OKLO vs SMR Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Oklo and NuScale Power are both pre-commercial advanced nuclear technology developers pursuing different reactor designs, with Oklo focused on compact fast reactors and NuScale on modular light-water reactors.
Investors weighing Oklo against NuScale are choosing between two early-stage nuclear technology bets differentiated mainly by reactor design philosophy, regulatory progress, and target customer base.
OKLO holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. OKLO has delivered stronger 1-year price return (-82.51% vs -88.49%), though SMR has the better forward P/E setup (-14.67x vs -39.36x for OKLO). Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for OKLO (+102.11%) than for SMR (+32.15%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to compact fast reactor technology aimed at data centers
- Believe in rising power demand from AI infrastructure as a catalyst
- Can tolerate pre-revenue volatility and licensing timeline uncertainty
- Are looking for a smaller, more differentiated nuclear technology bet
- Want exposure to light-water small modular reactor technology
- Value the milestone of achieved regulatory design certification
- Are comfortable with a long timeline to first commercial deployment
- Seek exposure to utility-scale SMR adoption globally
| Metric | OKLO | SMR |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 39.1 | 21.4 |
| AI ranki | #1101 | #4671 |
| Latest closei | $30.01 | $6.15 |
| 1M returni | -16.59% | -27.05% |
| 3M returni | -28.03% | -19.50% |
| 6M returni | -53.26% | -46.10% |
| 1Y returni | -82.51% | -88.49% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | OKLO | SMR |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $1.75K (-82.5%) started 2025-10-15 | $1.15K (-88.5%) started 2025-10-15 |
| 5Y ago | $30.65K (+206.5%) started 2021-10-15 | $6.11K (-38.9%) started 2022-03-01 |
| 10Y ago | $30.07K (+200.7%) started 2021-07-08 | $6.11K (-38.9%) started 2022-03-01 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | OKLO | SMR |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $7.35B | $3.92B |
| Trailing P/Ei | N/A | N/A |
| Forward P/Ei | -39.36 | -14.67 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 3889.31 | 249.45 |
| Analyst targeti | $79.88 | $12.63 |
| Target upsidei | +102.11% | +32.15% |
| Metric | OKLO | SMR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | N/A | -99.10% |
| Earnings growthi | N/A | N/A |
| EPS growthi | N/A | N/A |
| FCF margini | -19778.92% | -1913.88% |
| Operating margini | -6048.76% | -85337.33% |
| Profit margini | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| ROIC proxyi | -7.70% | -55.18% |
| Return on equityi | -7.70% | -55.18% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | N/A | N/A |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | N/A |
| Betai | 1.20 | 2.31 |
| Debt/equityi | 0.12 | 0.33 |
| Current ratioi | 48.46 | 37.88 |
| Quick ratioi | 47.63 | 37.34 |
Over the past year, OKLO and SMR have moved strongly in the same direction (correlation of 0.84), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | OKLO | SMR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -82.51% | -88.49% |
| CAGRi | -82.53% | -88.51% | |
| Volatilityi | 93.87% | 97.63% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -1.44 | -1.77 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -1.98 | -2.41 | |
| Max drawdowni | 83.07% | 89.09% | |
| Current drawdowni | 82.51% | 88.49% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 60.54% | 72.48% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 62.62% | 74.17% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.13% | 15.67% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 29.98% | 35.02% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +206.54% | -38.87% |
| CAGRi | +25.12% | -10.10% | |
| Volatilityi | 87.85% | 99.48% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.65 | 0.34 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.05 | 0.53 | |
| Max drawdowni | 83.32% | 89.09% | |
| Current drawdowni | 82.77% | 88.49% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 22.94% | 43.85% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 35.17% | 51.62% | |
| Max daily dropi | 53.65% | 34.85% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 47.12% | 59.70% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +200.70% | -38.87% |
| CAGRi | +23.23% | -10.10% | |
| Volatilityi | 85.51% | 99.48% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.62 | 0.34 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.01 | 0.53 | |
| Max drawdowni | 83.32% | 89.09% | |
| Current drawdowni | 82.77% | 88.49% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 21.84% | 43.85% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 34.23% | 51.62% | |
| Max daily dropi | 53.65% | 34.85% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 47.12% | 59.70% |
| Category | OKLO | SMR |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Oklo Inc. | NuScale Power Corporation |
| Sector | Utilities | Industrials |
| Industry | Utilities - Independent Power Producers | Specialty Industrial Machinery |
| Core business | Oklo is developing small, fast fission reactors known as Aurora powerhouses, aiming to provide compact, reliable power for data centers, remote sites, and industrial customers. | NuScale Power designs light-water small modular reactors (SMRs) intended to provide scalable, factory-built nuclear power for utilities and industrial customers. |
| Investor focus | Watch regulatory licensing progress with the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, customer agreements and letters of intent, and the pace of capital raises relative to cash needs. | Watch progress on regulatory design approvals, customer project agreements, and the transition from design and engineering revenue toward reactor deployment. |
- Differentiated fast reactor design distinct from traditional light-water small modular reactors
- Growing interest from data center and AI infrastructure customers seeking dedicated power
- High-profile backing and public visibility supporting capital access
- First SMR design to receive US Nuclear Regulatory Commission design certification for its original module
- Established engineering relationships with utility and international customers
- Modular, factory-built approach intended to reduce construction risk versus large reactors
- Pre-revenue company with no operating reactors generating commercial power yet
- Nuclear licensing timelines are historically long and subject to regulatory delay
- Continued reliance on equity or debt financing creates dilution and execution risk
- No commercial SMR project has yet been completed and placed into full operation
- History of project cancellations and delays in the SMR industry broadly
- Continued need for capital to fund engineering and pre-construction work ahead of revenue
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