BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT) Stock Analysis 2026

IndustrialsNuclear Components & Naval Reactors
$137.01
as of 2026-10-16
-13.9% (52-week)50D MA $174.06  |  200D MA $193.06

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
47
Neutral
Price CAGR
14.3%
1Y Return
-24.3%
Analyst Upside
+63.0%
Rev Growth
18.0%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$164.49+20.1% potential
Bear Case
$112.04
Bull Case
$252.15
Model Confidence90%

An even blend of the BriMind AI model's DCF and momentum target ($119.53) and Wall Street's consensus target ($209.44).

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About BWX Technologies, Inc.

BWX Technologies manufactures nuclear reactor components and nuclear fuel, with its most strategically protected business supplying naval nuclear propulsion systems for United States submarines and aircraft carriers. It also produces medical isotopes, provides commercial nuclear services, and develops small modular and microreactor designs. The naval franchise is effectively a sole-source relationship built on decades of qualification and security clearance.

How BWX Technologies Makes Money

Revenue comes from long-term government contracts for naval nuclear components, commercial nuclear services and fuel, medical isotope sales, and advanced reactor development work. The naval business provides exceptional visibility — submarine and carrier programmes are planned over decades and BWXT is the qualified supplier for critical components. Backlog is long-dated and the customer relationship is close to irreplaceable.

BWX Technologies Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how BWX Technologies's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$3.51B
Cost of Revenue
-$2.74B
Gross Profit
$776.0M22.1% margin
Operating Expenses
-$410.7M
Operating Income
$365.2M10.4% margin
Tax & Other
-$10.0M
Net Income
$355.2M10.1% margin
Gross Margin
22.1%
Operating Margin
10.4%
Net Margin
10.1%

Key Financial Metrics

BWX Technologies, Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 40.16x, generates $145.6M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 151.40, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 28.3% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$14.20B
P/E (Trailing)
40.16
P/E (Forward)
29.50
PEG Ratio
1.67
Price / Book
10.64
Revenue
$3.51B
Revenue Growth
18.0%
Earnings Growth
14.1%
EPS (Trailing)
$3.86
EPS (Forward)
$5.25
Gross Margin
22.1%
Operating Margin
10.4%
Net Margin
10.1%
Return on Equity
28.3%
Return on Assets
5.5%
Free Cash Flow
$145.6M
Debt / Equity
151.40
Current Ratio
2.40
Quick Ratio
2.26
Beta
0.76
Dividend Yield
0.7%
Payout Ratio
26.9%
Insider Ownership
0.4%
Inst. Ownership
94.4%
Short % Float
3.8%
Book Value / Share
$14.56

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering BWX Technologies, Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $234.45 (+71.1% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$234.45+71.1% upside

Intrinsic Value Estimates for BWXT

We use 3 valuation models to estimate BWXT's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Graham Number
$35.57
-74.0% vs current
Benjamin Graham's formula: √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). A conservative floor value for stable, profitable companies. Works best for value-oriented businesses.
P/E Based (15× trailing)
$57.90
-57.7% vs current
Multiplies trailing 12-month earnings per share by 15× — a historically average P/E for the stock market. Simple but ignores future growth.
P/E Based (15× forward)
$78.81
-42.5% vs current
Multiplies next year's estimated earnings per share by 15×. More forward-looking; useful for high-growth companies where current earnings understate potential.
Fair Value Range
$35.57 – $78.81
Average Estimate
$57.43
Potential Downside
-58.1%

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

BWXT is currently in a death cross pattern, trading below its 50-day average of $174.06 and below its 200-day average of $193.06. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$137.01
50-Day MA
$174.06
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$193.06
▼ Price below
Death Cross Pattern
Price below both MAs — bearish signal

BWXT Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

BWXT's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Naval nuclear propulsion is a sole-source franchise protected by decades of qualification, facilities, and security requirements that no competitor can readily replicate.
  • Submarine production rates are increasing under long-term shipbuilding plans, expanding the core revenue base.
  • Data center demand for firm clean power has revived commercial nuclear interest, benefiting the services and advanced reactor businesses.
  • Medical isotope production addresses a supply-constrained market with growing diagnostic demand.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Revenue depends heavily on United States government defense budgets and naval shipbuilding appropriations.
  • Nuclear manufacturing is exacting and schedule-sensitive, so quality or delivery problems carry outsized consequences.
  • Advanced reactor programmes are early and may not generate meaningful revenue for many years.
  • The stock has re-rated on nuclear enthusiasm, which raises the bar for operational results.

What to Watch: BWXT Key Metrics

Government Operations revenue and backlog
Naval shipbuilding appropriations
Commercial Operations growth
Segment operating margins
Advanced reactor contract awards

BWXT Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Compare BWXT with Peers

BWXT vs NNEBWX Technologies vs NuScale Power — Nuclear Services vs
BWXT vs LTBRBWX Technologies vs Lightbridge — steady vs speculative
OKLO vs BWXTOklo vs BWX Technologies — SMR startup vs nuclear incum
SMR vs BWXTNuScale Power vs BWX Technologies — Pre-Revenue SMR Bet

BWXT — Related Investment Themes

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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