AES vs D Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
D (Dominion Energy) is a large, primarily domestic regulated utility with significant exposure to Virginia's growing data center load and a major offshore wind project, while AES is a global power company with diversified U.S. and international utility and generation assets. Dominion offers more focused U.S. regulated utility exposure, while AES provides broader geographic diversification with international power market exposure.
AES vs D compares a global diversified power company with U.S. and international presence against a large U.S. regulated utility with concentrated Virginia exposure and a major offshore wind development.
D holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. AES leads on both 1-year return (+14.52%) and forward P/E quality (6.24x vs 17.26x for D), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, AES is growing revenue faster (19.90%), while D maintains the higher operating margin (29.22%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for D (+9.08%) than for AES (+1.42%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want diversified global utility and power company exposure beyond a single U.S. market
- Value AES's clean energy transition progress and data center power demand positioning
- Are comfortable with some emerging market utility exposure in exchange for diversification
- Want concentrated exposure to a large U.S. regulated utility in a high-growth, data-center-intensive service territory
- See value in Dominion's offshore wind project as a long-term clean energy growth asset
- Prefer a primarily domestic regulated utility with simpler income visibility
| Metric | AES | D |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 37.3 | 41.6 |
| AI ranki | #1503 | #1014 |
| Latest closei | $14.83 | $63.58 |
| 1M returni | +0.88% | -6.90% |
| 6M returni | +4.81% | +4.20% |
| 1Y returni | +14.52% | +6.43% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | AES | D |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $11.45K (+14.5%) started 2025-09-18 | $10.64K (+6.4%) started 2025-09-18 |
| 5Y ago | $8.28K (-17.2%) started 2021-09-20 | $11.87K (+18.7%) started 2021-09-20 |
| 10Y ago | $23.25K (+132.5%) started 2016-09-19 | $18.84K (+88.4%) started 2016-09-19 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | AES | D |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $10.55B | $57.91B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 5.54 | 22.78 |
| Forward P/Ei | 6.24 | 17.26 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 3.79 | 6.47 |
| Analyst targeti | $15.00 | $71.82 |
| Target upsidei | +1.42% | +9.08% |
| Metric | AES | D |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 19.90% | 17.60% |
| Earnings growthi | 951.10% | -58.00% |
| EPS growthi | +951.10% | -58.00% |
| FCF margini | -23.66% | -50.67% |
| Operating margini | 18.67% | 29.22% |
| Profit margini | 14.34% | 13.98% |
| ROIC proxyi | 9.57% | 8.28% |
| Return on equityi | 9.57% | 8.28% |
| Dividend yieldi | 4.76% | 4.06% |
| Payout ratioi | 26.36% | 92.39% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.95 | 0.62 |
| Debt/equityi | 256.89 | 160.46 |
| Current ratioi | 0.75 | 0.81 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.45 | 0.32 |
Over the past year, AES and D have moved barely in the same direction (correlation of 0.06), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | AES | D |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +14.52% | +6.43% |
| CAGRi | +14.53% | +6.43% | |
| Volatilityi | 32.86% | 20.38% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.44 | 0.19 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.65 | 0.29 | |
| Max drawdowni | 18.98% | 11.41% | |
| Current drawdowni | 14.18% | 11.31% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 11.41% | 3.83% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 12.68% | 4.84% | |
| Max daily dropi | 17.77% | 3.72% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 18.11% | 6.82% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -28.70% | -0.01% |
| CAGRi | -6.55% | -0.00% | |
| Volatilityi | 37.37% | 22.80% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.12 | -0.08 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.16 | -0.12 | |
| Max drawdowni | 63.43% | 52.20% | |
| Current drawdowni | 43.67% | 17.05% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 32.59% | 23.99% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 37.25% | 27.49% | |
| Max daily dropi | 17.77% | 6.36% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.34% | 12.49% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +60.35% | +21.04% |
| CAGRi | +4.84% | +1.93% | |
| Volatilityi | 35.80% | 23.71% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.19 | 0.01 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.26 | 0.01 | |
| Max drawdowni | 63.43% | 52.20% | |
| Current drawdowni | 43.67% | 17.05% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 22.27% | 16.25% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 28.50% | 20.77% | |
| Max daily dropi | 17.77% | 12.31% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 32.49% | 18.40% |
| Category | AES | D |
|---|---|---|
| Company | The AES Corporation | Dominion Energy, Inc. |
| Sector | Utilities | Utilities |
| Industry | Utilities - Diversified | Utilities - Regulated Electric |
| Core business | AES Corporation is a global power company operating regulated utilities and contracted generation across the United States and multiple international markets including Latin America and Asia, with a significant focus on renewable energy transition. | Dominion Energy is one of the largest U.S. regulated electric and natural gas utilities, serving customers in Virginia and South Carolina, with a major offshore wind project (Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind) and substantial solar and clean energy investments underway. |
| Investor focus | Investors track AES's clean energy backlog and project delivery, utility earnings growth in the U.S., and cash flow from its diversified global power portfolio. | Investors track Dominion's regulated utility earnings growth in Virginia and South Carolina, the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project progress, dividend sustainability, and its significant capital investment program. |
- Significant U.S. and international regulated utility base provides stable regulated earnings
- Strong renewable energy development pipeline supported by data center and corporate clean energy demand
- Geographic diversification across multiple countries provides revenue resilience
- Strong regulated utility franchise in Virginia — one of the fastest-growing and most data-center-intensive states in the U.S.
- Major offshore wind project (CVOW) represents a significant long-term clean energy generation asset
- Dominant position in a growing service territory with data center and technology company load growth
- International operations create currency exposure and emerging market political risk
- Clean energy transition capital requirements are significant
- Dominion and other regulated U.S. utilities offer simpler, purely domestic regulated utility exposure
- Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project carries significant construction and execution risk at its scale
- High capital investment program requires significant financing, creating leverage and regulatory rate case dependency
- Dominion has executed multiple asset sales and strategic shifts over the past several years, creating investor uncertainty about strategy stability
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