Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) Stock Analysis 2026

Consumer DefensiveFarm Products
$76.20
as of 2026-10-29
+43.3% (52-week)50D MA $81.73  |  200D MA $72.67

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
42
Neutral
Price CAGR
9.1%
1Y Return
+26.5%
Analyst Upside
-0.0%
Rev Growth
7.2%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

ADM Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how ADM's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$82.10B
Cost of Revenue
-$76.46B
Gross Profit
$5.64B6.9% margin
Operating Expenses
-$2.35B
Operating Income
$3.29B4.0% margin
Tax & Other
-$1.52B
Net Income
$1.77B2.2% margin
Gross Margin
6.9%
Operating Margin
4.0%
Net Margin
2.2%

Key Financial Metrics

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company trades at a trailing P/E of 23.69x, generates $1.16B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 39.13, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 7.6% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$41.80B
P/E (Trailing)
23.69
P/E (Forward)
15.12
PEG Ratio
1.07
Price / Book
1.77
Revenue
$82.10B
Revenue Growth
7.2%
Earnings Growth
315.6%
EPS (Trailing)
$3.66
EPS (Forward)
$5.74
Gross Margin
6.9%
Operating Margin
4.0%
Net Margin
2.2%
Return on Equity
7.6%
Return on Assets
2.3%
Free Cash Flow
$1.16B
Debt / Equity
39.13
Current Ratio
1.39
Quick Ratio
0.30
Beta
0.61
Dividend Yield
2.4%
Payout Ratio
56.3%
Insider Ownership
0.7%
Inst. Ownership
88.9%
Short % Float
3.9%
Book Value / Share
$48.91

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Archer-Daniels-Midland Company currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $80.10 (+5.1% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$80.10+5.1% upside

Intrinsic Value Estimates for ADM

We use 3 valuation models to estimate ADM's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

ADM is currently in a short-term downtrend, trading below its 50-day average of $81.73 and above its 200-day average of $72.67. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$76.20
50-Day MA
$81.73
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$72.67
▲ Price above
Short-term Downtrend
Below 50-day MA — caution
Read the full ADM in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for ADM.

Compare ADM with Peers

ADM vs BGADM vs Bunge — Agribusiness Giants and Global Grain Tra

Further Reading

Research and guides that put ADM’s numbers in context — how to read the filings behind them, and the frameworks we use to score them.

Market TheoryThe Stock-Split Pop Is a Myth: What 39 Real Splits Actually DidMarket Theory10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 19-Year High: What 5.2% Means for StocksRisk ManagementBest ETFs for a Recession-Proof Portfolio in 2026FundamentalsHow to Read a 10-K Annual Report: Complete Investor Guide

More Consumer Defensive Stock Analysis

In-depth reports on companies operating alongside ADM — business models, bull and bear cases, and the metrics that matter.

TSNTyson Foods, Inc.Farm ProductsTGTTarget CorporationDiscount StoresDLTRDollar Tree, Inc.Discount StoresMDLZMondelez International, Inc.ConfectionersPOSTPost Holdings, Inc.Packaged FoodsWMTWalmart Inc.Discount StoresPRMBPrimo Brands CorporationBeverages - Non-AlcoholicCELHCelsius Holdings, Inc.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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