NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) Stock Analysis 2026

UtilitiesUtilities - Independent Power Producers
$97.54
as of 2026-10-29
-31.7% (52-week)50D MA $129.77  |  200D MA $147.74

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
61
Moderate
Price CAGR
26.7%
1Y Return
-45.8%
Analyst Upside
+104.5%
Rev Growth
11.0%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

NRG Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how NRG's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$33.12B
Cost of Revenue
-$26.90B
Gross Profit
$6.23B18.8% margin
Operating Expenses
-$2.00B
Operating Income
$4.23B12.8% margin
Tax & Other
-$3.38B
Net Income
$849.0M2.6% margin
Gross Margin
18.8%
Operating Margin
12.8%
Net Margin
2.6%
EBITDA Margin
12.5%

Key Financial Metrics

NRG Energy, Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 28.94x, generates $772.4M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 483.36, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 23.8% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$23.36B
Enterprise Value
$41.43B
P/E (Trailing)
28.94
P/E (Forward)
9.92
PEG Ratio
0.54
EV / EBITDA
11.33
Price / Sales
1.04
Price / Book
14.40
Revenue
$33.12B
Revenue Growth
11.0%
Earnings Growth
-85.6%
EBITDA
$3.66B
Gross Margin
18.8%
Operating Margin
12.8%
Net Margin
2.6%
Return on Equity
23.8%
Return on Assets
4.1%
Free Cash Flow
$772.4M
Total Cash
$693.0M
Total Debt
$10.99B
Debt / Equity
483.36
Current Ratio
0.97
Quick Ratio
0.37
Beta
1.20
Dividend Yield
1.7%
Payout Ratio
47.7%
Insider Ownership
4.5%
Inst. Ownership
95.9%
Short % Float
3.9%
Book Value / Share
$19.99

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

8 analysts covering NRG Energy, Inc. currently lean toward a Hold rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $188.75 (+93.5% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingHold(8 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$89.00-8.8%
Mean Target$188.75+93.5% upside
High Target$200.00+105.0%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for NRG

We use 1 valuation model to estimate NRG's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

NRG is currently in a death cross pattern, trading below its 50-day average of $129.77 and below its 200-day average of $147.74. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$97.54
50-Day MA
$129.77
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$147.74
▼ Price below
Death Cross Pattern
Price below both MAs — bearish signal
Read the full NRG in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for NRG.

Compare NRG with Peers

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Further Reading

Research and guides that put NRG’s numbers in context — how to read the filings behind them, and the frameworks we use to score them.

Fundamentals58% of Insider Selling Is Noise — How to Find the Part That MattersMarket TheoryThe Stock-Split Pop Is a Myth: What 39 Real Splits Actually DidMarket Theory10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 19-Year High: What 5.2% Means for StocksRisk ManagementBest ETFs for a Recession-Proof Portfolio in 2026

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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