BWXT vs LTBR Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
BWX Technologies is an established, revenue-generating nuclear component and fuel manufacturer with a deep government contract backlog, while Lightbridge is a pre-revenue, speculative developer of next-generation nuclear fuel technology still working toward commercialization. The comparison contrasts a stable, diversified nuclear industrial base against a small, high-risk bet on a novel fuel technology.
Use this BWXT vs LTBR comparison to separate an established, cash-generating nuclear industrial supplier from a speculative, pre-revenue fuel-technology developer: BWXT offers durable government-backed revenue visibility, while Lightbridge offers optionality on a differentiated fuel technology that has yet to reach commercial scale.
BWXT holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. BWXT has delivered stronger 1-year price return (-32.69% vs -80.36% for LTBR).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want durable, government-backed revenue visibility in the nuclear sector
- Value diversification across defense, commercial nuclear, and medical isotopes
- Prefer an established, profitable industrial supplier over a pre-revenue developer
- Seek indirect exposure to the broader nuclear and SMR growth theme through an established player
- Believe next-generation metallic nuclear fuel could meaningfully improve reactor economics
- Are comfortable with a pre-revenue, small-cap, high-volatility profile
- Want optionality tied to partnerships with newer reactor developers like Oklo
- Can tolerate a long, uncertain path to commercial fuel fabrication
| Metric | BWXT | LTBR |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 46.1 | 21.4 |
| AI ranki | #629 | #4688 |
| Latest closei | $137.20 | $5.35 |
| 1M returni | -6.48% | -19.06% |
| 3M returni | -21.03% | -25.69% |
| 6M returni | -40.55% | -55.34% |
| 1Y returni | -32.69% | -80.36% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | BWXT | LTBR |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $6.56K (-34.4%) started 2025-10-16 | $1.96K (-80.4%) started 2025-10-15 |
| 5Y ago | $24.26K (+142.6%) started 2021-10-18 | $8.52K (-14.8%) started 2021-10-15 |
| 10Y ago | $35.77K (+257.7%) started 2016-10-17 | $2.79K (-72.1%) started 2016-10-17 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | BWXT | LTBR |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $14.2B | $188.52M |
| Trailing P/Ei | 40.16 | N/A |
| Forward P/Ei | 29.50 | N/A |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | 1023.85 |
| EV/Revenuei | 4.61 | N/A |
| Analyst targeti | $234.45 | N/A |
| Target upsidei | +51.26% | N/A |
| Metric | BWXT | LTBR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 18.00% | N/A |
| Earnings growthi | 14.10% | N/A |
| EPS growthi | +14.10% | N/A |
| FCF margini | +4.14% | N/A |
| Operating margini | 10.39% | 0.00% |
| Profit margini | 10.11% | 0.00% |
| ROIC proxyi | 28.29% | -13.91% |
| Return on equityi | 28.29% | -13.91% |
| Dividend yieldi | 0.66% | 0.00% |
| Payout ratioi | 26.94% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | N/A |
| Betai | 0.76 | 2.10 |
| Debt/equityi | 151.40 | N/A |
| Current ratioi | 2.40 | 116.56 |
| Quick ratioi | 2.26 | 116.06 |
Over the past year, BWXT and LTBR have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.59), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | BWXT | LTBR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -34.36% | -80.36% |
| CAGRi | -34.40% | -80.38% | |
| Volatilityi | 44.90% | 85.83% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.82 | -1.51 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -1.10 | -1.98 | |
| Max drawdowni | 43.65% | 81.71% | |
| Current drawdowni | 42.45% | 80.70% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 17.36% | 55.37% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 21.29% | 58.01% | |
| Max daily dropi | 9.85% | 22.42% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 12.84% | 35.10% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +142.62% | -14.81% |
| CAGRi | +19.42% | -3.16% | |
| Volatilityi | 34.11% | 108.72% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.56 | 0.44 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.83 | 0.76 | |
| Max drawdowni | 43.65% | 83.72% | |
| Current drawdowni | 42.45% | 80.70% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 9.52% | 56.44% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 13.24% | 60.34% | |
| Max daily dropi | 12.68% | 25.51% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 12.84% | 35.79% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +257.66% | -72.14% |
| CAGRi | +13.60% | -12.00% | |
| Volatilityi | 31.59% | 104.78% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.42 | 0.33 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.60 | 0.56 | |
| Max drawdowni | 48.18% | 95.63% | |
| Current drawdowni | 42.45% | 86.93% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 14.14% | 75.75% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 18.04% | 78.00% | |
| Max daily dropi | 23.75% | 26.90% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 30.21% | 41.92% |
| Category | BWXT | LTBR |
|---|---|---|
| Company | BWX Technologies, Inc. | Lightbridge Corporation |
| Sector | Industrials | Nuclear Fuel Technology |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Electrical Equipment & Parts |
| Core business | BWX Technologies manufactures nuclear reactor components and fuel for U.S. Navy submarines and aircraft carriers, and supplies commercial nuclear components, medical isotopes, and advanced reactor and government nuclear services. | Lightbridge is developing a proprietary metallic nuclear fuel technology designed to improve the economics, safety margins, and proliferation resistance of existing and future nuclear reactors, and is still in the testing and development stage. |
| Investor focus | Investors watch BWXT's long-term government (Navy and Department of Energy) contract backlog, growth in its commercial nuclear and medical isotope segments, and its role supplying components for emerging advanced reactor and SMR programs. | Investors watch Lightbridge's fuel irradiation testing milestones, progress finding a commercial fabrication partner, and partnerships such as its collaboration with Oklo on co-located fuel fabrication. |
- Long-duration, highly visible government contract backlog tied to Navy nuclear propulsion
- Diversified revenue across defense, commercial nuclear, and medical isotopes
- Established manufacturing scale and decades-long customer relationships with government agencies
- Differentiated, patent-protected metallic fuel technology aimed at improving reactor economics
- Partnerships with organizations like Oklo and Studsvik Scandpower advancing development
- Direct exposure to the broader nuclear-fuel-innovation and SMR investment theme
- Revenue growth is more measured than smaller pure-play nuclear-technology peers
- Dependent on continued government defense and DOE budget allocations
- Execution risk in scaling new advanced reactor and SMR-related component programs
- Pre-commercial company with no meaningful product revenue yet
- Has spent years seeking a commercial-scale fabrication partner
- Highly speculative, small-cap stock subject to large swings on news flow
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