CHRW vs XPO Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare C.H. Robinson's asset-light freight-brokerage model against XPO's asset-based less-than-truckload network.
Use this C.H. Robinson vs XPO comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
XPO holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. XPO has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+38.22% vs -12.25%), though CHRW has the better forward P/E setup (20.05x vs 28.90x for XPO). On fundamentals, CHRW is growing revenue faster (19.30%), while XPO maintains the higher operating margin (12.31%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for CHRW (+32.88%) than for XPO (+25.14%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | CHRW | XPO |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 39.4 | 73.0 |
| AI ranki | #1263 | #26 |
| Latest closei | $133.51 | $191.15 |
| 1M returni | -15.35% | +2.72% |
| 3M returni | -13.73% | -5.97% |
| 6M returni | -20.12% | -7.90% |
| 1Y returni | -12.25% | +38.22% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | CHRW | XPO |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $8.73K (-12.7%) started 2025-11-04 | $13.59K (+35.9%) started 2025-11-04 |
| 5Y ago | $17.17K (+71.7%) started 2021-11-05 | $39.19K (+291.9%) started 2021-11-04 |
| 10Y ago | $29.36K (+193.6%) started 2016-11-07 | $159.37K (+1493.7%) started 2016-11-04 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | CHRW | XPO |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $17.57B | $21.78B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 28.81 | 54.86 |
| Forward P/Ei | 20.05 | 28.90 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 1.14 | 2.98 |
| Analyst targeti | $199.84 | $232.74 |
| Target upsidei | +32.88% | +25.14% |
| Metric | CHRW | XPO |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 19.30% | 13.20% |
| Earnings growthi | 23.80% | 52.80% |
| EPS growthi | +23.80% | +52.80% |
| FCF margini | +2.83% | +5.53% |
| Operating margini | 5.34% | 12.31% |
| Profit margini | 3.73% | 4.71% |
| ROIC proxyi | 37.12% | 21.59% |
| Return on equityi | 37.12% | 21.59% |
| Dividend yieldi | 1.68% | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 45.24% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | N/A |
| Betai | 0.95 | 1.72 |
| Debt/equityi | 121.19 | 206.17 |
| Current ratioi | 1.58 | 1.01 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.53 | 0.87 |
Over the past year, CHRW and XPO have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.48), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | CHRW | XPO |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -12.69% | +35.90% |
| CAGRi | -12.71% | +35.97% | |
| Volatilityi | 43.80% | 41.04% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.19 | 0.85 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.23 | 1.30 | |
| Max drawdowni | 39.15% | 24.17% | |
| Current drawdowni | 36.25% | 16.30% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 13.17% | 8.86% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 17.62% | 11.17% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.44% | 8.52% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 28.51% | 12.37% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +56.04% | +291.89% |
| CAGRi | +9.31% | +31.42% | |
| Volatilityi | 34.91% | 46.93% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.30 | 0.72 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.44 | 1.13 | |
| Max drawdowni | 40.55% | 48.43% | |
| Current drawdowni | 36.25% | 16.30% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 14.54% | 15.75% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 17.88% | 19.78% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.44% | 13.96% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 28.51% | 18.64% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +133.25% | +1493.68% |
| CAGRi | +8.85% | +31.91% | |
| Volatilityi | 30.38% | 47.10% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.28 | 0.73 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.40 | 1.09 | |
| Max drawdowni | 40.55% | 64.48% | |
| Current drawdowni | 36.25% | 16.30% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 12.68% | 18.11% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 15.66% | 24.14% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.44% | 26.17% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 28.51% | 37.52% |
| Category | CHRW | XPO |
|---|---|---|
| Company | CHRW | XPO |
| Sector | Industrials | Industrials |
| Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Trucking |
| Core business | C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation and related logistics and supply chain services in the United States and internationally. | XPO, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services in the United States, North America, France, the United Kingdom, and rest of Europe. |
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AI score, forward P/E, analyst target upside, operating margin, and revenue growth are scored head-to-head, with a running tally of which ticker leads on how many metrics.
Volatility, Sharpe and Sortino ratios, maximum, current, and average drawdown, Ulcer Index, and worst single-day and single-week drops across every timeframe.
Pairwise daily-return correlation for every combination, so you can see whether two holdings actually diversify each other or just move together.
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