GEV vs EMR Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
GE Vernova is a higher-growth, more AI-power-cycle-levered equipment maker benefiting from surging gas turbine and grid demand, while Emerson Electric is a more diversified, steadier automation and industrial technology company with a long dividend growth history. The comparison generally weighs GE Vernova's direct AI power infrastructure leverage against Emerson's diversification and more consistent capital return profile.
This comparison is best used to weigh a higher-growth, more cyclical power equipment pure-play riding the AI electricity demand cycle against a more diversified, steadier automation technology company with a longer dividend track record.
EMR holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. GEV has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+50.41% vs +24.47%), though EMR has the better forward P/E setup (21.42x vs 36.48x for GEV). On fundamentals, GEV is growing revenue faster (21.90%), while EMR maintains the higher operating margin (26.92%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for GEV (+35.15%) than for EMR (+10.72%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want direct exposure to surging gas turbine and grid equipment demand from AI data centers
- Believe electrification and grid modernization spending will remain elevated for years
- Are comfortable with a shorter track record as a standalone public company
- Accept higher valuation and cyclicality tied to long-lead-time capital equipment orders
- Want diversified, steadier exposure to industrial automation and energy infrastructure
- Value a long track record of consistent dividend growth
- Prefer a more moderate valuation than pure-play AI power infrastructure names
- Are comfortable with cyclical exposure to broader industrial capital spending
| Metric | GEV | EMR |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 51.5 | 53.0 |
| AI ranki | #339 | #320 |
| Latest closei | $926.44 | $162.15 |
| 1M returni | +4.94% | +10.31% |
| 3M returni | -10.59% | +16.59% |
| 6M returni | -5.30% | +15.52% |
| 1Y returni | +50.41% | +24.47% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | GEV | EMR |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $15.39K (+53.9%) started 2025-10-16 | $12.58K (+25.8%) started 2025-10-16 |
| 5Y ago | $65.43K (+554.3%) started 2024-04-01 | $19.91K (+99.1%) started 2021-10-18 |
| 10Y ago | $65.43K (+554.3%) started 2024-04-01 | $52.48K (+424.8%) started 2016-10-17 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | GEV | EMR |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $243.67B | $86.56B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 26.24 | 34.03 |
| Forward P/Ei | 36.48 | 21.42 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 5.59 | 5.27 |
| Analyst targeti | $1,236.43 | $171.81 |
| Target upsidei | +35.15% | +10.72% |
| Metric | GEV | EMR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 21.90% | 7.00% |
| Earnings growthi | 32.80% | 23.00% |
| EPS growthi | +32.80% | +23.00% |
| FCF margini | +38.01% | +19.89% |
| Operating margini | 7.47% | 26.92% |
| Profit margini | 23.04% | 13.83% |
| ROIC proxyi | 82.58% | 12.80% |
| Return on equityi | 82.58% | 12.80% |
| Dividend yieldi | 0.22% | 1.43% |
| Payout ratioi | 5.73% | 47.98% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.03 | 1.24 |
| Debt/equityi | 28.36 | 67.68 |
| Current ratioi | 0.85 | 0.90 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.56 | 0.62 |
Over the past year, GEV and EMR have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.42), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | GEV | EMR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +53.89% | +25.80% |
| CAGRi | +54.01% | +25.86% | |
| Volatilityi | 52.08% | 31.61% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.00 | 0.75 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.52 | 1.08 | |
| Max drawdowni | 25.54% | 23.74% | |
| Current drawdowni | 21.14% | 1.36% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 8.70% | 8.02% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 11.10% | 9.97% | |
| Max daily dropi | 10.50% | 6.26% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 15.05% | 8.22% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +553.32% | +83.30% |
| CAGRi | +109.28% | +12.90% | |
| Volatilityi | 52.84% | 27.71% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.58 | 0.42 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 2.40 | 0.60 | |
| Max drawdowni | 38.29% | 29.61% | |
| Current drawdowni | 21.14% | 1.36% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 8.06% | 8.48% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 11.47% | 10.40% | |
| Max daily dropi | 21.52% | 8.65% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 17.79% | 15.00% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +553.32% | +308.56% |
| CAGRi | +109.28% | +15.12% | |
| Volatilityi | 52.84% | 29.26% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.58 | 0.48 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 2.40 | 0.68 | |
| Max drawdowni | 38.29% | 50.77% | |
| Current drawdowni | 21.14% | 1.36% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 8.06% | 9.18% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 11.47% | 11.95% | |
| Max daily dropi | 21.52% | 18.96% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 17.79% | 28.66% |
| Category | GEV | EMR |
|---|---|---|
| Company | GE Vernova | Emerson Electric |
| Sector | Industrials | Industrials |
| Industry | Specialty Industrial Machinery | Specialty Industrial Machinery |
| Core business | GE Vernova designs and manufactures power generation equipment, including gas turbines, wind turbines, and grid electrification technology, spun off from General Electric. | Emerson Electric provides automation technology and software for process industries, including measurement, control, and software solutions used in manufacturing and energy infrastructure. |
| Investor focus | Investors track GE Vernova's gas turbine order backlog tied to AI-driven electricity demand, grid equipment demand, and margin improvement across its power, wind, and electrification segments. | Investors track Emerson's automation segment growth, margin expansion from its portfolio transformation toward higher-margin software and automation, and capital deployment including acquisitions. |
- Surging gas turbine order backlog driven by data center and AI power demand
- Leading grid electrification equipment portfolio benefiting from grid modernization spending
- Improving margins following its spin-off from General Electric
- Diversified, higher-margin automation and software portfolio following recent divestitures
- Long track record of consistent dividend growth
- Exposure to secular automation and energy infrastructure investment trends
- Wind segment has historically been a drag on overall profitability
- Long lead times on turbine orders create execution and timing risk
- Valuation has run up significantly on AI power demand optimism
- Cyclical exposure to industrial capital spending
- Integration risk from recent portfolio-reshaping acquisitions
- Slower growth profile than pure-play AI power infrastructure names
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