OKLO vs GEV Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Oklo is a speculative small modular reactor developer with no meaningful revenue yet, while GE Vernova is an established, diversified power equipment manufacturer already booking large orders for gas turbines and grid equipment tied to data center power demand. GE Vernova offers proven exposure to the broader electricity infrastructure buildout across multiple technologies, while Oklo offers concentrated, higher-risk exposure to one emerging nuclear technology. The choice depends on whether an investor wants diversified, already-monetizing power equipment exposure or a focused bet on next-generation nuclear.
Use this comparison to weigh diversified, already-monetizing power equipment exposure to AI-driven electricity demand (GE Vernova) against a concentrated, pre-commercial small modular reactor bet (Oklo).
GEV holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. GEV leads on both 1-year return (+50.41%) and forward P/E quality (36.48x vs -39.36x for OKLO), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for OKLO (+102.11%) than for GEV (+35.15%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want concentrated, early-stage exposure to small modular reactor technology
- Are comfortable with pre-revenue risk and multi-year development timelines
- Believe dedicated nuclear power will be a preferred solution for data center operators
- Can tolerate high volatility tied to regulatory and construction milestones
- Want diversified exposure to gas, grid, wind, and nuclear power equipment
- Value an already-growing order backlog tied to data center power demand
- Prefer established manufacturing and global service relationships
- Are comfortable with a large-cap valuation that has re-rated on AI power optimism
| Metric | OKLO | GEV |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 39.1 | 51.5 |
| AI ranki | #1101 | #339 |
| Latest closei | $30.01 | $926.44 |
| 1M returni | -16.59% | +4.94% |
| 3M returni | -28.03% | -10.59% |
| 6M returni | -53.26% | -5.30% |
| 1Y returni | -82.51% | +50.41% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | OKLO | GEV |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $1.75K (-82.5%) started 2025-10-15 | $15.39K (+53.9%) started 2025-10-16 |
| 5Y ago | $30.65K (+206.5%) started 2021-10-15 | $65.43K (+554.3%) started 2024-04-01 |
| 10Y ago | $30.07K (+200.7%) started 2021-07-08 | $65.43K (+554.3%) started 2024-04-01 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | OKLO | GEV |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $7.35B | $243.67B |
| Trailing P/Ei | N/A | 26.24 |
| Forward P/Ei | -39.36 | 36.48 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 3889.31 | 5.59 |
| Analyst targeti | $79.88 | $1,236.43 |
| Target upsidei | +102.11% | +35.15% |
| Metric | OKLO | GEV |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | N/A | 21.90% |
| Earnings growthi | N/A | 32.80% |
| EPS growthi | N/A | +32.80% |
| FCF margini | -19778.92% | +38.01% |
| Operating margini | -6048.76% | 7.47% |
| Profit margini | 0.00% | 23.04% |
| ROIC proxyi | -7.70% | 82.58% |
| Return on equityi | -7.70% | 82.58% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 0.22% |
| Payout ratioi | N/A | 5.73% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.20 | 1.03 |
| Debt/equityi | 0.12 | 28.36 |
| Current ratioi | 48.46 | 0.85 |
| Quick ratioi | 47.63 | 0.56 |
Over the past year, OKLO and GEV have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.44), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | OKLO | GEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -82.51% | +53.89% |
| CAGRi | -82.53% | +54.01% | |
| Volatilityi | 93.87% | 52.08% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -1.44 | 1.00 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -1.98 | 1.52 | |
| Max drawdowni | 83.07% | 25.54% | |
| Current drawdowni | 82.51% | 21.14% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 60.54% | 8.70% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 62.62% | 11.10% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.13% | 10.50% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 29.98% | 15.05% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +206.54% | +553.32% |
| CAGRi | +25.12% | +109.28% | |
| Volatilityi | 87.85% | 52.84% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.65 | 1.58 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.05 | 2.40 | |
| Max drawdowni | 83.32% | 38.29% | |
| Current drawdowni | 82.77% | 21.14% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 22.94% | 8.06% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 35.17% | 11.47% | |
| Max daily dropi | 53.65% | 21.52% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 47.12% | 17.79% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +200.70% | +553.32% |
| CAGRi | +23.23% | +109.28% | |
| Volatilityi | 85.51% | 52.84% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.62 | 1.58 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.01 | 2.40 | |
| Max drawdowni | 83.32% | 38.29% | |
| Current drawdowni | 82.77% | 21.14% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 21.84% | 8.06% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 34.23% | 11.47% | |
| Max daily dropi | 53.65% | 21.52% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 47.12% | 17.79% |
| Category | OKLO | GEV |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Oklo Inc. | GE Vernova Inc. |
| Sector | Utilities | Industrials |
| Industry | Utilities - Independent Power Producers | Specialty Industrial Machinery |
| Core business | Oklo is developing small modular fission reactors aimed at providing dedicated power for data centers and other high-demand customers, with first commercial power targeted for 2027-2028. | GE Vernova manufactures gas turbines, grid equipment, wind turbines, and nuclear technology used by utilities and power producers worldwide to generate and deliver electricity. |
| Investor focus | Investors watch regulatory milestones such as reactor criticality and licensing progress, the pace of signed customer power agreements, and cash runway against ongoing losses. | Investors focus on gas turbine order backlog driven by data center power demand, grid equipment growth, and margin improvement across the company's power and electrification segments. |
- Achieved criticality at a demonstration small modular reactor, a key technical and regulatory milestone
- Roughly 14 GW of customer agreements tied to future AI and data center power demand
- Potential to offer faster, more flexible on-site power deployment than large grid buildouts
- Large, growing order backlog for gas turbines driven directly by data center and AI power demand
- Diversified power equipment portfolio spanning gas, grid, wind, and nuclear technology
- Established global manufacturing and service relationships with utilities and power producers
- Pre-commercial stage with ongoing net losses and negative free cash flow
- First commercial power delivery not expected until 2027-2028
- Nuclear regulatory and permitting timelines can slip and are largely outside company control
- Wind segment has faced profitability challenges that can weigh on consolidated results
- Equipment lead times mean order backlog conversion to revenue takes years
- Valuation has risen substantially on AI power demand optimism, raising expectations
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