When FCBM insiders can sell
First Carolina Financial Services, Inc. · IPO prospectus filed 2026-06-18 · Single cliff · 180-day lock-up
That is the calendar date the clause computes to, counted from the prospectus date. It is the only date computable without knowing a future earnings date, which is why everything that could pull it earlier is printed below it on this page rather than folded into it.
How much stock, against how much trades
"Absorb days" is the shares coming free divided by average daily volume: how many full sessions of FCBM's entire turnover the release amounts to. It is a ratio, not a forecast — it does not know who wants to sell, and a founder with no intention of selling counts the same as a fund that has been waiting six months.
Exactly 20,374,554 shares, against 167,845 shares a day averaged over 20 sessions. Volume source: yahoo-finance2 daily bars (symbol not in our price table), through 2026-11-06. Dollar volume $2.2M a day. Heaviest third of the cohort.
Our call: Pressure
FCBM sits in the heaviest third of a cohort of 47 deals — lightest third at or below 54.1 sessions, heaviest at or above 109 sessions. The call is cohort-relative, not a fixed threshold, so the same absorb-day figure could read differently against a different month's IPOs. Expected excess return against SPY: negative.
Issued 2026-10-31, 45 days before the expiry, as call FCBM-2026-12-15. The ledger is append-only and lives in git, so the date on that row cannot be moved after the fact — which is the entire reason these calls are published ahead of the event instead of tested afterwards.
The lock-up clause, in the issuer's words
Every other free lock-up calendar tells you 180 days and moves on. This is the actual sentence the date above was computed from, so that if the words do not support the number, the number is wrong and the filing is one click away.
…e 1, 2026, after giving effect to the 2-for-1 forward stock split of our common stock (representing approximately 27% of our outstanding common stock as of such date), have entered into lock-up agreements under which we and they will generally agree not to sell or otherwise transfer our or their shares for a period of 180 days after the date of this prospectus. These lock-up agreements are subject to certain exceptions. For additional information, see the section entitled "Underwriting—Lock-Up Agreements." As a result of these contractual restrictions, shares of our common stock subject to lock-up agreements will not be eligible for sale until these agreements expire or the restrictions are waived by the underwriters. Following the lock-up period, all of the shares of our common stock that are restricted securities or are held by our affiliates as of the date of this prospectus will be e……
Where the share count comes from
20,374,554 shares — derived: shares outstanding after the offering, less the shares sold in it. A count the prospectus prints and a count derived from two of its other numbers are not the same quality of claim, so which one this is gets said rather than implied.
| Shares outstanding after the offering | 25,874,554 |
| Shares sold in the offering | 5,500,000 |
| Locked up, coming free at expiry | 20,374,554 |
…d, references in this prospectus to the number of shares of our common stock outstanding after this offering are based on 24,614,852 shares of our common stock issued and outstanding as of March 31, 2026 (after giving effect to the 2-for-1 forward split of our common stock). Except as otherwise indicated, the information in this prospectus: reflects a 2-for-1 forward split of our common stock that occurred after the effectiveness of the registration statement of which this prospectus forms a part and prior to the completion of this offering; reflects (i) 133,000 shares of restricted stock (after giving effect to the 2-for-1 forward split of our common stock) granted subsequent to March 31, 2026, to certain employees under the 2025…
Exceptions written into the lock-up (4)
Each of these is a route by which FCBM shares can move before 2026-12-15. The 10b5-1 carve-out is the one worth reading twice: it lets insiders put a selling plan in place during the lock-up, so the first sales can be automatic and immediate rather than discretionary and later.
- bona fide gift or charitable transfer
- estate planning or family transfer
- directed share program participants
- option exercise or RSU settlement
To enhance a positive image in the communities that we serve, we support and participate in local events and our officers and directors are active in supporting local civic and charitable organizations. With the rapid rate of consolidation in the banking industry over the last decade (including in our four-state market area), we believe that we are well-positioned as a home-grown, locally managed and owned community bank. Intellectual Property The protection of intellectual property, including trademarks, patents, copyrights, and domain names is critical to our success, particularly those relating to our BankMobile Platform.
…ion in which: we are, were or will be a participant; the amounts involved exceeded or will exceed $120,000; and any of our directors, executive officers or beneficial holders of more than 5% of our capital stock, or any immediate family member of or person sharing the household with any of these individuals (other than tenants or employees), had or will have a direct or indirect material interest. Ordinary Banking Relationships Certain of our officers, directors and principal shareholders, as well as their immediate family members and affiliates, are customers of, or have or have had transactions with, the Bank, us or our affiliates in the ordinary course of business.
See section entitled "Underwriting—Directed Share Program." We have granted the underwriters an option for a period of 30 days from the date of this prospectus to purchase up to an additional 825,000 shares of our common stock at the initial public offering price, less underwriting discounts and commissions. These securities are not deposits, savings accounts or other obligations of any bank or savings association and are not insured or guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other governmental agency and are subject to investment risks, including the possible loss of the entire amount you invest.
In addition, shares of our common stock that are reacquired on the open market or use cash proceeds from the exercise of stock options will not be available for future awards under the 2025 Plan. In the event our common stock is changed by a corporate merger, consolidation, acquisition of property or stock, separation (including a spin-off or other distribution of stock or property, including an extraordinary dividend), reorganization, liquidation (whether partial or complete), or a stock split, reverse stock split, stock d…
How this call scored
Not yet graded. Scoring needs the close on or before 2026-12-15 plus the next 5 and then 21 sessions, so a result cannot exist before those sessions have happened. This space is empty because the clock has not run, not because the result is being withheld — and when it fills, it fills whichever way the market went. The full scoreboard publishes every graded leg against the naive baseline that every unlock gets absorbed.
How this reading of FCBM could be wrong
The lock-up period is restated 4 times in this prospectus. Issuers repeat the clause on the cover, in the summary, in the risk factors and in the underwriting section, and the wording is not always identical. The parser resolved them to one period; if a reader finds a restatement that disagrees, the quote above is the one it used.
The volume is a vendor's, not ours. FCBM is not in our own price table, so average daily volume comes from yahoo-finance2 daily bars (symbol not in our price table). Vendor bars for recently listed symbols are the ones most likely to be wrong.
Only 20 sessions of volume history. This is a recent IPO, and early volume is dominated by the offering itself. An average over 20 sessions of a stock that has barely traded is the weakest input on the page, and absorb days inherits every bit of that weakness.
The parser can misread a filing. That is why every number here is printed next to the words it came from. Earlier versions of this parser read the underwriters' 30-day over-allotment window as a 30-day lock-up on five deals, and double-counted one issuer's share total because the offering summary appears on both the cover and in the summary section.
Also unlocking in 2026-12 (13)
Lock-ups cluster, because IPOs cluster: these priced in the same window as FCBM and come free in the same month. Several heavy releases landing together is a different situation from one.
| Deal | Expiry | Shares free | Absorb days |
|---|---|---|---|
| LFTO Liftoff Mobile, Inc. | 2026-12-01 | 5.0M | 7.4 sessions |
| INIO INNIO N.V. | 2026-12-01 | — | — |
| SSMR Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Co | 2026-12-02 | — | — |
| QNT Quantinuum Inc. | 2026-12-02 | 233.0M | 95.0 sessions |
| EROC ERock, Inc. | 2026-12-07 | — | — |
| PBLS Parabilis Medicines, Inc. | 2026-12-08 | — | — |
| LIME Neutron Holdings, Inc. | 2026-12-09 | — | — |
| SPCX SPACE EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGIES CORP | 2026-12-09 | 11.96B | 109 sessions |
| KARD Kardigan, Inc. | 2026-12-15 | 64.3M | 124 sessions |
| DPC DPC Holdings Ltd | 2026-12-23 | — | — |
| SIND Sinda Ltd. | 2026-12-26 | — | — |
| BSP Bending Spoons S.p.A. | 2026-12-28 | — | — |
| ITG ITG, Inc./DE/ | 2026-12-29 | 101.7M | 129 sessions |
Learn to read these clauses yourself
The flow arithmetic on this page — shares unlocking divided by average daily volume, and why the clause has to be read rather than assumed — taught step by step, free.
Radar built 2026-11-07 from EDGAR full-text search over 424B4 filings · all 80 parsed lock-ups and the scoreboard · FCBM's prospectus on EDGAR · what funds carried these companies at before listing