MANH vs Supply Chain Software Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
MANH (Manhattan Associates) and AZPN (Aspen Technology) are both enterprise software leaders with exceptionally high switching costs in their respective industrial niches — Manhattan Associates is the dominant supply chain execution software platform (WMS, TMS) serving retailers and 3PLs with a cloud-native Active platform, while Aspen Technology provides mission-critical process optimization software for refineries, chemical plants, and pharmaceutical manufacturers with Emerson Electric as controlling shareholder.
MANH vs supply chain/industrial software is the dominant supply chain execution platform with 20+ Gartner WMS leadership years and omnichannel fulfillment necessity (Manhattan Associates' cloud-native Active WMS/TMS, retailer and 3PL customer base, and switching cost-driven renewal rates — sustaining premium software multiples on strong subscription revenue growth) versus industrial process optimization with extreme switching costs in energy and chemicals (Aspen Technology's 35+ year refinery/petrochemical customer relationships, Emerson parent's industrial distribution, and energy transition optimization demand — Emerson majority control limiting minority shareholder strategic flexibility).
MANH and AZPN are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly.
- →Want the dominant supply chain execution software platform with exceptional switching costs driven by deep WMS implementations that cost $10-50M+ and 18-36 months to deploy
- →Value Manhattan's 20+ consecutive Gartner WMS Magic Quadrant leadership as the most defensible enterprise software moat in the supply chain execution category
- →Believe e-commerce and omnichannel fulfillment complexity will continue driving retailer and 3PL WMS upgrade cycles that sustain Manhattan's double-digit revenue growth
- →Want industrial software exposure with 35+ year customer relationships in refineries and chemical plants where switching costs are essentially prohibitive
- →Value Emerson Electric's controlling ownership as providing financial stability and industrial customer cross-selling that accelerates AspenTech's market reach
- →Believe the energy transition (hydrogen, sustainable fuels, electrification) will increase process optimization complexity and drive new AspenTech adoption in novel industrial processes
| Metric | MANH | AZPN |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 36.9 | N/A |
| AI rank | #1413 | N/A |
| Latest close | $154.78 | N/A |
| 1M return | +5.38% | N/A |
| 6M return | -8.31% | N/A |
| 1Y return | -23.66% | N/A |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | MANH | AZPN |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $7.63K (-23.7%) started 2025-07-08 | N/A |
| 5Y ago | $10.6K (+6.0%) started 2021-07-08 | N/A |
| 10Y ago | $23K (+130.0%) started 2016-07-08 | N/A |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | MANH | AZPN |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $9.16B | N/A |
| Trailing P/E | 44.22 | N/A |
| Forward P/E | 26.00 | N/A |
| Price/Sales | 8.32 | 14.84 |
| EV/Revenue | 8.16 | N/A |
| Analyst target | $184.00 | N/A |
| Target upside | +18.88% | N/A |
| Metric | MANH | AZPN |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 7.40% | N/A |
| Earnings growth | -3.50% | N/A |
| EPS growth | -3.50% | N/A |
| FCF margin | +26.80% | N/A |
| Operating margin | N/A | N/A |
| Profit margin | 19.68% | N/A |
| ROIC proxy | 96.24% | N/A |
| Return on equity | 96.24% | N/A |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | N/A |
| Beta | 0.97 | 0.56 |
| Debt/equity | 27.14 | N/A |
| Current ratio | 1.10 | N/A |
| Quick ratio | 0.97 | N/A |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | MANH | AZPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | -23.66% | N/A |
| CAGR | -23.67% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.58 | N/A | |
| Max drawdown | 46.97% | N/A | |
| Max daily drop | 9.99% | N/A | |
| Max wkly drop | 20.08% | N/A | |
| 5Y | Growth | +6.00% | N/A |
| CAGR | +1.17% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.11 | N/A | |
| Max drawdown | 60.98% | N/A | |
| Max daily drop | 24.49% | N/A | |
| Max wkly drop | 33.41% | N/A | |
| 10Y | Growth | +130.02% | N/A |
| CAGR | +8.69% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.30 | N/A | |
| Max drawdown | 60.98% | N/A | |
| Max daily drop | 24.49% | N/A | |
| Max wkly drop | 41.55% | N/A |
| Category | MANH | AZPN |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Manhattan Associates, Inc. | Aspen Technology, Inc. |
| Sector | Technology - Supply Chain Software | Technology - Industrial Software / Process Optimization |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Manhattan Associates develops and sells supply chain execution software — the systems that orchestrate physical inventory movement through warehouses, distribution centers, and transportation networks. Manhattan's primary products include Manhattan Active Warehouse Management (WMS, considered the market leader), Manhattan Active Transportation Management (TMS), and Manhattan Active Omni (unified commerce for retailers). Manhattan's Cloud-native 'Active' platform replaces traditional on-premise WMS/TMS implementations with a continuously updated SaaS subscription model. Manhattan serves major global retailers (PVH, Dollar Tree, Ralph Lauren), consumer goods companies, and 3PL operators. Manhattan is recognized as a Gartner Magic Quadrant Leader for WMS and TMS for 20+ consecutive years. | Aspen Technology (AspenTech) develops software for asset optimization in energy, chemicals, and engineering industries — serving refineries, petrochemical plants, pharmaceutical manufacturers, and mining companies with simulation, planning, scheduling, and quality control software. AspenTech's products help industrial companies optimize production processes, reduce energy consumption, improve safety compliance, and maximize asset utilization. AspenTech became a publicly traded company after Emerson Electric completed a major transaction — combining its industrial software assets with AspenTech's existing software business in 2022, making Emerson the controlling shareholder. AspenTech's software is deeply embedded in the operational workflows of refineries and chemical plants globally. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Manhattan's cloud subscription revenue growth (transition from legacy perpetual licenses to SaaS), total revenue growth, RPO (remaining performance obligation, representing future contracted revenue), and EBIT margin (consistently excellent for an enterprise software company). | Investors track AspenTech's Annual Contract Value (ACV, subscription revenue base), renewal rates (very high given mission-critical nature of the software), and operating margin improvement under Emerson's operational discipline. |
- →20+ consecutive years as Gartner Magic Quadrant Leader in WMS demonstrates sustained product leadership — Manhattan's WMS is the most recognized and widely adopted enterprise warehouse management platform globally; Gartner quadrant leadership serves as a key selection criterion for large enterprise buyers evaluating WMS vendors
- →Cloud-native Active platform creates continuous improvement and switching cost advantages — Manhattan's cloud platform is continuously updated; customers on Manhattan Active automatically receive improvements; after implementation (18-36 months, costing $10-50M+), customers almost never switch WMS vendors due to retraining cost, operational disruption, and implementation investment
- →E-commerce and omnichannel fulfillment complexity drives demand for sophisticated WMS solutions — the shift to omnichannel retail (ship from store, buy online pick up in store, same-day delivery) dramatically increased warehouse and fulfillment complexity; sophisticated WMS is essential for managing this complexity; Manhattan's customers need Manhattan's capabilities to execute modern commerce
- →Mission-critical process optimization software with 35+ year customer relationships creates extremely high switching costs — refineries and chemical plants design their production workflows around AspenTech simulation and planning tools; ripping out AspenTech to replace with a competitor would require re-engineering core processes and retraining operations engineers — an enormous disruption
- →Energy transition creates new demand for optimization software — as industrial facilities shift to renewable energy, hydrogen, and lower-carbon processes, the optimization complexity increases; AspenTech's simulation and optimization tools are critical for modeling new process configurations
- →Emerson control provides financial stability and cross-selling to Emerson's industrial automation customer base — Emerson's ownership provides AspenTech access to Emerson's massive industrial customer base and financial resources while Emerson leverages AspenTech's software for complete industrial automation solutions
- →Enterprise software valuation premium requires sustained high growth — Manhattan trades at a premium P/E and EV/Sales multiple relative to traditional software companies; sustaining this valuation requires consistent 15%+ revenue growth that could be threatened by macroeconomic slowdown or competitive disruption
- →Implementation capacity is gated by system integrator availability — Manhattan WMS implementations require specialized implementation partners (consultants trained on Manhattan's platform); a shortage of trained implementers can limit how quickly Manhattan can onboard new customers
- →Competition from SAP EWM (SAP's warehouse module), Oracle WMS, and Blue Yonder — while Manhattan leads the independent WMS market, SAP and Oracle can offer WMS as part of broader ERP implementations; large companies already on SAP may prefer SAP EWM despite capability gaps
- →Emerson's majority control limits independent strategic flexibility — AspenTech's majority owner is Emerson Electric; strategic decisions must align with Emerson's interests; the relationship creates complexity for minority public shareholders
- →Energy industry capital spending cycles affect AspenTech's new customer acquisition — while renewals are stable, new customer acquisition depends on refinery and chemical plant capital spending; energy sector downturns reduce new AspenTech investment
- →Integration complexity from Emerson asset combination — combining Emerson's industrial software assets with AspenTech's platform creates integration challenges; new product combinations take time to reach market
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