XPO, Inc. (XPO) Stock Analysis 2026

IndustrialsTrucking
$183.21
as of 2026-10-23
+36.0% (52-week)50D MA $203.37  |  200D MA $188.05

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
73
Strong
Price CAGR
31.6%
1Y Return
+43.7%
Analyst Upside
+24.7%
Rev Growth
13.2%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$200.47+9.4% potential
Bear Case
$119.93
Bull Case
$272.54
Model Confidence90%

An even blend of the BriMind AI model's DCF and momentum target ($175.91) and Wall Street's consensus target ($225.04).

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

XPO Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how XPO's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$8.57B
Cost of Revenue
-$6.95B
Gross Profit
$1.63B19.0% margin
Operating Expenses
-$572.2M
Operating Income
$1.06B12.3% margin
Tax & Other
-$651.8M
Net Income
$404.0M4.7% margin
Gross Margin
19.0%
Operating Margin
12.3%
Net Margin
4.7%

Key Financial Metrics

XPO, Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 54.86x, generates $473.8M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 206.17, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 21.6% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$21.78B
P/E (Trailing)
54.86
P/E (Forward)
28.90
PEG Ratio
1.82
Price / Book
11.10
Revenue
$8.57B
Revenue Growth
13.2%
Earnings Growth
52.8%
EPS (Trailing)
$3.39
EPS (Forward)
$6.44
Gross Margin
19.0%
Operating Margin
12.3%
Net Margin
4.7%
Return on Equity
21.6%
Return on Assets
6.4%
Free Cash Flow
$473.8M
Debt / Equity
206.17
Current Ratio
1.01
Quick Ratio
0.87
Beta
1.72
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
2.2%
Inst. Ownership
103.8%
Short % Float
5.2%
Book Value / Share
$16.76

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering XPO, Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $232.74 (+27.0% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$232.74+27.0% upside

Intrinsic Value Estimates for XPO

We use 3 valuation models to estimate XPO's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Graham Number
$35.75
-80.5% vs current
Benjamin Graham's formula: √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). A conservative floor value for stable, profitable companies. Works best for value-oriented businesses.
P/E Based (15× trailing)
$50.85
-72.2% vs current
Multiplies trailing 12-month earnings per share by 15× — a historically average P/E for the stock market. Simple but ignores future growth.
P/E Based (15× forward)
$96.53
-47.3% vs current
Multiplies next year's estimated earnings per share by 15×. More forward-looking; useful for high-growth companies where current earnings understate potential.
Fair Value Range
$35.75 – $96.53
Average Estimate
$61.04
Potential Downside
-66.7%

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

XPO is currently in a short-term downtrend, trading below its 50-day average of $203.37 and below its 200-day average of $188.05. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$183.21
50-Day MA
$203.37
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$188.05
▼ Price below
Short-term Downtrend
Below 50-day MA — caution

Compare XPO with Peers

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Further Reading

Research and guides that put XPO’s numbers in context — how to read the filings behind them, and the frameworks we use to score them.

SectorsBest Transportation Stocks 2026: UNP, UPS, FDX, ODFL, CSX, UBER, XPO, JBHTFundamentals58% of Insider Selling Is Noise — How to Find the Part That MattersMarket TheoryThe Stock-Split Pop Is a Myth: What 39 Real Splits Actually DidMarket Theory10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 19-Year High: What 5.2% Means for Stocks

More Industrials Stock Analysis

In-depth reports on companies operating alongside XPO — business models, bull and bear cases, and the metrics that matter.

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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