LIVE
OUST
Ouster, Inc. · Autonomous Technology
$46.57
+56.70% this month
VERSUS
⟷
COMPARE
MVIS
MicroVision, Inc. · Autonomous Technology
$0.36
-35.71% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
OUST
2
MVIS
0
Comparison scoreboard
OUST LEADS 2/5AI Score
OUST ✓24.2
MVIS 22.9
1Y Return
OUST ✓+128.96%
MVIS -71.20%
Fwd P/E
OUST -1034.89
MVIS N/A
Target Up.
OUST +0.62%
MVIS N/A
Op. Margin
OUST N/A
MVIS N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 6/20/2026
Quick take
OUST vs MVIS Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
OUST and MVIS are both LiDAR companies targeting autonomous vehicle sensing but at different stages. Ouster (merged with Velodyne) has $100M+ revenue from industrial and infrastructure applications with the largest independent LiDAR revenue base. MicroVision is an earlier-stage automotive LiDAR pure-play with MAVIN technology in OEM evaluation but no production revenue. Both are pre-profitability; Ouster has more commercial substance; MicroVision is the higher-risk speculation on automotive OEM design win.
OUST vs MVIS — Ouster (the largest independent LiDAR company from the Velodyne merger with digital CMOS architecture and $100M+ industrial/infrastructure revenue) versus MicroVision (the early-stage automotive LiDAR pure-play with MAVIN long-range performance in OEM evaluation seeking the design win that would validate its commercial future).
Live analysis · updated 6/20/2026
OUST holds the edge across 2 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. OUST has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+128.96% vs -71.20% for MVIS).
Normalized 1Y performance
OUST
MVIS
Recent returns
OUST
MVIS
Analyst price targets & sentiment
OUST · 7 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Strong Buy (1.3/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$33.00
analyst high$75.00
analyst mean$46.86
current price$46.57
+0.6% upside to analyst mean
MVIS
Price target data unavailable
N/A
Who should consider this stock?
OUST may suit investors who:
- →prefer LiDAR exposure with actual commercial revenue from industrial robotics, smart infrastructure, and agriculture applications while automotive adoption develops
- →believe the Velodyne merger created meaningful scale advantages — larger combined R&D, customer base, and manufacturing capacity than either company had independently
- →want the largest independent LiDAR company with the most commercial substance in a challenging market where survival requires more than automotive speculation
- →are comfortable with continued operating losses, LiDAR commoditization from Chinese competitors, and automotive adoption timeline uncertainty
MVIS may suit investors who:
- →seek high-risk, high-reward automotive LiDAR pure-play speculation — a major OEM design win announcement could cause dramatic stock re-rating from a low market cap base
- →believe MicroVision's MAVIN long-range LiDAR performance claims will prove compelling in OEM evaluations against competing LiDAR systems
- →want exposure to potential acquisition premium if a Tier 1 automotive supplier or technology company acquires MicroVision's LiDAR IP and engineering team
- →are comfortable with pre-production revenue, severe cash burn creating survivability risk, and the possibility MicroVision fails to win OEM commitments before financial distress forces outcomes
Performance & AI score
| Metric | OUST | MVIS |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 24.2 | 22.9 |
| AI rank | #3231 | #3874 |
| Latest close | $46.57 | $0.36 |
| 1M return | +56.70% | -35.71% |
| 6M return | +124.00% | -59.09% |
| 1Y return | +128.96% | -71.20% |
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | OUST | MVIS |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $22.9K (+129.0%) started 2025-06-18 | $2.88K (-71.2%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | $3.84K (-61.6%) started 2021-06-18 | $191.08 (-98.1%) started 2021-06-18 |
| 10Y ago | $4.8K (-52.0%) started 2020-10-09 | $1.95K (-80.5%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
Valuation & upside potential
| Metric | OUST | MVIS |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $2.97B | $125.52M |
| Trailing P/E | N/A | N/A |
| Forward P/E | -1034.89 | N/A |
| Price/Sales | 16.00 | 80.77 |
| EV/Revenue | 13.84 | 85.77 |
| Analyst target | $46.86 | N/A |
| Target upside | +0.62% | N/A |
Growth, profitability & risk
| Metric | OUST | MVIS |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 48.90% | 58.70% |
| Earnings growth | N/A | N/A |
| EPS growth | N/A | N/A |
| FCF margin | -25.26% | -1986.61% |
| Operating margin | N/A | N/A |
| Profit margin | -30.12% | 0.00% |
| ROIC proxy | -25.17% | -197.30% |
| Return on equity | -25.17% | -197.30% |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Beta | 3.24 | 1.16 |
| Debt/equity | 6.31 | 135.09 |
| Current ratio | 2.98 | 1.05 |
| Quick ratio | 2.41 | 0.91 |
Drawdown & downside risk
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
1Y risk snapshot
OUST max drawdown55.15%
MVIS max drawdown76.00%
OUST max wkly drop26.32%
MVIS max wkly drop36.92%
5Y risk snapshot
OUST max drawdown97.57%
MVIS max drawdown98.16%
OUST max wkly drop41.34%
MVIS max wkly drop39.23%
10Y risk snapshot
OUST max drawdown98.01%
MVIS max drawdown98.64%
OUST max wkly drop41.34%
MVIS max wkly drop62.12%
Performance metrics by period
| Period | Metric | OUST | MVIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +128.96% | -71.20% |
| CAGR | +129.09% | -71.22% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.29 | -1.03 | |
| Max drawdown | 55.15% | 76.00% | |
| Max daily drop | 16.62% | 31.67% | |
| Max wkly drop | 26.32% | 36.92% | |
| 5Y | Growth | -61.61% | -98.09% |
| CAGR | -17.43% | -54.69% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.22 | -0.49 | |
| Max drawdown | 97.57% | 98.16% | |
| Max daily drop | 27.67% | 31.67% | |
| Max wkly drop | 41.34% | 39.23% | |
| 10Y | Growth | -51.99% | -80.54% |
| CAGR | -12.10% | -15.11% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.28 | 0.34 | |
| Max drawdown | 98.01% | 98.64% | |
| Max daily drop | 27.67% | 53.45% | |
| Max wkly drop | 41.34% | 62.12% |
Business comparison
| Category | OUST | MVIS |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Ouster, Inc. | MicroVision, Inc. |
| Sector | Autonomous Technology | Autonomous Technology |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Ouster is a digital LiDAR company providing 3D sensing solutions for industrial robotics, smart infrastructure, and autonomous vehicles. Ouster merged with Velodyne in 2023, creating the largest pure-play LiDAR company by revenue. Ouster's digital LiDAR approach uses a different CMOS-based semiconductor architecture that is theoretically more scalable for cost reduction than analog LiDAR. Ouster serves robotics, mapping, agriculture, ports, mining, and emerging automotive customers. Revenue is $100M+ annually with continued losses. | MicroVision is a technology company that transitioned from laser beam scanning (LBS) display technology to automotive LiDAR sensing. MicroVision's MAVIN long-range LiDAR sensor targets automotive OEM applications requiring 200m+ detection range for highway autonomous driving. MicroVision has been developing automotive-grade LiDAR for years and has conducted OEM testing, but has not secured major volume production contracts. Revenue remains minimal — MicroVision is an early-stage automotive LiDAR company burning cash while pursuing OEM design wins. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Ouster's revenue growth, gross margin improvement, path to profitability, and whether digital LiDAR achieves the cost and performance inflection needed for mass-market automotive adoption. | Investors watch MicroVision's MAVIN LiDAR OEM demo evaluations, potential design win announcements, and strategic interest from automotive OEMs or Tier 1 suppliers. |
OUST strengths
- →Merged scale from Velodyne combination: the Ouster-Velodyne merger created the largest independent LiDAR company — more resources for R&D, manufacturing scale, and customer base than either company alone
- →Digital CMOS LiDAR cost reduction path: Ouster's CMOS-based architecture is designed to leverage semiconductor manufacturing cost curves — theoretically enabling dramatic LiDAR cost reduction as volume scales
- →Industrial and smart infrastructure revenue today: Ouster's non-automotive revenue (robotics, infrastructure, agriculture) provides current commercial momentum while automotive adoption develops
MVIS strengths
- →Long-range MAVIN LiDAR performance claims: MicroVision's MAVIN LiDAR system has demonstrated long-range performance in OEM evaluations — technical capability claims suggest competitive automotive performance specification
- →Potential for strategic partnership or acquisition: MicroVision's automotive LiDAR IP and technology could attract acquisition interest from Tier 1 automotive suppliers (Bosch, Continental) or technology companies entering automotive sensing
- →Lower market cap creates higher upside potential: at a smaller market cap than Ouster, a single major OEM design win could represent a much larger percentage gain for MicroVision shareholders
Risks to watch — OUST
- →Continued operating losses: Ouster has not achieved profitability — the cash burn timeline creates financing risk if LiDAR adoption in automotive is slower than projected
- →LiDAR technology commoditization: Chinese LiDAR manufacturers (Hesai, Innoviz) are producing competitively priced units threatening margins across the LiDAR industry
- →Automotive adoption timeline elongation: automotive LiDAR adoption has been repeatedly pushed out — OEM production volume decisions directly impact Ouster's revenue trajectory
Risks to watch — MVIS
- →No production revenue or committed OEM contracts: MicroVision has demonstrated technology but lacks committed production volume — OEM selection processes are multi-year with no guarantee of outcome
- →Severe cash burn with minimal revenue: MicroVision burns cash with very limited revenue — financial survival depends on capital raises or a strategic partner/acquirer materializing before cash is exhausted
- →Automotive LiDAR competition is intensifying: Luminar, Ouster/Velodyne, Cepton (acquired by Magna), and international competitors all compete for the same OEM design wins MicroVision needs to survive
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