the dominant supply chain execution software platform (WMS, TMS) serving retailers and 3PLs with a cloud-native Active platform, while Aspen Technology provides mission-critical process optimization software for refineries, chemical plants, and pharmaceutical manufacturers with Emerson Electric as controlling shareholder.

MANH vs supply chain/industrial software is the dominant supply chain execution platform with 20+ Gartner WMS leadership years and omnichannel fulfillment necessity (Manhattan Associates' cloud-native Active WMS/TMS, retailer and 3PL customer base, and switching cost-driven renewal rates — sustaining premium software multiples on strong subscription revenue growth) versus industrial process optimization with extreme switching costs in energy and chemicals (Aspen Technology's 35+ year refinery/petrochemical customer relationships, Emerson parent's industrial distribution, and energy transition optimization demand — Emerson majority control limiting minority shareholder strategic flexibility).

Live analysis · updated 7/9/2026

MANH and AZPN are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly.

Normalized 1Y performance
MANH
AZPN
Not enough data to chart yet.
Recent returns
MANH
AZPN
Analyst price targets & sentiment
MANH · 11 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (1.8/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$145.00
analyst high$240.00
analyst mean$184.00
current price$154.78
+18.9% upside to analyst mean
AZPN
Price target data unavailable
N/A
Who should consider this stock?
MANH may suit investors who:
  • Want the dominant supply chain execution software platform with exceptional switching costs driven by deep WMS implementations that cost $10-50M+ and 18-36 months to deploy
  • Value Manhattan's 20+ consecutive Gartner WMS Magic Quadrant leadership as the most defensible enterprise software moat in the supply chain execution category
  • Believe e-commerce and omnichannel fulfillment complexity will continue driving retailer and 3PL WMS upgrade cycles that sustain Manhattan's double-digit revenue growth
AZPN may suit investors who:
  • Want industrial software exposure with 35+ year customer relationships in refineries and chemical plants where switching costs are essentially prohibitive
  • Value Emerson Electric's controlling ownership as providing financial stability and industrial customer cross-selling that accelerates AspenTech's market reach
  • Believe the energy transition (hydrogen, sustainable fuels, electrification) will increase process optimization complexity and drive new AspenTech adoption in novel industrial processes
Performance & AI score
MetricMANHAZPN
AI score36.9N/A
AI rank#1413N/A
Latest close$154.78N/A
1M return+5.38%N/A
6M return-8.31%N/A
1Y return-23.66%N/A
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

PeriodMANHAZPN
1Y ago$7.63K (-23.7%)
started 2025-07-08
N/A
5Y ago$10.6K (+6.0%)
started 2021-07-08
N/A
10Y ago$23K (+130.0%)
started 2016-07-08
N/A

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
MetricMANHAZPN
Market cap$9.16BN/A
Trailing P/E44.22N/A
Forward P/E26.00N/A
Price/Sales8.3214.84
EV/Revenue8.16N/A
Analyst target$184.00N/A
Target upside+18.88%N/A
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricMANHAZPN
Revenue growth7.40%N/A
Earnings growth-3.50%N/A
EPS growth-3.50%N/A
FCF margin+26.80%N/A
Operating marginN/AN/A
Profit margin19.68%N/A
ROIC proxy96.24%N/A
Return on equity96.24%N/A
Dividend yield0.00%N/A
Beta0.970.56
Debt/equity27.14N/A
Current ratio1.10N/A
Quick ratio0.97N/A
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
MANH max drawdown46.97%
AZPN max drawdownN/A
MANH max wkly drop20.08%
AZPN max wkly dropN/A
5Y risk snapshot
MANH max drawdown60.98%
AZPN max drawdownN/A
MANH max wkly drop33.41%
AZPN max wkly dropN/A
10Y risk snapshot
MANH max drawdown60.98%
AZPN max drawdownN/A
MANH max wkly drop41.55%
AZPN max wkly dropN/A
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricMANHAZPN
1YGrowth-23.66%N/A
CAGR-23.67%N/A
Sharpe ratio-0.58N/A
Max drawdown46.97%N/A
Max daily drop9.99%N/A
Max wkly drop20.08%N/A
5YGrowth+6.00%N/A
CAGR+1.17%N/A
Sharpe ratio0.11N/A
Max drawdown60.98%N/A
Max daily drop24.49%N/A
Max wkly drop33.41%N/A
10YGrowth+130.02%N/A
CAGR+8.69%N/A
Sharpe ratio0.30N/A
Max drawdown60.98%N/A
Max daily drop24.49%N/A
Max wkly drop41.55%N/A
Business comparison
CategoryMANHAZPN
CompanyManhattan Associates, Inc.Aspen Technology, Inc.
SectorTechnology - Supply Chain SoftwareTechnology - Industrial Software / Process Optimization
IndustryN/AN/A
Core businessManhattan Associates develops and sells supply chain execution software — the systems that orchestrate physical inventory movement through warehouses, distribution centers, and transportation networks. Manhattan's primary products include Manhattan Active Warehouse Management (WMS, considered the market leader), Manhattan Active Transportation Management (TMS), and Manhattan Active Omni (unified commerce for retailers). Manhattan's Cloud-native 'Active' platform replaces traditional on-premise WMS/TMS implementations with a continuously updated SaaS subscription model. Manhattan serves major global retailers (PVH, Dollar Tree, Ralph Lauren), consumer goods companies, and 3PL operators. Manhattan is recognized as a Gartner Magic Quadrant Leader for WMS and TMS for 20+ consecutive years.Aspen Technology (AspenTech) develops software for asset optimization in energy, chemicals, and engineering industries — serving refineries, petrochemical plants, pharmaceutical manufacturers, and mining companies with simulation, planning, scheduling, and quality control software. AspenTech's products help industrial companies optimize production processes, reduce energy consumption, improve safety compliance, and maximize asset utilization. AspenTech became a publicly traded company after Emerson Electric completed a major transaction — combining its industrial software assets with AspenTech's existing software business in 2022, making Emerson the controlling shareholder. AspenTech's software is deeply embedded in the operational workflows of refineries and chemical plants globally.
Investor focusInvestors track Manhattan's cloud subscription revenue growth (transition from legacy perpetual licenses to SaaS), total revenue growth, RPO (remaining performance obligation, representing future contracted revenue), and EBIT margin (consistently excellent for an enterprise software company).Investors track AspenTech's Annual Contract Value (ACV, subscription revenue base), renewal rates (very high given mission-critical nature of the software), and operating margin improvement under Emerson's operational discipline.
MANH strengths
  • 20+ consecutive years as Gartner Magic Quadrant Leader in WMS demonstrates sustained product leadership — Manhattan's WMS is the most recognized and widely adopted enterprise warehouse management platform globally; Gartner quadrant leadership serves as a key selection criterion for large enterprise buyers evaluating WMS vendors
  • Cloud-native Active platform creates continuous improvement and switching cost advantages — Manhattan's cloud platform is continuously updated; customers on Manhattan Active automatically receive improvements; after implementation (18-36 months, costing $10-50M+), customers almost never switch WMS vendors due to retraining cost, operational disruption, and implementation investment
  • E-commerce and omnichannel fulfillment complexity drives demand for sophisticated WMS solutions — the shift to omnichannel retail (ship from store, buy online pick up in store, same-day delivery) dramatically increased warehouse and fulfillment complexity; sophisticated WMS is essential for managing this complexity; Manhattan's customers need Manhattan's capabilities to execute modern commerce
AZPN strengths
  • Mission-critical process optimization software with 35+ year customer relationships creates extremely high switching costs — refineries and chemical plants design their production workflows around AspenTech simulation and planning tools; ripping out AspenTech to replace with a competitor would require re-engineering core processes and retraining operations engineers — an enormous disruption
  • Energy transition creates new demand for optimization software — as industrial facilities shift to renewable energy, hydrogen, and lower-carbon processes, the optimization complexity increases; AspenTech's simulation and optimization tools are critical for modeling new process configurations
  • Emerson control provides financial stability and cross-selling to Emerson's industrial automation customer base — Emerson's ownership provides AspenTech access to Emerson's massive industrial customer base and financial resources while Emerson leverages AspenTech's software for complete industrial automation solutions
Risks to watch — MANH
  • Enterprise software valuation premium requires sustained high growth — Manhattan trades at a premium P/E and EV/Sales multiple relative to traditional software companies; sustaining this valuation requires consistent 15%+ revenue growth that could be threatened by macroeconomic slowdown or competitive disruption
  • Implementation capacity is gated by system integrator availability — Manhattan WMS implementations require specialized implementation partners (consultants trained on Manhattan's platform); a shortage of trained implementers can limit how quickly Manhattan can onboard new customers
  • Competition from SAP EWM (SAP's warehouse module), Oracle WMS, and Blue Yonder — while Manhattan leads the independent WMS market, SAP and Oracle can offer WMS as part of broader ERP implementations; large companies already on SAP may prefer SAP EWM despite capability gaps
Risks to watch — AZPN
  • Emerson's majority control limits independent strategic flexibility — AspenTech's majority owner is Emerson Electric; strategic decisions must align with Emerson's interests; the relationship creates complexity for minority public shareholders
  • Energy industry capital spending cycles affect AspenTech's new customer acquisition — while renewals are stable, new customer acquisition depends on refinery and chemical plant capital spending; energy sector downturns reduce new AspenTech investment
  • Integration complexity from Emerson asset combination — combining Emerson's industrial software assets with AspenTech's platform creates integration challenges; new product combinations take time to reach market
Frequently asked questions
WMS definition: a warehouse management system is software that orchestrates all activities within a distribution center or warehouse — receiving inbound shipments, storing inventory in optimal locations, directing workers to pick customer orders, packing, labeling, and releasing shipments for delivery; a WMS tracks every item in the warehouse in real time (via barcode scanning, RFID, or vision technology), optimizes worker and equipment movement (minimizing travel distance, maximizing throughput), and interfaces with carrier systems, enterprise resource planning (ERP), and order management systems. Why implementations are expensive: WMS must be deeply integrated with the physical warehouse design — the number of aisles, rack configurations, conveyor systems, and robotic equipment all affect how the WMS directs work; the WMS must also integrate with the company's ERP (SAP, Oracle), e-commerce platform, carrier systems (FedEx, UPS), and labor management; these integrations require custom configuration and extensive testing; implementation requires configuring thousands of process parameters, training hundreds to thousands of workers, and running parallel systems during cutover; for a large distribution center, 18-36 months and $10-50M+ in implementation costs is common. Switching costs: once implemented, the WMS is embedded in every aspect of warehouse operations — standard operating procedures are built around WMS workflows, workers are trained on WMS screens, conveyor and automation systems integrate with WMS APIs, management reporting uses WMS data; replacing the WMS requires rebuilding all of this from scratch; the switching cost is so high that once a customer is on Manhattan WMS, it essentially never leaves; renewal rates in WMS are typically 95%+.
AI Prediction SignalNext 5 trading days
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MANH
+2.8%BUY
AZPN
+1.1%HOLD

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